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MN: Ratings, Pawlenty 2012 (Rasmussen 11/10)


Rasmussen
11/10/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Minnesota

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 51 / 48 (chart)
Gov. Pawlenty: 52 / 47 (chart)
Sen. Franken: 50 / 45 (chart)
Sen. Klobuchar: 58 / 38 (chart)
Rep. Bachmann (statewide approval): 51 / 45

Suppose Governor Tim Pawlenty runs for President in 2012 and wins the Republican nomination. If Pawlenty was the Republican Presidential candidate, would you vote for him?
42% Yes, 46% No

 

Comments
Xenobion:

So if Pawlenty runs he's essentially the Al Gore of his party and loses his home state.

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Stillow:

I do not see him running....he would not gain any real support. I don't even know why everyone talks about him....he's nothing speical or even exciting to republicans. Maybe an outside shot of a VP option, but I doubt it.

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Boomshak Don't Step to This:

Pawlenty seems plenty serious about running - he's doing speaking gigs in NH, has a field team in IA, and even created his own patriotically-named PAC. He seems so focused on 2012 that he's forgotten about his day job - and the fact that MN is not going to go red any time in the near future. But considering that the other repub. names being batted around in 2012 aren't eliciting any real interest in the general public, he's probably thinking "why the hell not, maybe I can get a book deal out of it."

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Stillow:

The general public is irrelevenat at this point. There is no excitement for him with the republican party who decides the nominee. All the polls I see show Pawnlenty getting far less than Romney, Huckabee, Palin....even Gingrich is getting more than Pawlenty.

But I guess there's always a field of long shots who run.

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Xenobion:

So far every Republican despite this sour climate loses to Obama pollingwise. I don't see the economy getting much worse than it is and potential candidates are gonna have to show up in 2010 if they are interested at all in getting a shot to actually win. The time is just about to come for Republicans to start rallying around a few potential candidates but that seems lacking so far.

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Gopherguy:

Stillow is absolutely right about Pawlenty. He's not a good speaker, he has no charisma, and he isn't an attractive guy. He's very blah. He wouldn't be a good candidate for president, but he could make himself into a VP.

One other note, Pawlenty's numbers are not as high as Rasmussen says here. People here in Minnesota don't like Pawlenty. He's a poor leader. I don't like Gingrich, but he knows how to lead, Pawlenty doesn't. If he got the nod against Obama he would lose his own state.

Other food for thought. Klobuchar's approval seems a little high, but close to where people feel about her. Bachman is under 50% (except in her district). Franken is probably about right. Definitely wrong on Obama. He's closer to Klobuchar than Franken.

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Stillow:

X

Show me a reputable poll showing anyone from an opposition party leading an incumbant president in his first year............! If any republican was leading Obama at this point it would be disasterous for Obama....when polling this year you look at watermarks....and Obama is in the 40's against candidiates like Huckabee in Romney....several points below his 2008 numbers.

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Stillow:

Oh and X, I totally disagree. The economy is poised for another huge hit in the form of RETAIL. After this shopping season is over and retailers get horrible sales because no one has any money to spend there willbe a wave of retail store closings and layoffs. Retail and commerical real estate are set for a absolutely horrible 2010. Also don't forget, we are still at a record high in mortgage defaults, 2010 will see another large wave of foreclosures.....its going to be another nasty year.

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Tobias:

There is absolutely NO WAY that Bachmann has a net positive approval rating in Minnesota. Rasmussen continues to be on another planet when it comes to their polls.

Who knows, Bachmann may see this and decide to run for Governor! It'd be one way to get her out of Congress.

BTW, Pawlenty is running for president. He might as well have already announced. he abandoned his post months ago.

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Gopherguy:

He is running, but he can't win.

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platanoman:

Actually, Stillow. Retail was up in October from last year. And there are retailers like Ambercrombie who reporter good numbers and now they are improving their outlook .

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Stillow:

Sorry, just drive around in any major city and look at all the store closings. You will start seeing ghost calls....there are entire strip malls now out there with no stores at all inthem. No one has any money, what ever disposible income they do have is taken by g'ment in the form of various taxes.

You wait and see, retail and commerical real estate, horrible 2010.

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platanoman:

I live in a major city. And I don't go by anecdotal evidence. I go by numbers. Now, I say the economy is weak. But, I think we are on our way out.

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