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NC: 2010 Sen (PPP 1/15-18)

Topics: poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
1/15-18/10; 678 likely voters, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

North Carolina

2010 Senate
Burr 45%, Generic Democrat 36% (chart)
Burr 45%, Cunningham 36% (chart)
Burr 46%, Lewis 34% (chart)
Burr 44%, Marshall 37% (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Burr: 36 / 33 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Cal Cunningham: 6 / 8
Kenneth Lewis: 7 / 10
Elaine Marshall: 19 / 12

 

Comments
Louis:

Have really burned out on the comments here. Nobody talks to each other only attempts to score points. I do not except myself from falling into this behavior. Just won't be patcipating anymore. Will of course continue to follow the polls.

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Stillow:

Good luck to you on whichever blog site you end up at.

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Field Marshal:

Don't understand the polling of "generic dem" when you have 3 Dems running in the primary.

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JMSTiger:

Burr will easily get reelected in November. Probably by 10%-15%. Very, very few Democrats have a chance in the South during this cycle, especially against an incumbent.

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Stillow:

I agree. Burr will take this easily. 6 months ago I had this race as a pickup for the Dems, but things have just changed to much since then.......

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Xenobion:

lol you're grand Stillow. There hasn't been a dem in this race that can get within any decent range of Burr. You really had this race for Dems 6 months ago when they were polling if not exactly the same? I'd love to hear your explanation of that one.

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Stillow:

Go back and read my posts...I thought obama's momentum it taking this state in 2008 would carry over....and with Dole losing also I thought this seat was primed for a pickup by dems...since burr is not al lthat popular.

Not sure why your shcoked....

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MikeyA:

Again enthusiasm has to apply.

I thought Burr would lose as well. The only thing that could prevent it was a huge swell for the Repubs.

After NJ, MA, and NC neighbor to the North, VA all signs point to not just a red wave but a HUGE red wave. That will be more than enough to propel Burr. It may not be pretty, it won't be a landslide, but I believe Burr will win. We are still a year out and a win here could be the ONLY thing that keeps the Dems from losing the Senate.

I'm still shocked that despite Burr's unlikeability how none of his competitors even show up on the radar. You could probably actually run a donkey and pick up 30% of the vote in this race.

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me.yahoo.com/a/HiguHcIgit3yWYW2qjd6wkhlyKo-:

Stillow's analysis would have been dead on 6 to 8 months ago. You have to remember the history of this seat and the history of Senate elections in NC. No one has been reelected to this seat since Sam Ervin last ran for reelection in 1968. In fact , since 1972 no Senator, Republican or Democrat, except for Jesse Helms has been reelected to the Senate or served more than one term. Couple those facts with Obama and Hagan's wins in NC in 2008 and almost every politically minded person I know here in NC thought Burr was in BIG trouble 6 or 8 months ago.

Also, the wrong conclusions are being drawn of Burr's favorable/unfavorable numbers. Yes Burr only has a 36% approval, however his 33% disapproval number is uncommonly low for a statewide elected official in NC. A dispproval number under 40 is actually very good for someone elected statewide in NC. The real story is that 31% have no opinion of Burr favorable or unfavorable. This is due to Burr having taken an unusually low profile in NC for a Senator and flying under the radar for most of his first term. This may actually benefit Burr this year as voters seem poised to take out their anger on highly visible, entrenced "Washington politicians."

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