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NV: 2010 Sen (MasonDixon 10/6-8)


Mason Dixon / Las Vegas Review Journal
10/6-8/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
300 Republicans, 6% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(LVRJ release)

Nevada

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
23% Sue Lowden
21% Danny Tarkanian
9% Sharron Andle
1% Bill Paron
1% Robin Titus
1% Mike Wiley
0% Chuck Kozak
0% John Chachas
0% Mark Amodei

2010 Senate: General Election
Tarkanian 48%, Reid 43%
Lowden 49%, Reid 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable
Harry Reid: 38 / 50
Sue Lowden: 31 / 15
Danny Tarkanian: 30 / 11

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Seems that you could put a Las Vegas showgirl against Reid and they would win. Anyone but Reid is the calling here. I think 2010 will largely be an anyone but the incumbent-type election. Similar to 2006.

In 2006, the Dems were leaderless and were the party of No. We know have the Dem party in control with the Reps being the party of no. While i would like to see the GOP put out more ideas and develop new leadership, their main goal should be to simply stay on the sidelines.

Fact is, this congress has been a true disaster. They have had a super-majority now for 10 months and have not passed a single piece of meaningful legislation except the stimulus which has a 2-1 overall un-favorability ratio.

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Gopherguy:

These polls mean nothing until 12 months from now. With that being said, I wouldn't mind seeing Harry Reid lose. He's an atrocious leader.

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RaleighNC:

If Reid somehow manages to win, why would the democrats keep them as their "leader" in the Senate?

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Jacob S:

Doesn't it seem strange that 60 percent of the sample was Republican? Most national polls show that no more than 30 percent of the country is Republican. Maybe I am misinterpreting the poll information.

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John:

They would of oversampled republican's for their primary to have at least a decent size sample (although 300 is still pretty small).

For the general,
'Party affiliation breakdown in the poll was reflective of state registration figures, with 44 percent Democrats, 36 percent Republicans and 20 percent independents. Questions about the Republican primary were limited to a sampling of 300 Republicans. Those results have a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points.'

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Stillow:

The Dems really should primary Reid. He is so unpopular here and its aacross party lines. His dopy son rory is running for governor too, unforutnately for him he has the last name of Reid.

All of our leading politicans here are crappy. Gibbons, Reid and Ensign all need to go.Gibbons will lose i nthe primary. So that is a start.

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bongocongo:

OUTLIER!
WORTHLESS!

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