Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

NC: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 1/27)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
1/27/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

North Carolina

2010 Senate
Burr (R) 47%, Marshall (D) 37% (chart)
Burr (R) 50%, Cunningham (D) 34% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Richard Burr: 56 / 32 (chart)
Elaine Marshall: 41 / 36
Cal Cunningham: 34 / 29

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 48 / 52 (chart)
Gov. Perdue: 39 / 60 (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Burr at 50 or below means he's vulnerable. One of the few Reps up for re-election that is in this condition.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

Wow. Obama's approval is higher in NC according the Ras than PA or Iowa. That is rather embarassing to Obama.

____________________

Billy Chunge:

Obama's approval looks very good. Keep in mind NC has a higher percentage of AAs compared to PA and IA. GDP today was very good. When jobs picture starts looking good, I expect approval to be higher. Repubs have locked themselves in to a really tight corner. They are banking all their hopes on a bad jobs market going into November.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

The AA VOte in NC is significant, but than again PA also has a lot more liberal minded universities and NC is still part of the bible belt. I don't really know western PA that much. The philly area, and Scranton, and Harrisburgh don't seem too conservative, but some of the parts in between Pitt and Philly are like Kansas I am told.

NC has had a growing economy, and many areas like the research triangle and Raleign Durham have transplants from other parts of the country. THat has probably changed the Demographics of both VA and NC.

____________________

Stillow:

This race used to be a toss up, but since the Dem party has collapsed everywhere, this seat will be safe red.

____________________

Cyril Washbrook:

@Field Marshal: He's not vulnerable. The low numbers suggest that people are keeping an open mind, but Burr's favourable numbers are good and he should win comfortably. In light of Burr's personal popularity, I'm not sure the Dems would have had a really good chance even in a more favourable political climate.

____________________

Aaron_in_TX:

After 2008, NC was considered possible for dems but a longshot. In this environment it's impossible.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR