Mark Blumenthal | September 29, 2008
Topics: Status Update
Welcome to what political consultants call "Week 5" (the fifth calender week before the election). Partly because I reported in the last afternoon on Friday, and partly because few statewide pollsters interviewed on Friday, we have logged just nine new statewide polls since my last update. As such, we have not much to report, especially in the battleground states.
The only new survey we logged in a battleground state over the weekend was a new release from the Democratic firm Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner in Michigan.
While that survey shows a only two-point improvement for Obama on the
margin, it confirms and extends the upward trend for Obama in Michigan
evident on recent surveys.
The national forces graphs show only slight change since late Friday. The
Obama-minus-McCain margin on the state national forces trend line
(based on a mash-up of all state polls) shows a very slight drop, mostly because of new surveys from Friday and over the weekend in less frequently poll blue states, such as Oregon, Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island, all showing slightly tighter margins since the conventions.