10/18-20/08; 627 LV, 4%
McCain 47, Obama 47
Sen: Hagan (D) 46, Dole (R-i) 45, Cole (L) 5
Gov: McCrory (R) 46, Perdue (D) 43, Munger (L) 7
So the roller-coaster ride continues in the polls.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:06 PM
Nice! +1 Obama, -2 McCain v. 2 weeks ago.
This state is a dead heat. The Libertarian is killing Dole here...good for him/her.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:18 PM
Senator Dole is up with some very effective ads. Obama is seriously over-doing the TV spots. People are sick of them. Just ask anyone in NC and they will tell you it has now become a huge turnoff.
I assume SUSA is including the western counties in its "Charlotte" area, which is kind of odd. I guess it all works out in the end, but that area is vastly different from Charlotte.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:30 PM
A pure toss-up. The senate race is also very important. This state comes down to the ground game.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:36 PM
now that all 3 big NC polls have come out for the week, the trends are Obama +3 in Ras, Obama +4 in PPP, and Obama +3 in SUSA. This even though the McCain campaign has started to pepper the state with appearances. I'll take a 50-50 shot to turn NC blue on election day no questions asked.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:40 PM
oops, NC is back to yellow on the map!
This poll should really have a (R) next to it: very right leaning pollster.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:45 PM
McCain has an EXCELLENT new ad running in NC. It is actually him speaking directly for a change and he looks great.
I think there is a good chance people are going to get burnt out on Obama 24/7 with the ads and start being annoyed by it.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:47 PM
Lol, ur kidding right? SUSA is NOT a right-leaning pollster. Kinda nutty and all over the place, yes, but right winger? No.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:48 PM
People have been saying that people are going to be "burnt out" on Obama since last January.
Posted on October 21, 2008 5:49 PM
The very fact that North Carolina is a toss-up state two weeks before the election has Republicans around the country quaking in their boots. I love it. :)
Posted on October 21, 2008 6:06 PM
Gender and race samples are markedly different from 2004 exit poll. In 2004, 26% were AA (in this poll only 20%). In 2004, gender split was 41-59 m-f (in this poll 49-51 m-f)
Posted on October 21, 2008 8:56 PM
Watch McShame love for PA
Posted on October 21, 2008 9:06 PM
And as all the National Polls EXPLODE for Obama (with the exception of Rasmussen, Battleground and ARG), the states polls all draw closer.
Personally, I think that the Obama camp is seeing internal polling they don't like and is in a MAJOR push with their friends in the MSM to portray this race as over and unwinnable by McCain.
I mean, 2 days ago, this was a 5 point race. Taoday it is a 12 point race? I mean, c'mon, all because of the Powell endorsement? The Biden gaffe is having no effect at all?
Nope, from here on out, I'll watch Rasmussen. If he calls it a blowout, then I will start to think it may be. But I am NOT buying all these 10+ point leads that have suddenly exploded for Obama in 2 days.
Posted on October 22, 2008 6:18 AM
Internals: Already Voted (Early voting in NC)
Posted on October 22, 2008 10:08 AM
Comments: (you may use HTML tags for style)
Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.
Please email us to report offensive comments.
See our comment policy here. Note that we require commenters to share their email address via Typekey. We will never share your email address with anyone without your explicit permission.
MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR