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NC: McCain 50, Obama 48 (Rasmussen-10/23)

Topics: PHome

Rasmussen
10/23/08; 700 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

North Carolina
McCain 50, Obama 48

 

Comments
alankeyesisawesome:

BAM!!!!!
Take that Obama! You are going to lose!

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bpd1069:

McCain campaign worker ADMITS making up attack story: http://kdka.com/local/attack.McCain.Bloomfield.2.847628.html

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bpd1069:

PITTSBURGH (KDKA) ― Police sources tell KDKA that a campaign worker has now confessed to making up a story that a mugger attacked her and cut the letter "B" in her face after seeing her McCain bumper sticker.

Ashley Todd, 20, of Texas, initially told police that she was robbed at an ATM in Bloomfield and that the suspect became enraged and started beating her after seeing her GOP sticker on her car.

Police investigating the alleged attack, however, began to notice some inconsistencies in her story and administered a polygraph test.

Authorities, however, declined to release the results of that test.

Investigators did say that they received photos from the ATM machine and "the photographs were verified as not being the victim making the transaction."

This afternoon, a Pittsburgh police commander told KDKA Investigator Marty Griffin that Todd confessed to making up the story.

The commander added that Todd will face charges; but police have not commented on what those charges will be.

According to police, investigators working on the interview process detected several inconsistencies in Todd's story that differed from statements made in the original police report.

Pittsburgh Police Public Information Officer Diane Richard released a statement earlier today, saying: "Because of the inconsistencies in her statements, Ms. Todd was asked to submit to a polygraph examination which she agreed to do."

No photos of Todd are being released by Pittsburgh Police at this time.

The investigation is continuing as officials determine what charges will be filed.

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colorado resident:

I knew that McCain campaign worker was lying! And she blamed it on a black man, wow that is playing the race card. You don't have to be African American to know how wrong that is in so many ways. I hope she faces some charges & is put behind bars for trying to influence the presidential election.
alankeyesisawesome, honey, we really don't need North Carolina to win! (Especially when those McCain supporters are showing us just how crazy and desperate they really are)

GO OBAMA!!!!!

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bpd1069:

Ashley the Race-Baiter for McCain!

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Atomique:

"BAM!!!!!
Take that Obama! You are going to lose!"

LOL Yeah it's always bad for the Democrat when he's down 2 in North Carolina according to a GOP-leaning pollster 11 days before the election.

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Atomique:

By the way, if you really expect McCain to win, do yourself a favor: put all your money into McCain stock on Intrade and you will have over six times as much money in two weeks.

Oh wait, what's that? You know as well as anyone that Obama is going to win so you won't do it? Thought so.

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Babbit:

Yeah, she even said his socks were black. What a crazy world we live in.

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adocarbog:

Georgia, Georgia on my mind

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Indiana4Obama:

I think this poll has already been proven suspicious...A Monday RAS poll for NC had Obama winning independents easily...here it's exactly reversed. How convenient...

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RaleighNC:

Believe it. I told y'all last week there was a surge of McCain signs and bumper stickers.

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kerrchdavis:

If Obama loses NC by 2 on election day, he has won the election VERY comfortably.

9 days till landslide...

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TuftsPat:

With all the polls with Obama leads, I think this is an example where the MOE really does matter and probably really means Obama is up +1. This is the first NC poll with a McCain lead since 10/6. Since then, all polls are either ties (2) or Obama leads (7).

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Indiana4Obama:

The last 7 NC polls have all had Obama with a lead, including one from Rasmussen on Monday. This during a period in which early voting in NC is extraordinarily high.

NC will be close, no doubt, but Obama's overwhelming success in the primaries should put him in good shape.

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fox:

Shocking Fox News executive vice president calls election for Obama.

http://foxforum.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/10/23/jmoody_1023/

"If the incident turns out to be a hoax, Senator McCain’s quest for the presidency is over, forever linked to race-baiting."

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w110pxp:

i agree, if obama gets that close in NC on election day he will win very easily

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kerrchdavis:

This poll probably oversampled Ashley Todd sympathizers. This will be O+5 before 6pm est.

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Kile Thomson:

** Prediction **

Obama will win NC

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fox:

Al the Shoesalesman Gets a Tax Cut

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=99HzP6BQm5Y

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Hmm

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MichaelJason:

1) There was a 37 pt swing with Independents. Rasmussen is a GOP pollster and friends with Rupert Murdoch of Foxnews. Rupert probably paid Scott Rasmussen to reverse the trend as Repubs were losing morale.

2) Rasmussen is the only pollster (not sure why) who does not include early voters. (very dumb). SurveyUSA and Zogby show Obama dominating early voters by more then a 2:1 margin, so if this 50/48 lead is true, which I doubt, Obama still will in the state by an average of 2.4 pts.

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boomshak:

Yep, like I told you, Team Obama is FREAKIN OUT because their internal polls are showing McCain surging in battleground states.

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tar_heel:

Ras is a very reputable pollster. This poll is not good news for O but just confirms that the race in my home state is too close to call.

My own unsophisticated Charlotte, NC poll is showing different results. My son attends a special program at a public school together with eleven other kids who've been together since second grade. Four years ago, they split 7-4 for Kerry. Today, these same kids (and their parents) go for Obama 11-0.

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hou04:

Rasmussen released a NC poll on Monday showing Obama with the lead overall, and a big lead among independents... and then he decides to release another poll a few days later with McCain in the lead, and big lead among independents.

Polling until you see the result you wanna see.

He did the same thing with OH last week... released a poll on Monday, then decided to release another one for OH on Thursday to show McCain's "comeback in OH".

Nice... just throwing some red meat to the base.

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PortlandRocks:

Atomique:

AWESOME RESPONSE AND SO TRUE LOL

"LOL Yeah it's always bad for the Democrat when he's down 2 in North Carolina according to a GOP-leaning pollster 11 days before the election."

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Rippleeffect:

You know, in reading these comments, it seems as if no Obama supporter has ever cheated, lied, or failed at anything before.

Select Acorn Obama supporters come to mind.

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BrookLynda:

I think Willie Horton attacked the campaign worker.

If you had told me right after the GOP convention that BHO would be down by 2 in NC 11 days before the election I would have said maybe you should stop smoking all that cough syrup.

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Hope Reborn:

MOE folks... nothing more, nothing less

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boomshak:

@Indiana4Obama:

I think this poll has already been proven suspicious...A Monday RAS poll for NC had Obama winning independents easily...here it's exactly reversed. How convenient...

I HAVE BEEN TRYING TO TELL YOU!
I have a friend who has a friend who works for Obama and they said that their new internal polls showed McCain surging in battleground states.

They are freaked out about it.

I didn't make that up and this poll proves it.

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Hope Reborn:

One day polls were proven pretty suspect by this excellent posting. Don't read too much into it before you read up the posting.

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MichaelJason:

Georgia in play! Insider Advantage/Politico: Obama 48/McCain 47

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political_junki:

October 24, 2008
Categories: Fox News Channel

Fox exec: Alleged mugging will decide race
Fox's executive Vice President for News, John Moody, last night cast the alleged mugging in Pittsburgh as a watershed in the race:

If Ms. Todd’s allegations are proven accurate, some voters may revisit their support for Senator Obama, not because they are racists (with due respect to Rep. John Murtha), but because they suddenly feel they do not know enough about the Democratic nominee.

If the incident turns out to be a hoax, Senator McCain’s quest for the presidency is over, forever linked to race-baiting.

The reality, I think, was that times have changed enough that this story -- for all its racial edge, and for all the outrage of it having been faked -- was never going to determine the election. But the false, and racially-charged, allegation by a McCain volunteer isn't going to help him in Pennsylvania.

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kerrchdavis:

I'm gonna head to Walgreens this afternoon to buy some "Thank You" cards for Ashley Todd. Anyone want me to pick one up for them too?

Well, at least the RNC can put all its money into the senate races now. The Presidential election officially ended today.

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PortlandRocks:

What's really great about this year is that were are down in NORTH CAROLINA TWO AND DEMS ARE WORRIED. You guys. NORTH CAROLINA! ROFL

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PortlandRocks:

It had drawn wide local and national -- even political attention, with the McCain and Obama campaigns weighing in -- but now the Ashley Todd story has fallen apart. Police in Pittsburgh have now declared the tale a hoax and the woman, who has confessed, now faces charges for her deed.

Earlier today, John Moody, executive vice president at Fox News, commented on his blog there that "this incident could become a watershed event in the 11 days before the election. If Ms. Todd's allegations are proven accurate, some voters may revisit their support for Senator Obama, not because they are racists (with due respect to Rep. John Murtha), but because they suddenly feel they do not know enough about the Democratic nominee.

"If the incident turns out to be a hoax, Senator McCain's quest for the presidency is over, forever linked to race-baiting."

He titled his posting: "Moment of Truth." Indeed.

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political_junki:

boomshak:
You are becoming more irrelevant every day in this forum. You have even ran out of talking points :) Pathetic.

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Indiana4Obama:

Boom,
Every state poll released over the past couple of days proves otherwise. There's nothing in internal polling that obviously has Obama too scared. He'll be in Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado this weekend on his way back from Hawaii.

