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MS: McCain 55, Obama 37 (DailyKos-9/8-10)

Topics: PHome

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
9/8-10/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Mississippi
McCain 55, Obama 37
(7/23: McCain 51, Obama 42)

Sen: Wicker (R-i) 48, Musgrove (D) 43
(7/23: Wicker 45, Musgrove 44)

 

Comments
freedomreigns:

Musgrove taking a short drop but Wicker taking a convention bounce. Does it stay up is the question.

There is also some funny business going on when it comes to the election here. The election officials are doing all kinds of funky things to the ballot here.

Watch this racefor lawsuits.

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bonncaruso:

The correct numbers are:

McCain: 52
Obama: 39
Spread: McCain +13

KOS put out the wrong numbers initally. Please correct your records.

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nevermetasmartrepub:

Musgrove will win here. Much less likely for obama. This is mississippi after all. George bush could rape his daughter on live tv, and 50% of whites in mississippi would still approve of him.


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Chesty_LaRue:

I find it bizarre that a blatantly partisan outfit like Daily Kos would expect the public to accept polling data from them as credible and impartial. Would that not be akin to Rush Limbaugh running a polling firm? And wouldn't there be a tremendous incentive for them to skew data in order to influence perceptions?

In fact, wouldn't such an strategy be even more effective if they reflected expected results in the solidly blue and red states, while misleading in battleground polls? Just food for thought.

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zotz:

Well I guess the Dems can write off Ol' Miss. Darn it.

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boomshak:

Why the hell is DailyKos wasting time polling MS. Is that a battleground state?

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John:

@Chesty_LaRue:
Daily Kos do not run the polling firm. They have asked (and paid) the independent and non-partisan firm Research 2000 to do the polling. So the data should be credible, however the write-up is by Daily Kos and hence is may very well be partisan.

Mississippi will almost certainly stay red this year, although with a high turnout of AA voters the margin may be less than 10. In order for Obama to win, the electorate on the day would need to be near to 40% African-american (34% in 2004) and Obama would need to win at least 20% of white voters (only 14% voted for Kerry). Neither seems likely at this point.

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