10/26-28/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 50, McCain 38
Sen: Levin (D-i) 54, Hoogendyk (R) 38
Why is anyone still polling Michigan? Let's focus on the battlegrounds, eh pollsters?
Posted on October 31, 2008 11:26 AM
C'mon now, just because we Michiganders make up our minds early and just about always go for the Democrat doesn't mean we should be totally forgotten!
Posted on October 31, 2008 11:47 AM
The poll was commissioned by the Detroit News so were would you expect them to poll. Every poll may not seem inportant to you. but it a poll and the purpose of pollster.com is to publish the polls. So what is the issue.
Remember every poll is either commissioned by someone or done as publicity by the polling firm to get work. They are in the business of making money. As much as we may like to get more polls of Montana, there are only a few who can afford to poll there without a contract.
Posted on October 31, 2008 11:50 AM
Well, Michigan was supposed to be a battleground state. Kerry only won it by about 3, and some people theorized the issues surrounding Michigan's role in the Democratic primaries would put it further into play. And back in September, the polling was somewhat close (e.g., this poll had Obama only +1 as of 9/17).
Of course, everything has changed since then, including the economic crisis and McCain's public decision to pull out of Michigan. Still, in addition to confirming nothing has changed since Obama opened up a big lead in Michigan, these polls also give us a little indirect insight into how Obama is likely doing in parts of still-battleground states like Ohio and Indiana.
Posted on October 31, 2008 11:58 AM
Louisiana tightening, and could turn pink or yellow! Loyola poll (Oct 30)shows
I don't know about anyone else, but I had been surprised, so far, by LA's strong support of repubs post Katrina fiasco...
Posted on October 31, 2008 12:03 PM
I would like to see a recent MI-9. I saw earlier Ras predicts Knollenberg(R) to win re-election over Peters(D) but every poll I've seen (Dem polling I believe) shows Peters ahead. How can anyone vote for a guy (Knoll) who is against banning dog fighting?
Yes, the polling in MI-9 has been mostly Democratic the last month. I'd say the race is a toss-up, which isn't surprising. As a Michigander, I can tell you MI-9 is a weird district, PVI R+0, but seemingly should be more Republican. It's that outer ring of Detroit that the Republicans can never seem to win and has kept them from winning statewide office of late.
Posted on October 31, 2008 12:25 PM
Part of the explanation is that many of the people hardest hit by Katrina are now residing in other states.
Posted on October 31, 2008 12:42 PM
Yeah. Remember when Hillary Clinton's surrogates were arguing Obama couldn't win Michigan? Times sure have changed. Just about every MI poll in a month has shown Obama with a double-digit lead.
Posted on October 31, 2008 1:31 PM
arizona should be toss up from everything I have seen, come on pollster lets get up to date!
Posted on October 31, 2008 1:32 PM
Michigan will be a lot closer than you may think. Western Michigan will turn out in droves. Just like western PA.
Posted on October 31, 2008 2:30 PM
Just curious why you think that. There's nothing competitive to vote for, save Prop. 2 on stem cell research. The House races (MI-2, MI-3, MI-6) aren't competitive, the Senate race is a blowout, and the Presidential race clearly doesn't look that way as well. If Stabenow or Granholm were on the ballot, I'd agree, but they're not. If anything, I think Obama could steal a lot of votes out of Muskegon and Grand Rapids where the economy has really been hit hard.
Posted on October 31, 2008 4:12 PM
Having done some phone banking in a very red county in southern Mi. I was shocked by how many favorable responses I got for BO many from long time Republicans. As a long time resident I see Democratic signs in yards I would have never seen them in in previous years. I think Mi. will go big this cycle.
Posted on November 1, 2008 7:01 AM
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