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boomshak:

YOU MOONBATS CRACK ME UP:

When Ras gives you a poll you like he is God. When he doesn't, he is dirty Republican Pollster.

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TuftsPat:

Obama with 8 point lead in VA and 10 point lead in PA and CNN is trying to say that the race is "tightening."

Please, guys.

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BlueInTexas:

@Rippleeffect

Well I don't think any of us said a white man attacked us and carved a 'J' on our face ... backwards.

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kerrchdavis:

@Portland

I mean, look at the states that are in play:

NC, MO, ND, IA, GA, WV, MT

Are you Fing kidding me? lol. And these clowns are on here talking about a SURGE?

roflmao!

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MichaelJason:

I actually have one of my best friends working directly for the Obama campaign and Boomshak is completely lying. Only a few trusted sources see internal polls. Among them, David Axelrod, David Plouffe, Valerie Jarrett, Barack Obama, and Michelle Obama. His "friend of a friend" crap is BS. My friend is a high level field director and said he can't even get internals for polling. Boom is blowing smoke to try to rile up Dems.

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DecaturMark:

@Boom

But Obama down 2 is still within the MOE. So like you said in reference to McCain and the TIPP poll: Obama is winning!!!

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HaloFan:

You knew she was lying from day one
Look at her “b” on her face its backwards she did it herself looking in a mirror.

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Stillow:

I thought only ACORN made up fony democratic voters....now McCain campaign staff is making up fake Dems...how is the GOP supposed to win with al lthese fony democrats everywhere?

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PortlandRocks:

boomshak YOUR EXACT ****ING WORDS on the national polls. You only listen to Gallop, IB whatever, and BG. Now you like Ras again? ROFL Oh and you said (Gallop only if they show McCain surging.) ROFL You are the biggest idiot I have ever seen on a blog.

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[nemesis]:

boomshak:
"When Ras gives you a poll you like he is God. When he doesn't, he is dirty Republican Pollster."

I think I just peed a little bit in my pants. Did you actually just type that? This coming from the guy that DAILY switches favorite pollsters, and up to a few hours ago was grouping Ras with the dumb outrageous pollsters. You're a complete raving lunatic!

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fed:

NC early voting
(real numbers)

926,155
2008 2004
Party

Dem
55.9% 48.6%
Rep
27.3% 37.4%
None
16.8% 14.1%
Age

18-29
11.0%
30-44
18.4%
45-64
41.3%
65+
29.3%
Race

White
67.9%
Black
28.4%
Other
3.8%
Sex

Men
42.7% 56.6%
Women
56.5% 42.9%
Ballot

Absentee
10.8% 13.1%
One-Stop
89.2% 86.9%

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Rollin08:

LOL DecaturMark:

2 is within the MOE. Obama is winning! Boomshak does this all the time.

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Indiana4Obama:

I just realized this was a 1-day poll. Too funny...I'll do the smart thing and IGNORE it altogether.

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PortlandRocks:

And keeping with my BIG PICTURE theory it's time for a Reality check for Boom****:

RCP Average 10/18 - 10/23 -- -- 48.6 47.6 Obama +1.0

Rasmussen 10/23 - 10/23 700 LV 4.0 48 50 McCain +2
WSOC-TV 10/20 - 10/21 500 LV 4.4 48 46 Obama +2
CNN/Time 10/19 - 10/21 644 LV 4.0 51 47 Obama +4
SurveyUSA 10/18 - 10/20 627 LV 4.0 47 47 Tie
Politico/InAdv 10/19 - 10/19 698 LV 3.6 49 48 Obama +1
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/19 - 10/19 1000 LV 3.0 51 48 Obama +3
Winthrop/ETV 09/28 - 10/19 744 LV 3.6 45 44 Obama +1
Civitas/TelOpinion (R) 10/18 - 10/20 600 RV 4.2 48 45 Obama +3
PPP (D) 10/18 - 10/19 1200 LV 2.8 51 44 Obama +7
Research 2000 10/14 - 10/15 600 LV 4.0 46 44 Obama +2
InAdv/PollPosition 10/13 - 10/13 474 LV 5.0 48 46 Obama +2
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/12 - 10/12 1000 LV 3.0 48 48 Tie
PPP (D) 10/11 - 10/12 1196 LV 2.8 49 46 Obama +3
Rasmussen 10/08 - 10/08 700 LV 3.0 49 48 Obama +1
Civitas/TelOpinion (R) 10/06 - 10/08 600 LV -- 48 43 Obama +5

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boomshak:

@MichaelJason:

All I'm tellin you is what I heard and it was confirmed by this new poll.

Big movement to McCain. i stand by my friends insider news.

____________________

ucla54:

praise allah! and jesus!

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kerrchdavis:

Boomshak is lecturing the forum for cherry picking polls?

ROFLMAOHAHAHLOLDMALNDLANDAHDOAOMGIAMABOUTTODIE!

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MichaelJason:

You have a very dishonest friend Boomshak. You should go on eharmony.com and find a new one.

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[nemesis]:

By friend, boomshak is once again referring to the piece of rabbit fur he rubs on his dick at night.

____________________

BlueInTexas:

I was always told that 'imaginary friends' should never exist beyond adolescence...

____________________

political_junki:

@BOOM:
Your only friend(enemy?) is your delusional brain.

____________________

sunnymi:
____________________

boomshak:

Election 2008: North Carolina Presidential Election

McCain Up 50% to 48% in North Carolina
Friday, October 24, 2008 Email to a Friend
North Carolina, for years a safely Republican state, has been seesawing up and down between the two presidential candidates in recent weeks. John McCain now leads Barack Obama by two points, 50% to 48%, in the Tar Heel State, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.

In a survey released on Monday, Obama was ahead by three, 51% to 48%. Last week, the race was tied.

But this is the first time the Republican has been ahead since the middle of September. Prior to that he had been leading Obama for months.

I friggin TOLD YOU. The Obama internal polls are f*cked.

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IWillWorkHarder:

I'm almost starting to think Boom is faking it. I really thought he was legit for a long time but today it's been just a little too much. Maybe he's just as excited as the rest of us about the landslide potential and is posting more enthusiastically as a result...

____________________

BarackO'Clinton:

Guys!!!

My dad lives in Florida. Lifelong Republican. Never voted for a Democrat in his life.

He just emailed me and my siblings to tell us he just voted for Obama. He said he was thinking about us and that the idea of Palin as President was unacceptable.

Way to go Dad!!

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freedomreigns:

ok, everyone relax. This is neither a "cherry-picked poll" nor it is a demonstrations of a "tightening race".

Any changes within the MoE is statistical noise.(particularlly so close another poll by the same pollster)

-Republicans, this isn't evidence of a tightening.
-Democrats, this isn't Ras manually editing polling data. (which is frankly a silly thing to say)

This is nothing but a single demonstration of a larger trend. That trend is: NC is too close to call!

Just cool your jets and wait for more polls before you say any single poll is a demonstration of any trend.

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boomshak:

sunnymi,

PPP is a well known democrat pollster and fully in the tank for obozo.

____________________

MichaelJason:

Well one thing is for sure, he is a liar. No internal polls would be leaked to the media. If they were leaked, it was a headfake. No campaign would ever leak ACCURATE internals.

____________________

Napoleon Complex:

@Indiana4Obama:

Right. Plus they've got 53% of respondents saying that Bush has done a fair to excellent job as President. Even my most conservative friends here think Bush is an idiot. They must have been polling at Fort Bragg.


____________________

boomshak:

DOW rallying hard into the close.

____________________

Nhoj:

if obama is winning almost 90 percent of dems in NC i dont think hes likely to lose and the huge independent swing is also strange but i dont believe this is ras fudgeing polls at all its just his sampling seems to have been screwed up either for this one or the previous poll.

____________________

sunnymi:


@Boomshak

I do not care if a pollster is Democratic or Republican as long as they give me the internals and they look reasonable and not cooked up.

____________________

BarackO'Clinton:

Guys, we don't even need NC.

Chill.

____________________

boomshak:

WHAT'S REALLY HAPPENING:

Obama is losing.

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[nemesis]:

HAHA, boomshak made a prediction that the DOW would rally hard into the close, an it promptly tanked again.

____________________

Stonecreek:

Not surprisingly, Rasputin's numbers don't add up in this NC poll. Look at this:

5*Overall, who do you trust more on economic issues and managing the economy—John McCain or Barack Obama?

51% McCain
46% Obama


Obama's "trust on the economy" numbers consistently run HIGHER than his "will vote for" numbers (just as McCain's "trust on terrorism" numbers outpace his "will vote for" numbers). Now Rasputin is trying to tell us that McCain is enjoying a 5% advantage on the economy in NC, but only a 2% advantage in voter support? That ain't right, and Ras knows it.

Anyone have a justification for these numbers that I haven't thought of?

____________________

[nemesis]:

Looks like traders have caught onto the fact that a boomshak prediction is correct approximately 0% of the time.

____________________

M2:

Is Bob Barr on the NC ballot? I'd think he would be and, if so, I imagine he might draw a decent number of votes from McCain.

____________________

BlueInTexas:

@Boom

That's great about the DOW - when do all the jobs come back?

____________________

fox:

Boomshak is a shining example of republican desperation

____________________

ricbrig:
____________________

Thatcher:

http://www.tipponline.com/
IBD/TIPP is now up

October 24
Obama 45.8%
McCain 42.3%
Und 11.9%
+3.5 Obama

+2.4 improvement over yesterday

____________________

sunnymi:

@[nemesis]
HAHA, boomshak made a prediction that the DOW would rally hard into the close, an it promptly tanked again.

Good One!
I guess Boomshak is the biggest jinx anyone can get on their side!

____________________

Indiana4Obama:

This is undoubtedly a targeted 1-day poll. I'm not saying it was done intentionally to show broader support for Mccain, but the internals do seem to suggest the polling was primarily in areas very favorable to Republicans.

I feel much better already!

____________________

hou04:

IBD/TIPP

Obama 46
McCain 42

Boom, McCain surging! :)

____________________

mandalorianarmy:

OMG Boom just shut the **** up. Unless you have some actual evidence of a change in this race do not rant and rave like you know something.

Nothing short of a miracle would bring the McCain campaign back from the dead.

____________________

Thatcher:

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/Polls.aspx?id=309726105567795

IBD/TIPP
Freaking crosstabs still f*&cked up though ...

as an example

18-24
Obama 30%
McCain 64%

ROFLMAO

____________________

MichaelJason:

Obama will win Georgia. The Insider Advantage poll is O+1, and Rasmussen is M+5 which means a tie, because Rasmussen consistently underpolls the Democrat by 5 pts. Bob Barr is in Georgia and other polls show him sifting 5% to 6% of the vote.

My prediction in Georgia: Obama 48%, McCain 47%, Barr 5%

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[nemesis]:

HAHA, IBD has Obama back up to +3.5. I still don't trust them at all, but boomshak can't even count on the crap polls now. Absolutely hilarious.

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/Polls.aspx?id=309726105567795

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ricbrig:

in this IBD/TIPP poll McCain leads big among young voters again:
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/Polls.aspx?id=309726105567795

must be the famous boom's friend who is in charge of this poll

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Indiana4Obama:

I'd like to see Obama visit Colorado on his way back from Hawaii. I see that he's scheduled in NM and NV tomorrow...maybe Colorado Sunday???

Also, I can envision trips next week to MO/IN/FL/NC/VA/OH....

____________________

BlueInTexas:

@Indiana4Obama:

He needs to add PA to that list if that's the case.

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sunnymi:

HAHA! IBD/TIPP showing a O+3.5 despite a reversed 18-24 demographic....Fix that to the way it is supposed to be and you have got an Obama lead well over 5 points.

What will Drudge, Faux News and Boomshak do today?

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MDB1974:

why do people bother to argue with boom (or even acknowledge)? what's it the point?

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DecaturMark:

I think Obama will spend the last Sun and Mon in PA. they don't have early voting so strike while the iron is hot!!!

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political_junki:

@BOOM:
Even IBD/TIPP is moving away. I guess they know they have messed up they will adjust their young voters weighting. They will be Obama +7 by monday along with Rass

____________________

boomshak:

IBD/TIPP statistical noise day.

Obama loses in shocker!

____________________

sunnymi:

@MDB1974

I agree with ya :-)

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NYCREALAMERICAN:

This is Good News for Sydney? Being up 2% in NC, not including early voters, 11 days before voting ends.

If you say so.

I've been sleeping great at night the last week, though now I'm starting to feel like a teenager at Christmas: yeah, I know what I'm getting, but I'm just soo excited to get it, I can't wait.


Boom - enjoy your socks, mittens and underwear.

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ZanzibarBuckBuckMcFate:

Oops, looks like the "most accurate" poll had Obama up +3.5 again. It's an Obama surge!

____________________

Indiana4Obama:

I'm not sure how much time Obama will spend in PA the rest of the way. He did a tour of Philly last week and polls still show him in great shape.

He may do a rally there close to election day, though my guess is he spends the last day in Virginia with an evening rally in northern Virginia.

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NYCREALAMERICAN:

I have a friend who has a friend at IDB, they are embarassed and never thought anyone would or could check their crosstabs an now need to slowly move things back to where they are suppossed to be before the election or they fear they will never get utilized as a reputable pollster again.

____________________

BrookLynda:

I get so confused: which one is the real Boom? Shak, or Shack?

____________________

maddiekat:

I guess the investers friend the TIPP Poll finally realized that Obama is 7-8 points up so they better get their ass headed in that direction so they do not make fools out of themelves come Nov 4th.

____________________

BOOMFAIL:

I heard from a friend who has another friend who has an uncle that has a girlfriend that has a daughter that is friends with a boy who has a friend and his friend told him that McSame is going to lose by a landslide.

Wasn't it boombatty that said there was going to be a HUGE Obama scandal this week, and that's why Obama had to "run and hide" to see his dying grandmother??

12 more days of having to sort through the bull**** rethug posts to read intelligent ones.
I've said it before, my friends, please hold out hope that McSame is going win, and the pain will be that much worse come election day. I also PRAY that you nominate Palin in 4 years so we can have even more fun at that time!

This is going to be a massive win for Obama!

____________________

d3nnisbest:

Quote from Boomtard: "They are freaked out about it."

Um. Yes. Obama is scared. Where is he today? Oh. I guess he's so scared that he ran to to make sure he could at least win Hawaii.

Boom. Please stay up real late on election night. I'm buying lots of popcorn. I will be savoring every minute of it. :)

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political_junki:

"@boomshak:
IBD/TIPP statistical noise day.

Obama loses in shocker!"

My first prediction (Unlike you BOOM I make fewer predicions but I make them right :D ):

IBD/TIPP +7 on Monday

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Trosen:

5*Overall, who do you trust more on economic issues and managing the economy—John McCain or Barack Obama?


51% McCain

46% Obama

3% Not sure


Uhhhh.. no. Every other poll in the world (even in NC) has Obama +10,15,20 on the economy. I'd love to ehar how they framed that question.

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thorfinn:

Hell, it's good to rile up the dems. Can't have complacency. That's right, I heard it, it's tightening.. Now get your lazy butt to the polls and take you family with you. I've seen the internals.

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NYCREALAMERICAN:

I have a cousin who has a friend who has an acquaitance at Sydney's HQ who says they are freaking out b/c they got so badly head-faked into thinking that BO accidentally released an internal poll of PA that showed it close, and now its too late to do anything else.

____________________

Disco Stu:

IBD/TIPP must be using rosters from the Young Republican student clubs for their 18-24 demo's! LOL!

____________________

boom&KipTinSUCK:

boomFool takes pride in being idiot
Now he doesn't know what to rely on
All his freaking predictions turn out to be downright false

____________________

Batony:

For Obama's supporters sake, in a way I hope this race does not getting any close, b/c some of you may not survive.

____________________

political_junki:

@Disco Stu:
IBD/TIPP has realized they have messed up the young voter cross tab but they wont change it suddenly. They will change it gradually. By monday they will be the same as other national polls.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

Expect all of Rasmussens polls to under count Obama's support by 2-5 points, particularly in states such as NC where early voting was through the roof and very pro-Obama.

lol, MORE predictions from boomshak?? roflmao!

____________________

political_junki:

@Batony:
We survived 2000 and 2004. Dont worry about us. My only worry is boomshak and his mental health right now

____________________

[nemesis]:

So the presidential race won't be even close, an Steven's will most likely be found guilty next week and give the GOP ANOTHER big black eye. So Begich takes Alaska, Franken takes MN(thank Bachmann). That'll put it at 57 for the Democrats, with 3 additional toss-up states.

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kerrchdavis:

Boomshak runs a business that sells bridges in Alaska

@Batony

You are about as fair and balanced as Fox news.

____________________

fox:

Joe McCain calls 911 about bad traffic, Backwards B girl confesses, and Joe the Plumber lived off redistributed income before he was against it.

The republicans unite to make a better tomorrow.

____________________

DecaturMark:

kerrchdavis:

"@Batony

You are about as fair and balanced as Fox news."

Now, Kerrch, you are being unfair. After all Foxnews does have Alan Colmes. ;>)

____________________

Mike Farrace:

I think boomshack is on Pollster.com's payroll. If he isn't, he should be.

____________________

jonny87:

plouffe: state of the race

The early voting numbers favor Obama in a host of important states, with Democrats voting at higher rates than they did in 2004. And many of them are new voters: The campaign says that 20 percent of all Democrats who have voted by mail in Colorado have never voted in a general election, and that 18 percent of Democrats voting early in North Carolina are new voters. The takeaway: Democrats are voting early in greater numbers, and many of them are first-timers, suggesting that there will still be plenty of more practiced Democrats to cast ballots on Nov. 4.

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/10/the_obama_wave.html

____________________

political_junki:

**** BREAKING NEWS ****
**** BREAKING NEWS ****
**** BREAKING NEWS ****
2 MORE SOURCES CONFIRM BOOMSHAK'S DATA ABOUT OBAMA CAMP BEING IN PANICK:

-----------------------------------------------
Obama aides: We're winning
On a conference call that reminds me a bit of those calls David Plouffe would hold in the primary to insist (accurately, it turns out) that Obama had already won, Obama aides told reporters that their position is extremely strong.

In particular, national field director Jon Carson made the case that he is already winning meaningfully in the early votes, and offered some statistics against the argument that these are people who would have voted early anyway and are just casting their ballots with extra enthusiasm.

"A higher percentage of our vote is new Democrats and we have a lot more new Democrats," he said, going over totals in North Carolina, Nevada, Florida and Iowa that seem to suggest that new and sporadic voters are voting at high rates.

That's a key claim, and I'll add Carson's numbers when I confirm the details.
----------------------------------------------
The Obama camp manager says McCain would have to win 15% of the Democratic vote, 95% of the Republican and 60% of the independent vote to take the battleground.
"It's a daunting task when you kind of wipe away the spin here and look at the facts."
Adds that even though the stats don't look good for their rival, they'll continue to match their campaigning effort in the state.

____________________

political_junki:

jonny87:
you always beat me by a minute :|

____________________

jlm9:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081024/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_money;_ylt=ApWl4echZtsRNMZRDgtmQWas0NUE

Check this out

Whats the difference between a pitbull and a Hockey Mom - Lipstick

Whats the difference between Sarah Palin and a Hockey mom - A $22,800 stylist

You can put $22,800 lipstick on a unqualified unethical VP pick and its still an unqualified unethical VP pick

____________________

hou04:

Anyone has Rasmussen NH numbers yet?

I have a feeling he will tell us about McCain "coming back", just like in NC.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

Someone get Guinness in here. Boomshak is setting a new record for the most times a human has ever been wrong.

Next week, he'll be on the hot new fox game show "Are you smarter than a stupid cockroach?"

stay tuned...

____________________

whoshotsam:

hou04 -

Ras NH #s are O 50 M 46

Also has an eight point lead for Obama in Iowa, same as his last poll of the state.

____________________

political_junki:

@hou04:
Last time O+15 in NH. There is no way to come back.

____________________

[nemesis]:

"Anyone has Rasmussen NH numbers yet?"

Public release of the numbers at 5:00

____________________

zhimbo:

Man, I was thinking Obama was in the lead, but now I know that some anonymous "boomshak" guy on pollster has a friend, who has friend, who has secret inside knowledge.

We're doooooommmeeed!

____________________

MichaelJason:

Everyone, let's create a WAVE!

YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!
YES WE CAN!

____________________

PortlandRocks:

Wow Boom. 3% swing in your fav poll. That means, based on 120,000,000 that votes last time, that 3,600,000 people changed their mind from McCain to Obama in 1 day! WOW! LOL

____________________

orange24:

@boomshak:
Yep, like I told you, Team Obama is FREAKIN OUT because their internal polls are showing McCain surging in battleground states.

Laugh if off if you want, but this racist broad is going to be the final torpedo in the USS McCain. First and foremost, she's a racist, liar, felon. Second, McCain and Palin both called her personally, and must now admonish her and distance themselves from it. Worse yet, they're in a position to defend that 'that's not what their campaign is all about'. Finally, it dominates the weekend news cycle (as it should) when every single news cycle day is crucial to McCain - especially when Obama is not campaigning. He had the news cycle all to himself today, and it blew up in his face because of one of the racist lunatics that he is whipping into a frenzy at every rally. What goes around comes around...

____________________

Batony:

@Kerrchdavis:

Not only am I fair and balance, I'm honest. Name one reason why you think I'm not fair and balance. Give me one example.

____________________

whoshotsam:

junki - Ras never had Obama up 15 in NH. It was O +10 last time. Crappy state polls from Ras today.

Generally a better day of state polling for McCain today, but anything would have been an improvement on yesterday.

____________________

MichaelJason:

Batony is fair and balanced, just like Faux News

LOL

____________________

Stonecreek:

Well, let's check to see what the Republican's infallible "Free Market" thinks about McCain's chances in North Carolina today:

Intrade: NC, Obama 70, McCain 36.5

WHOOOOEEEE, Look at Indiana, it's just flipped on Intrade:

Obama, 54.9
McCain, 49.8

Looks like the bears are shorting McCain even faster than their shorting the Dow.

____________________

PortlandRocks:

And for the up to date BIG PICTURE Realty Check. With 6 business days to go and 6 weekday news cycles to go Obama has his largest average of the week nationally. Bush lead by 1.5% per the RCP ave. on election day in '04 and won over 280 electoral votes.

RCP Average 10/16 - 10/23 -- -- 50.3 42.5 Obama +7.8

Rasmussen Reports 10/21 - 10/23 3000 LV 2.0 52 45 Obama +7
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/21 - 10/23 2406 LV 2.0 50 45 Obama +5
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/21 - 10/23 2365 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/21 - 10/23 1203 LV 2.9 51 41 Obama +10
Hotline/FD 10/21 - 10/23 766 LV 3.5 50 43 Obama +7
GWU/Battleground 10/19 - 10/23 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
IBD/TIPP 10/19 - 10/23 1008 LV 3.0 46 42 Obama +4
CBS News/NY Times 10/19 - 10/22 771 LV -- 52 39 Obama +13
ABC News/Wash Post 10/19 - 10/22 1335 LV 2.5 54 43 Obama +11
FOX News 10/20 - 10/21 936 LV 3.0 49 40 Obama +9
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/17 - 10/20 1159 RV 2.9 52 42 Obama +10
Associated Press/GfK 10/16 - 10/20 800 LV 3.5 44 43 Obama +1
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/16 - 10/20 773 LV 3.5 50 42 Obama +8
CNN/Opinion Research 10/17 - 10/19 764 LV 3.5 51 46 Obama +5
Pew Research 10/16 - 10/19 2382 LV 2.5 53 39 Obama +14

____________________

scottkj:

For MCCAIN....It's getting better all the time, despite the dire polls:

Zogby Battleground Poll: McCain Regains Indiana; Obama Still Surpasses Electoral Threshold With 273
McCain Makes Gains in Several States
UTICA, New York - Zogby Interactive polling of 10 Presidential battleground states has shown John McCain capturing a significant lead - for the time being - in the state of Indiana, causing the Hoosier State to move from purple to Republican red. The move increases the ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin to 174 Electoral College votes in the Zogby calculation. With no other changes to our Electoral College Map (available at www.zogby.com), the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden have 273 Electoral votes, three more than needed for election.

McCain has gained ground in Virginia (13 Electoral votes), Missouri (11), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5) and Nevada (5), but not enough to change their status.

Electoral Vote Projection


Obama-Biden
273

McCain-Palin
174

Undecided
91

The 10 interactive online surveys included in this survey were conducted from October 17-20, 2008. The samples of likely voters ranged in size from 473 respondents in Indiana, where the margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points, to Florida, where 1,252 likely voters participated. The margin of error there is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: "These results show that with the Obama advantage in the current state of the Electoral College, McCain will need to rally his troops in every time zone to impact all of the states he needs to overtake Obama."

Here are the details of the 10 states we surveyed.

States Moving from Undecided to McCain-Palin

Indiana (11)


McCain-Palin
52.8%

Obama-Biden
42.3%

Not Sure/Other
4.9%

Despite a big lead among independents, Obama appears unable to overcome the Republican enrollment advantage. So we make Indiana again red.

States Remaining for Obama

New Mexico (5)


Obama-Biden
46.1%

McCain-Palin
45.5%

Not Sure/Other
8.3%

McCain has gained since our last survey of New Mexico on Oct 9-13, closing the Obama lead among independents and doing better among Republicans than Obama is with Democrats. We will soon test the state again, and will wait for that to see whether a status change is called for.

Virginia (13)


Obama-Biden
49.7%

McCain-Palin
46.1%

Not Sure/Other
4.3%

Obama leads among independents and does slightly better among Democrats than McCain does with Republicans. Obama leads among all voters with family incomes under $100,000. Seniors go big for McCain.

States Remaining Undecided

Ohio (20)


McCain-Palin
49.3%

Obama-Biden
46.5%

Not Sure/Other
4.1%

McCain continues to hold a small lead in a state he must win. McCain leads by more than 10 among independents, Catholics and voters older than 50. Turnout will be especially important here in a state with early voting for President for the first time ever.

Colorado (9)


Obama-Biden
48.2%

McCain-Palin
47.9%

Not Sure/Other
3.9%

Loyalty to McCain from Republicans, who outnumber Democrats in Colorado, is keeping him toe-to-toe with Obama. However, Obama leads among independents by 19. McCain is also keeping it very close among voters ages 18-29.

Florida (27)


Obama-Biden
48.8%

McCain-Palin
45.2%

Not Sure/Other
6.0%

A double-digit lead among independents gives Obama a small lead. McCain counters with his advantages among religious voters and seniors. The race is even among Hispanics.

Missouri (11)


McCain-Palin
48.3%

Obama-Biden
48.0%

Not Sure/Other
4.6%

Both candidates run strongly with their base constituencies, and for now independents aren't breaking either way. So we have a tie.

North Carolina (15)


Obama-Biden
49.6%

McCain-Palin
46.5%

Not Sure/Other
3.8%

Large margins among independents and voters under age 35 join African-Americans to give Obama a small lead. North Carolina may have the nation's biggest gender gap. Men favor McCain, 57%-40%. Women choose Obama, 61%-36%.

