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MO: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 3/9)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
3/9/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Missouri

2010 Senate
47% Blunt, 41% Carnahan (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Roy Blunt: 56 / 37
Robin Carnahan: 47 / 48

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 42 / 56 (chart)
Gov. Nixon: 53 / 42 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I have decided I am going to have will power and not look at Rasmussen polls for 3 months. Other pollsters, yes, but I am going to come back to it 3 months from now and see how things have changed.

One pattern I see is that Obama's Gallup approval is at an all time low, however, I looked at the poll of polls and the approval of Republican leaders in the house, senate and favorability of 2008 Republican candidates is down too. This period is like the post watergate period where it took a long time for Americans to gain an ounce of faith in their government.

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Field Marshal:

FL&P: So you are saying you would rather look at fake polling?

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Farleftandproud:

No it isn't fake polling. I think the poll of polls is best. Also the Electoral Vote map comes out with the new races in May I think and they average all the polls out. I have been following this for 8 years and it has never been disappointing. Rasmussen is averaged with Mason Dixon which is conservative with PPP and polls that just include registered voters.

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UpstateConservative:

FL & P: did you completely miss the Massachusetts senate election? Did you completely miss New Jersey and Virginia? I'm sorry but the voter pool has completely changed from 2008. I know you can't accept it, but conservative whites are coming out to vote and minorities have given up on Obama.

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Stratos:

UpstateConservative:

Really, you believe that BS, what about the NY Congressional seat? This is a volatile time, and once Health Care passes and the sun rises, and people realize the lies the Cons have been generating, you will see a resurgent Democratic Party. The trouble with 1994 wasn't that Health Care was unpopular; it was because it did not pass. People want results, and we will give them results. I hope the Cons campaign to repeal, that may create a 70 seat majority.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

america has short term memory if you ask me. they just booted out a number of republicans in the last two cycles because they can't govern. Sure they can oppose the other side when they are trying to change things but thats all they can do. if people vote for them again, i am not sure why. no wonder nothing get's accomplished because it's a constant back and forth. it wasn't only Bush that was in charge of this last eight years. it was also a Republican majority in Congress from 1994-2006. rush said he will leave if we pass health care refor. i think that is incentive enough to pass it. He will go to Costa Rica. He wouldn't last a week there.

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Xenobion:

I agree with Merkey. The Republican's aren't doing anything new. They've repackaged old milk in new bottles. Only problem is it gets worse with age. I would suspect even if Tea Partiers get their way the Republicans haven't changed, their agenda is still in place. We'll just yo-yo back to a Dem president in 2016 after they screw everything up.

So for all those 2012 warners I really gotta warn you about 2016 lolz.

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Stillow:

So other than claiming Bush planned 9/11, writing books on how to kill president Bush and throwing eggs at Bush's car after inaugeration what did Dems stand for from 2001-2008???????? The miniorty party's job is to oppose the majoirty. The party in power controls the agenda.

Oh and did I mention doing so has lead to a plunging Obama job approval # now at its lowest on gallup and rassmussen and Dems trailing in poll after poll for elections this fall...not to mention the past couple electiosn they have already lost. So the GOP must be doing soemthing right.

Quick, in true dem fashion throw an egg at me.

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LordMike:

Bush never faced any real obstruction from the democrats. Even after the dems won congress, Bush got everything he wanted.

I know your celebrating impending victory in the fall, but it's generally unwise to celebrate a touchdown when you are still on the 20 yard line. I remember a certain Leon Lett who lazily waltzed, dancing into the end zone during the super bowl without a care in the world, only to have the ball knocked out of his hand at the one yard line for a touchback and loss of possession.

There's still a LOOOONG way to go...

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Wong:

The American minority party's job is to offer clear, concise alternatives, and to find common ground among those choices with the majority party when possible, with the goal of addressing the problems that confront America. Democrats did that with Bush , (no child left behind, etc.)

What the Republicans have decided to do now is oppose the current administration at every turn regardless of what is in the best interest of the nation. Those who participate are not patriots but political hacks intent on bringing down the house, if necessary, in order to gain political power.

Don't be surprised if when you take your turn to lead the nation, you do so from a pile of rubble

Figuratively speaking, of course.

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Thaddeus:

I remember listening to Sens. Shuman and Coleman doing a press club or somewhere piece in 2006. Shuman said that the elections of Dems in 2006 was a rejection of Repubs, not a embracing of the Dem platform and ideas for the future. They both agreed that the next lengthy party rule will come when a party develops a "plan" that the American people can get behind, and that may take another decade of turbulence. The resurgence of the repubs is part of that turbulence as the party constraining movement. Just wonder with the deficit and environment is we have a decade to waste. But that's democracy, it's pretty or quick most of the time.

I think some of the wild cards will be bringing troops home from Iraq and Afghanistan. Wait for the, "political timing" argument when they start coming home in August...

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Stillow:

LM - I was at that game in dallas. Not celebrating, but am optimistic from my side.

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Ryan:

"I think some of the wild cards will be bringing troops home from Iraq and Afghanistan. Wait for the, "political timing" argument when they start coming home in August..."

This argument was made clearly last year as soon as he announced his pullout date to be right before the 2010 elections. It was obvious then, why would it not be made if it actually happens?

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Field Marshal:

Wong,

The republicans when in charge didn't try to ram through HUGE pieces of legislation that was ideologically polar opposite to the Dems party platform. In order to get Bush's HSA expansion, he had to compromise on Medicare Part D and No Child Left Behind. Its called compromise.

The HCR bill had ZERO input from the GOP and now Dodd showed his true colors today dropping any bi-partisan agreements on a bill he was writing with Corker and is going to go it alone and hope he can get one GOP senator with him.

The Dems thought they could just ram everything through with their super-majority and in the process ticked off a large portion of the electorate. Serves them right too.

The reps in the meantime can do exactly what Pelosi and her crew did in '05 and '06. Sit back and just oppose. They knew what was coming and so do the Reps. The people were ticked off at the Reps back then for being big spending and big government legislators and are now even more angry at the Dems for doubling down on that nonsense.

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Xenobion:

The biggest fear for Republicans is this wave that comes in November will create an expectation, an expectation that will not bring anyone to the polls. Claiming victory 1 year in advance has got to wane. Looking 3 years in advance to 1012. Well people are just crazy to be doing that. Republicans have a winning message at the moment but at the point where the dialogue changes they might as well be screwed.

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Field Marshal:

"Oh and did I mention doing so has lead to a plunging Obama job approval # now at its lowest on gallup and rassmussen"


Having too much faith in an individual can often lead to despair. People who wake up from that fog often lash out, blaming everyone but themselves. I think we're the early stages of that from the Obama fanatics. The good news is, if there's a shred of rationality left in them, they learn from their mistake.

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