Pollster.com

Again, the Obama field operation (and the two downticket Dems) could being him over the line here, especially with the final widening of the national numbers. Definitely good news.

Also notice that Ron Paul is getting 4% of vote here, there are not 5% undecideds left only 1%

Poll's party breakdown
D:35
R:34
I:31

Is MT not more republican than this sample?
I'm an Obama supporter, so I want to believe, but I find this surprising...

It'd be pretty amazing to have a northern strip of blue, ND and MT .. But an innate pessimism keeps me from buying it.

The Sen and Gov blowouts here also look interesting .. could Obama win MT on Schweitzer's coat-tails?

The "terror case" for dems is to win VA and CO, but lose PA (unlikely as it is). This would give Obama 268 EV ! 50%-1 :(
A small chance to win MT or ND is welcome, it could save the election in such a situation. But those scenarii are unlikely (

This would be an extraordinary and significant result for Obama to win Montana.

Brian Schweitzer's speech and delivery at the convention was just as impressive as Obama's was 4 years ago.

Incredible!

Montana is not as red as people think. Dem governor, 2 Dem Senators, Dem control in state house, split in state senate. Lone Congressman is Republican. Very independent minded voters. They tend to vote conservative for Pres, but this year could very well change. It could be close.

I would love for Obama to take Montana. In recent yerars, Montana has been trending more blue. In 2004, Schweitzer was elected governor and Tester upset Conrad Burns in 2006.

I also think that having Ron paul on the ballot is a major plus for Obama.

This is playing nicely into my predictions for Montana. I've been telling my parents to watch Ron Paul and Bob Barr in this state.

Even Schweitzer seems to be trying to tilt votes away from McCain to Barr to give Obama a better chance.

http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2008/10/montana-governor-schweitzer-d-says-libertarian-bob-barr-is-best-gun-candidate/

Again, nice use of Axelrod psyops money.

If Schweitzer pulls this off for Obama, he's definitely going to have a BIG future in the Dem Party.

Just an idle thought, but I believe Montana was one of the primaries in which Obama significantly outperformed the pre-election polls. That may not mean much for the general election, but I do think it suggests Montana may be a state where some serious GOTV organization could go a long way.

2700 LV? I tihnk they called the whole state!

I agree. There are more repubs in MT than dems. McCain should win here. Believe it or not, Palin works here.

I'd also think that Obama's GOTV would be much more effective in the cities than anything that McCain has put together. In a race this close they can start shakin' people out of bed for the necessary votes.

Much harder to canvass in the remoter areas.

Don't be shocked if Montana goes blue tomorrow. Obama can afford a significant GOTV effort there while McCain can not. It could be the difference if it's really this close.

striatic,
"It'd be pretty amazing to have a northern strip of blue, ND and MT .. But an innate pessimism keeps me from buying it."

Yes, wouldn't that be great! A contiguous strip of blue all the way from Maine to San Diego!

@shirefox

Sorry to burst your bubble, but Idaho's tip blocks the way. Friggin' Idaho.