New Hampshire (4)


Obama-Biden
46.5%

McCain-Palin
46.2%

Not Sure/Other
7.7%

Independents are tied and that is all you need to know. New Hampshire is too close to call.

Nevada (5)


McCain-Palin
51.5%

Obama-Biden
44.0%

Not Sure/Other
4.6%

This is a 7-point swing from our last interactive poll on Oct. 9-13. Obama's Democratic support has slipped, while McCain's Republican support has gone up. We'll keep Nevada undecided.

____________________

jonny87:

@political_junki

just got there in time!

reassuring to know theres plenty of democrats in reserve.

____________________

Thatcher:

@scottkj:

ROFLMAOTIH - You're quoting internet online interactive polls??? ROFLMAO (oh I am dying here)

____________________

oicu:

you're quoting the Zogby Internet poll? Please, give us a break. It's a complete POS.

____________________

political_junki:

@scottkj:
Never put any credit in Zogby, it doesnt matter if he has good news or bad news.
All his numbers are pure junk.
He could show Obama +20 and I would prefer a Rass +5 or Gallup +4 to that 20

____________________

MichaelJason:

Scottkj,

Don't be so naive to believe interactive polls. As a test I signed up with 3 e-mail addresses and I was allowed to vote with all 3, and I used my real name and SAME address. ANYONE can toy with Zogby's interactive polling. I did it to prove a point.

FAIL!

____________________

PortlandRocks:

scottkj did you SERIOUSLY just post an article from an INTERNET poll? ROFL WOW

____________________

sotonightthatimightsee:

No way Barry steals this state..no matter how many AA vote for him!

____________________

Mike A.:

ha Zogby polls suck :) They showed Gore with a double digit lead in FL about a week out. cling to them :)

____________________

blakec:

Please keep believing those Zogby Interactive polls. Even though almost everyone that knows anything about polling has called them the worst polls of this cycle, we hope that you keep believing them right up to Nov 5th.

____________________

Stonecreek:

I think I would rather waste my time reading boomsh*t posts than a friggin Zogby "interactive". Give us a break. Save the cyberspace space and leave that trash where it belongs.

____________________

PortlandRocks:

When the election started Zogby internet had Obama losing NEW YORK to McCain! ROFL

____________________

Matthew6:33:

@Trosen

Maybe voters are finally understanding some basic economics:

Obama=Higher Corporate Taxes=Lower Corporate Earnings=Lower Dow=Lower 401(k)values and more corporate relocations and fewer jobs

____________________

boomshack:

======BREAKING NEWS=========
********GALLUP CAUGHT IN POLLING FRAUD******

what you moonbats fail to realize is that GALLUP keeps shifting and shuffling the people they survey EVERY DAY.

HERE IS PROOF:
TODAY RV 2787 ppl
YESTERDAY RV 2788 ppl

QUESTION:
What happened to the missing voter #2788?!
Gallup never explains! It's not convenient! They can't HANDLE the TRUTH!

But wait! It gets even worse:

TODAY LVE 2365
YESTERDAY LVE 2349

QUESTION: where did these new 16 voters COME FROM?! HUH? I wonder...It's not like they were CONVENIENTLY ADDED to make the MSM media poll go in the tank for Ozabamanotyourmamamaniacs!

SAME with LV Traditional model:

TODAY: 2406 LVT
YESTERDAY 2399 LVT

QUESTION: Where did these 7 new voters came from and what was their effect on the poll?! I wonder...hmmm.....

I bet GALLUP is calling NEW people EVERY TIME! Why, I bet they don't even bother tracking the same respondents every time, like the other polls do! FRAUD!

FAIL!
This poll is an OUTLIAR!!!!
you heard it here first

____________________

MasterFramer:

Prediction... Obama will crush McCain in the blue states. Steal back a handful of Bush states. Barely loose a majority of red states. I think the electoral collage will be closer but a HUGE popular vote win.

____________________

MichaelJason:

LMAO another BOOM FAIL prediction!

WALL STREET ENDS WEEK WITH SELL-OFF; DOW DROPS 312 POINTS

____________________

political_junki:

boomshack
I bet you make an extraordinarily great drinking buddy. If you are this funny, sober (are you?) you would be a riot drunk!

____________________

lilyogini:

@Rippleeffect

Yeah, and I have actually been harassed on the 5 freeway by a guy with a "NOBAMA" stick on his passanger side window because I had an Obama sticker. Was sticking to driver side with every speed change I tried to make to lose him. He could have caused a serious accident at 70 mph on a busy southern california freeway.

Frankly, I have heard more and experiences more about GOP crazies than the other way around.

I can't even have an Obama sticker on my car without risking my life. In California (Orange County - figures).

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

Ashley Todd, the McCain volunteer, and $150,000 worth of designer clothes ended any hope McCain had of landing any undecided women in large numbers.

If anything, women are going to break for Obama now.

The narrative has been written and it will run it's course for the next two days. John McCain fueled the anti-American, Obama is an other sentiment at his rallies and it carried over to his base. He mismanaged his message and his campaign. There is no greater evidence of this that the fact that they dressed the hockey mom up in thousand dollar shoes and dresses. They proved themselves not to be fiscal conservatives or reformers. They paid for a Louis Vuitton handbag for the Governors daughter. The Governor charged the state of Alaska to bring her children on state funded trips. Today, the Governor and her husband are being deposed.

These stories are going to run through the weekend; and, if there was ever a time that John McCain needed two days of being message, today and tomorrow would be those days especially given the fact that Obama had to leave the campaign trail for Hawaii.

John McCain made his bed and now he is going to have to lie down in it in the most disgraceful way.

Ashley Todd
$150,000
Troopergate

It's going to be a great weekend my friends. I look forward to seeing the polls on Tuesday. Let's hope the turnout for early voting is good this weekend.

____________________

colorado resident:

I love the passion here, Boom, but where is the intelligence????

____________________

boomshack:

sotonightthatimightsee:

No way Barry steals this state..no matter how many AA vote for him!

True, but I am more worried about Obama stealing this state than Barry Goldwater. WTF with Barry endorsing Obama yesterday? Traitor!

PS: Keep up the good work! We can't have you crumbling like the traitor marctx.

____________________

[nemesis]:

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

You forgot to add the Ted Stevens trial to your list. And the Bachmann debacle.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@Batony

In the short time you have been here, you have already developed a reputation for claiming to be independent and fair yet constantly downplaying any kind of positive news coming out in favor of Obama.

I see you as one of two things:

1) a fair and balanced individual who feels the need to make-up for the pro-liberal effect of this site. Of course, this does not make you fair and balanced at all. A true independent does not support, for example, the Nazi's in an attempt to balance out the fact that the world thinks they were a disgusting group of people.

More likely, you are:

2) A McCain backer or leaner who attempts to gain more credibility by claiming to be completely independent. My guess is you were a former Clinton supporter who is still bitter, though I could be wrong (though never as wrong as boomshak).

Now, while I'm not going to go to the trouble of digging up your comments in the past that show the bias you have (why would I go to the effort of trying to convince you of what you already know yourself to be), I'll pick something very simple you posted today.

"The race will tighten. I am saying this as a true independent. The reason it will tighten is b/c of unchecked power, a lot of people aren't sold on Obama and whether we believe it or not, there are still a lot of people are actually afraid to say they will not be voting for Obama. And of course racism."

Now, this is not my best example, I will admit. You've had far more biased comments in the past. But, lets take a look at this one.

Here, you claim, like you have claimed for the last week or so, that the race will tighten. Since then, there has been no sign of it tightening. And the reasons you pick to make that claim are certainly one sided. You conveniently forget that people are also unsold on McCain. You conveniently forget that much of America wants change and might crave democratic control. You also forget to mention that, while many people might be racist, many people are also voting for history. And you forget to mention that McCain's campaign continues to turn off independents, who he MUST turn to win although you keep bringing up the republican base.

To put it simply, you keep arguing that the race will tighten when there is ZERO evidence at the moment of it doing so. Add this to some of the other comments you make, such as "does anyone here really think that VA is +8 Obama" when poll after poll (all the evidence) suggests that is the case and, before you know it, you have developed that reputation of being a wolf in sheeps clothing.

sorry.

____________________

boomshack:

Matthew6:33:

Maybe voters are finally understanding some basic economics:

Obama=Higher Corporate Taxes=Lower Corporate Earnings=Lower Dow=Lower 401(k)values and more corporate relocations and fewer jobs

AND I would add
Obama=fewer JoeThePlumbers=fewer non-Joe-type Plumbers = fewer plumbers overall = more backed up toilets and sinks throughout America = more flooding and overflowing houses = another Great Flood and more new home construction and repair that would still be wiped out in the Great Flood = more chemical sales to unplug the toilets and drains in general = rising stock prices in chemical companies like Mr Drano and Liquid Plumber.

Bottom line: if you vote for Obama, buy Chemical Companies stock. And a houseboat.

I will post more on this once I figure out where this is going.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

Yes, I did. Yes, it's going to be a good weekend. I hope Will Ferrel shows up on SNL again this weekend.

I heard Bachmann taped an apology. Let's hope she's on the Sunday talk shows. Guilianni is going to have to answer questions about the robo calls.

