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Monkey Cage/Forum on the 2008 Elections

Topics: 2008 , Monkey Cage , Political Science

Something I meant to link to earlier: The political scientists over at The Monkey Cage are hosting an online discussion of the 2008 elections this week in collaboration with the electronic journal, The Forum. The discussion kicked off this morning with an introduction by John Sides that listed the articles by an impressive collection of PoliSci notables on "such topics as forecasting models, the nominations battle, the influence of race, the historical context of Obama’s victory, foreign affairs, and realignment."

The contributors at The Monkey Cage promise to post their reactions to the articles in hopes of spurring a week-long conversation with their readers. Should be interesting. They already have their first set of "reaction" posts up from John Sides, Andrew Gelman, Phil Klinkner and Lee Sigelman.

I haven't had a chance to delve into the papers yet, but Klinkner has posted an intriguing preview the article he co-authored with Tom Schaller based on two maps that show an amazing correspondence between counties where John McCain improved on the percentage of the vote won by George W. Bush in 2004 (below, in red) and those where "native southern whites make up 65 percent or more of the population" (see his post).

20090112_Klinkner-map.jpg
From Monkey Cage

 

Comments
Vicente Duque:

Thanks for excellent links to "Monkey Cage" and the interesting maps depicting a positive correlation between Strong McCainism and more than two thirds of "Native Southern Whites".

This may mean several possibilities and I may be wrong :

1) Those "Native Southern Whites" may be somewhat isolated from the rest of the Nation, that is less cell phones, less college education, more rural, less internet, more traditional in churches, less "metro" in jobs and work, etc ..

2) The possibility that contact with Minorities changes the Southern Whites, so that living close to "Others", or at least in the same town, make them more Obama fans.

3) I do not know if we can talk of "Islands of Tradition" in the Appalachians and South Central Regions.

I am linking your page here :

Prophesizing.com

Milenials.com

Vicente Duque

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