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NC- UNAFFILIATED: 39% Burr, 32% Marshall (Civitas 8/16-18)

Topics: North Carolina , poll

Correction: This is a poll of unaffiliated likely voters only and will not be included in our charts

Civitas Insitute / National Research (R)
8/16-18/10; 400 UNAFFILIATED likely voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Civitas release)

North Carolina

2010 Senate
39% Burr (R), 32% Marshall (D), 7% Beitler (L)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Richard Burr: 37 / 31
Elaine Marshall: 23 / 17

 

Comments
billwy:

22% undecided is extremely high. It is so hard to imagine that 32% don't have an opinion of Burr. However, I will say this. Given that 3rd party candidates usually poll higher than they perform, Burr can probably be said to have more than a 7 point lead-and closer to 10 or 11.

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This appears to be an odd poll, in that it specifically excluded people who were either Democrats or Republicans. I believe that there are more registered Dems than Reps in NC, so Marshall may be a lot closer to Burr than it looks.

Also, the Civitas press release said that 34% of the "unaffiliated voters" they surveyed had never even heard of Elaine Marshall, which is good news for her if she can get her message out.

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ErikEckles:

This is amongst Unaffiliated Likely Voters, which explains both the high undecided and Libertarian support. Because partisans are much more likely to both be decided and support their party, it's very possible this is an accurate poll. The overall numbers could easily be something like

Burr 46
Marshall 40
Beitler 2

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Farleftandproud:

If this is unnafiliated voters, Marshall might win this thing! There would have to be a slight shift to Marshall by 3 percent, if the poll is correct.

Burr is so lucky he is running for re-election in such a bad Democratic year, because if this were not a midterm after 2 years of a Democratic president, he would lose handily.

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