The only surrogates that McCain has left are Nancy Pfotenhaur and Mitt Romney. We might even see Joe Lieberman make a fool of himself as he talks about the Powell endorsement. I'm looking forward to this weekend.

____________________

MichaelJason:

Speaking of Lieberman, he only endorsed McCain because he soured on the party that primaried him. The sick part is, Obama AND Hillary campaigned on his behalf and then backed LaMont ONLY after he won the DEM primary. Lieberman is a turncoat and will never be forgiven.

____________________

Batony:

@Shannon:

Once again you overestimate the public's intelligence. They had a poll here in heavily Democratic DC, Northern Va asking did the $150,000 shopping spree story overblown? 70% percent said yes, 30 % said no.

I think we here in political obsession land get caught up in all this nonsense.

The only reason McCain is behind is due to the economic turmoil and that was reflecting on the polls.

Lucky for McCain, his supporters think the media is biased, so they ignore the polls and media. Everytime they ask a McCain supporter on the street about the polls, they reply on polls are always wrong.

And as far as Sarah Palin..to draw 20,000 on a workday in a city not the size of St Louis or Kansas City is pretty impressive. Springfield, MO?

____________________

boomshack:

You know, all this Ashley Todd story is missing is Pat Buchanan to play the role of Al Sharpton.
Anyone remember Tawana Brawley?

____________________

maddiekat:

For some reason I can not paste the link however go check out ABC's Political Punch. This story spells the end for McLiar.
He supported socialism before he didn't.

____________________

Northeastern Republican:

Michael -

Is he as much or more of a turncoat than colin powell?

____________________

BOOMFAIL:

Guess the $150,000 clothing scandal kinda makes all the rethugs who made a big deal about Edwards' haircut a bunch of idiotic hypocrites.

Nothing new there.

____________________

MichaelJason:

Northeastern Republican,

You, as most Republicans are trying to compare apples to oranges and trying to change the subject content. Lieberman was an ELECTED official, OFFICIALLY in a party, who turned his back on his party after losing a primary, mind you before he even got to watch the debates and make an informed decision.

Powell on the other hand has never publicly declared what party he belongs to, AND he served for two years under Clinton. While in your feeble little mind, you think those two are the same situation, but I can assure you they are NOT.

Powell watched the campaign, watched the debates, and after careful deliberation, decided Obama was the steadier hand.

GROW UP! The Country can't take 4 more years of your BS!

:)

____________________

mahlers5th:

Lemme see...alledged mugging versus ineligibility to be POTUS...wonder which one carries the day? Let's see what the judge in Berg v. Obama rules...

Now it is true that Berg has a "standing" problem. Courts have consistently held that voters do not have standing to sue on the grounds that a candidate is ineligible for the position for which s|he is running." However, according to previous court decisions, another mechanism exists to challenge a President-elect's eligibility: "It is clear that mechanisms exist under the Twelfth Amendment and 3 U.S.C. 15 for any challenge to any candidate to be ventilated WHEN ELECTORAL VOTES ARE COUNTED, and that the Twentieth Amendment provides guidance regarding how to proceed if a president elect shall have failed to qualify. Arguments concerning qualifications or lack thereof CAN BE LAID BEFORE THE PUBLIC BEFORE THE ELECTION AND, ONCE THE ELECTION IS OVER, CAN BE RAISED AS OBJECTIONS AS THE ELECTORAL VOTES ARE COUNTED in Congress. The members of the Senate and the House of Representatives are well qualified to adjudicate any objections to ballots for allegedly unqualified candidates."

If the President elect Obama fails to qualify, then the Vice President elect Biden acts as President-elect provisionally until Congress decides WTF to do.

You read it here first!

____________________

boomshack:

kerrchdavis:

@Batony
I see you as one of two things:
/one or two things deleted/

I see Batony as one thing, but I see you as two:
1) boomshak
2) kerrchdavis
and maybe even alankeyes

btw, political_junki is looking for a drinking buddy. does alankeyes drink? I know someone who has a source deep inside alankeyesisawesome campaign. He tells me alankeyes is soft on the issue of imported (pref. bavarian) and microbrewed. I think he ought to be probed and tested on the issue of stout

____________________

schwerve:

@boomshack

I bet GALLUP is calling NEW people EVERY TIME! Why, I bet they don't even bother tracking the same respondents every time, like the other polls do! FRAUD!

oh my god, is this a joke? or do you really not understand tracking polls? yes, they do call new people every day, EVERY SINGLE TRACKING POLL calls new people every day weighted based on geography and census data. if you want to act like an authority on a polling website maybe it would be a good idea to understand polling.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@boomshack

Yup, you got me buddy. I am boomshak. I admit it.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

I agree. The story was overblown. I think most people would agree with you. Question: what has John McCain been talking about the last two days? Most people can't answer that question. If they can, they'll cite something he said in defense of Palin or his campaign. His message isn't getting out and it's not going to get out this weekend. These stories have legs and they occupy news cycles. Tell me, is Obama having to visit his ailing grandmother a campaign issue. No, but it occupies news cycles, news cycles that John McCain desperately needs because he lacks the resources to compete. He can put out a web ad this weekend or a new robo call but it's not even going to break the wind. Starting next week, everyone is going to concentrate on the polls and Obama's 30 minute address.

Ashley Todd
$150,000
Troopergate
and early voter turnout

That's all were talking about this weekend.

____________________

I love these kinds of polls. What are they trying to say? That somehow all the other polls that have been taken are getting it wrong? Because let me tell you there's been NO emotional or psychological change in this race. What a joke, so were supposed to start quietly questioning ourselves if all the previous polls (state and national - since some of the national polls are 'tightening' too) just didn't get it right?

____________________

kerrchdavis:

Guys, now that boomshack has figured it out, and I am in fact BOOMSHAK, i have a few things I need to admit.

1) I'm stupid. I know I sound really smart, and my predictions are always right on the money, but I am, in fact, really dumb. I finished just above John McCain in the Naval Academy, as a matter of fact.
2) I am a closet homosexual. That's why I always have to tell everyone that I'm off to get laid or I have a date with a hot chick.
3) I don't really have a business. Or cancer. I just say those things to gain respectability. I actually sit in front of my pc all day, switching between porn and pollster, typing with my left hand because my right hand is always occupied. Thats why my spelling is so rediculously bad.
4) I didn't really support Mitt Romney. I just said that so you guys would feel bad for me. Only major losers support Mitt Romney and I am certainly not a MAJOR loser.

Now is certainly the time you call can ask me questions since I am now famous on pollster.

____________________

boomshack:

schwerve:

@boomshack
I bet GALLUP is calling NEW people EVERY TIME! Why, I bet they don't even bother tracking the same respondents every time, like the other polls do! FRAUD!

oh my god, is this a joke? or do you really not understand tracking polls? yes, they do call new people every day, EVERY SINGLE TRACKING POLL calls new people every day weighted based on geography and census data. if you want to act like an authority on a polling website maybe it would be a good idea to understand polling.

That is such UTTER BS! All new people every day would have all new opinions and completely different CONTEXT! How can you compare my opinion to, say, poster kirrchdavis?! We would have completely different opinions! On everything! His girlfriend won't even let him go online and answer the phone half the time, whereas I don't even HAVE a girlfriend! See the difference? We are COMPLETELY DIFFERENT DEMO.

Tracking poll means they track the SAME PEOPLE! No wonder Ozoneatingbananas have such an easy time persuading you leftist pinkos over. You'd believe anything! Geez. I give up.

Kerrchdavis, tell him.

____________________

Stillow:

McCain needs news cycles? He needs anything but that. The media is so leftist he would do better doign what he's doing out on the stump, talking to people. The new york times runs on the front page a story about palin's clothes? Yet puts story about acorn on page 3,675? Hmmm, whats more news worthy, tens of thousands of fraudelant democratic voter sbeing registered everywhere or palin's clotches?? The get 'em all media from the 60's is gone. RIP media.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

gallup is in the tank for Obama except when McCain is leading.

____________________

Shannon

But I bet McCain breaks enough of his own wind... Sorry I couldn't resist! The dude is OLD!

As for the $150,000 shopping bonanza. Here's the way I look at it. I'm out of work. Construction has taken a severe dump here in Las Vegas and I'm hosed. Now I jokingly say that Obama should get me a job but I am smart enough to know that he can't do that and also that it's ultimately my responsibility. BUT to me spending $150K on clothes and makeup makes me question the judgement of a guy who says he'd be better at handling the economy and federal budget.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

You can complain all you want but undecideds and independents read newspapers and watch television.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@stillow

roflmao, Acorn?? last weeks news buddy...ZzzZZzzz. But you know what, you keep talking up Acorn, and Ayers and Wright and everything else.

It is having a WONDERFUL effect on undecided independents.

____________________

schwerve:

@boomshack

don't listen to me, gallup has their methodology right on their site, it's not rocket science. they contact 1000 random people every day and weight it based upon age/partyid etc.

go home you're out of your league.

____________________

JedRothwell:

The woman who reported she was mugged, Ashley Todd, is apparently suffering from mental illness. She had a mirror written letter on her face, which is typical of self-inflicted wounds and mental illness. People should leave her alone and forget about this.

Various fanatics, including someone here, has alleged that Obama is "ineligible" I gather because he was supposedly not born in the U.S. but in Africa. You people should realize that anyone born to a U.S. citizen, mother or father, is fully eligible. It wouldn't make the slightest difference if Obama were born in Africa or for that matter on a jet airplane mid-Pacific (as some babies have been).

McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone but he is completely eligible.

Surely, you people do not imagine that Obama mother was not a U.S. citizen?!

____________________

political_junki:

boomshack
I only drink blue label :-)

____________________

PortlandRocks:

Stillow was the media Bias in the run up to the Iraq war? Just curious on your thoughts.:)

____________________

Stillow:

@working class

Well I am in vegas too...if you have a issue with palin's 150k in clothing, why do you not have a issue with the 2 million bucks obama is spending on his election night party? I mean come on man, lets get real........and palin has alredy said she is donating the clothes to charity after the campaign...is obama donating the 2million for hte party to charity too?

____________________

kerrchdavis:

All I want to know is does everyone agree to meet here right after the winner of the election is announced?

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

@Working Class

I understand where you're coming from and I completely agree.

____________________

boomshack:

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

You can complain all you want but undecideds and independents read newspapers and watch television.

No they don't. They do not watch news and they most certainly do not read newspapers. Otherwise they would not be undecideds.

____________________

PortlandRocks:

Kerr I'll be here win or win!

The Obama campaign manager says McCain would have to win 15% of the Democratic vote, 95% of the Republican and 60% of the independent vote to take the battleground.

"It's a daunting task when you kind of wipe away the spin here and look at the facts."

Adds that even though the stats don't look good for their rival, they'll continue to match their campaigning effort in the state.

National field director Jon Carson and battleground state director Jen O'Malley also weigh in on the state of the race.

____________________

colorado resident:

Did you know that Alaska's spending has increased 31% since Palin has been in office? I remember reading about her also billing Alaska for trips & hotels for the kids. McCain said she didn't & wouldn't ask for earmarks...oops that was a mistake. Please, McCain do you not know your own running mate? He did say it didn't surprise him about the clothes though. Do these two communicate? McCain it is not too late to get something out of this...you could offer $150 for one of Palin's legs.

____________________

boomshack:

schwerve:

@boomshack
don't listen to me, gallup has their methodology right on their site, it's not rocket science. they contact 1000 random people every day and weight it based upon age/partyid etc.

Right. We agree on THAT part. But they are the SAME random people every time. Otherwise it would be inconsistent.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@stillow

Are you talking about the election night party Obama has planned to celebrate all the hard work that voters and campaign personnel put into his campaign?

lol, you're a funny guy.

____________________

Nowukkers:

Actually boom, I'm a registered independent and I watch news and read newspapers. I am not, however, undecided. That ship sailed long ago.

____________________

PortlandRocks:

****BREAKING NEWS*** OBAMA MEMO CLEARLY SHOWS THEY ARE NERVOUS!!!!

Obama Camp Memo on Early Voting BreakdownTO: Interested Parties
FR: Jon Carson, Obama-Biden Campaign Field Director
RE: State of the early vote
DA: October 24, 2008

According to information from Secretaries of State from all over the country, Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004 and new and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans.

Below is the data on early voting I provided on the conference call earlier this afternoon.

Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004:

North Carolina – 2008 to date
All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

520,064

56%

REP

254,515

27%

UNA

155,476

17%

North Carolina – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

479,305

48%

REP

363,294

37%

UNA

149,632

15%

Nevada – 2008 to date
All Voting

Dem

107,122

53%

Repub

63,577

32%

Other

30,938

15%

Total

201,637

Nevada – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

147,408

45%

REP

135,743

41%

OTHER

45,211

14%

Iowa – 2008 to date
All Voting

Dem

132,882

50%

Repub

76,689

29%

Other

53,787

20%

Iowa – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Voting

Dem

185,115

48%

Repub

118,167

30%

Other

86,071

22%

New Mexico – 2008 to date
All Voting

Dem

84,123

56%

Repub

49,145

33%

Other

16,484

11%

New Mexico – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Voting

Dem

178,216

50%

Repub

132,505

38%

Other

42,461

12%

Colorado – 2008 to date
All Voting

Dem

184,352

39%

Repub

181,424

38%

Other

110,284

23%

Colorado – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Voting

Dem

307,244

34%

Repub

384,642

42%

Other

221,336

24%

Florida – 2008 to date
All Voting

Dem

650,363

43%

Repub

651,700

43%

Other

225,980

14%

Florida – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Voting

Dem

1,056,986

42%

Repub

1,097,616

43%

Other

386,367

15%

New and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans:

Colorado – 2008 to date
There are 233,878 new Democrats – 101,595 (43%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 195,794 new Republicans – 70,248 (36%) have requested mail in ballots.

20% of all Democrats voting by mail have never voted in a general election before.

North Carolina – 2008 to date
There are 816,801 new Democrats – 70,561 (9%) have voted early.
There are 491,106 sporadic Democrats – 91,758 (19%) have voted early.

There are 533,490 new Republicans – 30,676 (6%) have requested mail in ballots.
There are 397,719 sporadic Republicans – 56,418 (14%) have voted early.

18% of all Democrats voting early are new Democrats who have never voted in a general election before and there are a lot more New Democrats.

15% of all Republican voting early are new Republicans

Nevada – 2008 to date
There are 170,672 new Democrats – 21,566 (13%) have voted early.
There are 69,979 sporadic Democrats – 13,305 (19%) have voted early.

There are 98,262 new Republicans – 8,243 (8%) have requested mail in ballots.
There are 52,019 sporadic Republicans – 7,256 (14%) have voted early.

40% of all Democrats voting early are new or Sporadic Democrats

30% of all Republican voting early are new or Sporadic Republicans

Iowa – 2008 to date
There are 103,449 new Democrats – 12,874 (12%) have voted early.
There are 92,479 sporadic Democrats – 20,686 (22%) have voted early.

There are 73,725 new Republicans – 5,414 (7%) have requested mail in ballots.
There are 71,647 sporadic Republicans – 11,577 (16%) have voted early.

____________________

Stillow:

@kerrchdavis:


I guess I agree, its hard work registering fake voters...with so many fake democrats in all the states now, the GOP has no shot. Everyone from Mickey Mouse to Babe Ruth is voting for Obama.....

So a 2 million dollar party expense is ok? But a 150k in clothes to be donated to charity is bad? Great logic my freind, great logic.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

All I want to know is does everyone agree to meet here right after the winner of the election is announced?

I promise to be here as at least one of two people. But none of them will be sober, as we are having a party at my house on the 4th.

Kerr, that's enough of a hint. Email is in the url. Name me to id yourself.

____________________

Jordan - San Marcos TX:

That Freeway story is pretty scary. I've often wondered if that could happen. People, especially on the Right, are getting really angry and they're being encouraged in their wrath by McPalin. So far, no problems for me although I live in an area where Obama is doing quite well.

On a related note, local police in my county have caught several young teens that vandalized a car with an Obama sticker, breaking a window and causing 4,000 dollars worth of damage in the process. I'm guessing their parents are angry Republicans who have instilled that sort of thing in their kids. I don't know. I'm just glad they were caught and I hope they learn their lesson that political speech intimidation is wrong. The irony is that the small town near Austin where this happened is a strongly progressive-Democratic place.

http://www.statesman.com/blogs/content/shared-gen/blogs/austin/hillcountry/entries/2008/10/24/election_vandals_caught.html

____________________

McCain and Palin also rail defensively against SOCIALISM, yet in her own State of Alaska socialism is alive and well. They take from the oil companies and then hand every man, woman, and child a check every year. I'm all for that. If the people of Alaska give up part of their state to the oil companies, then they well should get a piece of the profits. So I'm all for that. But what I'm against is their shallow indictment of 'socialism'. Hello, Palin is the governor of the most socialist State in our country.

____________________

DecaturMark:

@stillow

Just imagine all the union jobs that Obama is supporting with his election night party. (construction, lighting, decorations, catering etc)

____________________

boomshack:

Nowukkers:

Actually boom, I'm a registered independent and I watch news and read newspapers. I am not, however, undecided. That ship sailed long ago.

Well, ukkers, firstly, I was CLEARLY addressing the undecideds, not independents. And since you have self-id'ed yourself as decided, my remark does not pertain to you. So, you just prove my point, people who read papers and watch news already made up their mind.

secondly, you are european, and eastern european at that, which puts you outside of the typical demographic altogether, pravda, tovarisch?

____________________

Jordan - San Marcos TX:

I will be dancing in the streets of Downtown Austin, probably with thousands of other people, on November 4th.

____________________

schwerve:

@boomshack

But they are the SAME random people every time.

no.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@stillow

If you think a single "Babe Ruth" is actually going to be counted towards this election than you are even dumber than I think you are, and that is saying something.

2 million for a party where the hard work of thousands of volunteers, campaign workers and managers is celebrated seems far more logical to me than 150k for clothing, quite frankly. But hey, maybe you'll find some people in "Real Virginia" who agree with your point of view.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

Who needs $150,000 dollars in clothes for 3 months worth of work?

I don't buy the argument that it's different because she's a woman.

How many times did we she Hillary Clinton put on that big bird pants suit and go out there and work it for some votes? And, I hear Palin made SNL compromise on her outfits. That's just crazy. Maybe they put Hugh Hefner in charge of all her wardrobe making decisions.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

An acclaimed celebrity makeup artist for Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin collected more money from John McCain's campaign than his foreign policy adviser. Amy Strozzi, who works on the reality show "So You Think You Can Dance" and has been Palin's traveling stylist, was paid $22,800, according to campaign finance reports for the first two weeks in October. In contrast, McCain's foreign policy adviser, Randy Scheunemann, was paid $12,500, the report showed.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081024/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_money;_ylt=AkisY1DNbWk57ndM98_Ez3us0NUE

CFMA --- COUNTRY FIRST MY A$$

____________________

kerrchdavis:

And they keep wondering why the Obama campaign is outspending them on campaign advertising, lol!

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

All weekend, this is what we're talking about:

Ashley Todd -- The Pride of Texas A&M
$150,000
Troopergate

It's going to be a great weekend.

____________________

Stillow:

@kerrchdavis

You lefties are supposed to love charity, you should be happy palin is donating clothes to the poor needy naked people running around. What will the carbon footprint be of obama's party? Will he be purchasing offsets?

You gusy are so funny, no big deal we have countless fony dems registered...we promise, if it was the gop running acorn we know it wouldn't really matter....it wouldnt be page on of the new york times every day....you guys are a hoot man. election night, obama trails in ohio by 80,000 votes, oh well here's 200,000 acorn registered voters, lets throw them as obama support.
Yes, Obama president of the "USSA"....need a car? We'll steal your neighbors, need money? We'll take your neighbors...need secure retirment? We'll just take everyones ira's. gotta spread that wealth around.

if obama was really legit he'd be demanding the resignation of bush, frank and dodd....frank and dodd are neck deep in the fiscal disaster....thanks again acorn, great idea giving those loans to unqualified buyers!

____________________

boomshack:

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

Who needs $150,000 dollars in clothes for 3 months worth of work?

Have you actually checked the price of shoes alone at Neiman Marcus? Do you have ANY idea what a pair of Manolo Blahnik's cost? Now multiply that by 10. BOOMSHACK - $7K right there.

Look, Palin is, like, half Cindy McCain's age, and she has to look better being the face of the ticket. Cindy McCain's got about 50 more years of quality shopping on her, that's one. And two, way more taste. So Palin, to look half as good had to shop VERY FAST. And they were in the middle of the Republican National Convention, in case you hadn't noticed. So, she had to write her speeches for herself and for Bachmann and all the others. By dumb luck she got a free day because of the storm coming to Florida and the convention was delayed a day. So she was able to quickly get away to the Mall of America and...well, the rest you already know.

I think she is an extraordinarily good shopper to be able to spend that much money that quickly. I do not know any other woman in my trailer park who would be half as efficient with half that much money!

____________________

boomshak:

BARNEY FRANK WANTS TO CUT DEFENSE SPENDING BY 1/4 AND RAISE TAXES:

Who isn't surprised?

Frank told the editorial board of the SouthCoast Standard-Times that he wanted to reduce defense spending by a quarter, meaning the United States would have to withdraw from Iraq sooner.
"The people of Iraq want us out, and we want to stay over their objection," he said. "It's extraordinary."

Frank also said the post-election stimulus package will focus on spending for building projects, extending unemployment benefits, and further supporting states' healthcare costs. "We'll have to raise taxes ultimately," Frank said. "Not now, but eventually." Frank told the Standard-Times that if Democrats cannot secure the votes they need in November, they will try again in January, when they will likely have stronger majorities in the House and Senate.

____________________

boomshak:

Who the f*ck is boomshack?

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

@Stillow

She's supposed to be a fiscal conservative. She's emblematic of what's wrong with the Republican party.

So they'll sale the clothes on EBay for a loss like she sold the plane. How sad. This is what the campaign contributions of all the hard working "real Americans," you know, Joe the plumber and Tito the brick layer, this is what the McCain campaign spent their money on. McCain just doesn't get it and it shows that he has no understanding of the plight of the middle class.

All weekend:

Ashley Todd -- Is that a black man over there?
$150,000
Troopergate

All weekend.

____________________

kerrchdavis:

@stillow

babble, babble, babble...just a steady stream of chunky diarrhea coming out of your mouth, like usual. Lefty this, charity that, you guys this, socialism that...a whole bunch of generalized bull****.

I hope you'll be here on the 4th with us to celebrate President Obama. Finally, we'll have someone competent running the show. You could always move to another country if you don't like it. Yours is a dying breed here anyway.

____________________

southern angler:

Sarah is on Hannity right now.

____________________

thoughtful:

@boomshak

Frank has got it right!

Back in June I said NC would be close and it is. How close boomshak?

McCain has run a totally inept campaign.

But then Georgia will be close.

Colorado will be close too!

390EVs

____________________

PortlandRocks:

Jordan - San Marcos TX I wanna visit Austin bad. Some friends told me it's the "Portland of Texas." The little liberal oasis.

____________________

DecaturMark:

Hey Boom, You finally met your alter ego?

____________________

southern angler:

Turns out the so called McCain campaign worker is actually an Obama plant.

____________________

DecaturMark:

or should I say Doppleganger

____________________

boomshack:

boomshak = kerrchdavis.
scroll up, lazy ass!

____________________

kerrchdavis:

boomshack actually makes more sense than boomshak, and hes TRYING to act insane.

lol!

Alright, I'm out of here. Catch you guys later. Bye Stillow. Don't let the country hit your ass on the way out.

____________________

boomshack:

and i forgot to add
FAIL!!
A HUGE COLOSSAL FAIL

____________________

DecaturMark:

I went to high school in Austin. It is a great town. Go Maroons!!

____________________

political_junki:

ACCORDING TO BOOM THIS IS THE NEW FACE OF REPUBLICAN PARTY:

Palin Stylist Draws Higher Pay Than Policy Adviser
McCain campaign pays Palin's makeup artist more than foreign policy adviser in October

By JIM KUHNHENN
The Associated Press

WASHINGTON

An acclaimed celebrity makeup artist for Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin collected more money from John McCain's campaign than his foreign policy adviser. Amy Strozzi, who works on the reality show "So You Think You Can Dance" and has been Palin's traveling stylist, was paid $22,800, according to campaign finance reports for the first two weeks in October. In contrast, McCain's foreign policy adviser, Randy Scheunemann, was paid $12,500, the report showed.

McCain's campaign said the payment covered a portion of her work in September and a portion of October. An earlier campaign finance report showed Strozzi was paid $13,200 for a portion of September.

In recent days, McCain and his running mate have tried to douse a furor over how their side spent their money. The Republican National Committee came under scrutiny after the party committee reported earlier this week that it had spent about $150,000 in September on wardrobe and cosmetics after Palin joined the GOP ticket.

In an interview with the Chicago Tribune and Fox News on Thursday, Palin said the clothes bought for the Republican National Convention were not worth $150,000 and said most have not left her campaign plane. She also said the family shops frugally.

"Those clothes are not my property. We had three days of using clothes that the RNC purchased," Palin told Fox News in an interview that aired Thursday night.

There was no evidence of additional clothing purchases in the most recent reports.

The Obama campaign has said it paid for hair and makeup costs associated with interviews or events, but neither the campaign nor the Democratic National Committee has paid for clothing.

The reports showed that Barack Obama and McCain enter the final days of the presidential campaign amid dwindling reserves, with Obama hindered by a sudden drop in fundraising and McCain restrained by spending limits.

Obama, the Democratic nominee, spent more than $105 million during the first two weeks of October, according to campaign finance reports. He reported raising only $36 million for his campaign during that period, about half the fundraising pace he enjoyed in September.

The Illinois senator shattered records and dumbfounded Republicans and Democrats by raising $150 million in September. Obama could still do better in October. His more recent report showed he had taken no share from a joint Obama-Democratic Party victory fund that raised about $27 million during the same October period.

But with the election 11 days away, both Obama and McCain, the Republican nominee, are operating with diminishing funds.

Obama had nearly $66 million in the bank at the end of the two-week period and debts of about $2.3 million. The Democratic National Committee and the joint victory fund reported combined cash on hand of $31 million.

McCain and the Republican National Committee reported having a combined $84 million as of last week to spend before Election Day.

The reports illustrated Obama's superior financial position going into October. He spent more than $80 million on media advertising. McCain, using his resources and the Republican National Committee's, spent a combined $38 million on ads.

McCain, who has accepted public financing for his campaign, is restricted in his spending. As of Oct. 15 he had more than $25 million in hand and more than $1 million in debts. The RNC, which has been helping his candidacy, had more than $59 million in the bank.

At McCain's spending rate of $1.5 million a day, the Arizona senator likely has only $12 million to spend in the next 11 days before the Nov. 4 election. He began the fall campaign in September with $84 million in public funds.

Obama is not participating in the public finance system, a strategy he used to advantage in September with a remarkable surge of donations. His October fundraising slowed, even though Democrats had hoped that presidential and vice presidential debates held during that period would have spurred additional giving.

Obama and his wife, Michelle, issued e-mail fundraising appeals on Thursday. The candidate warned supporters that "the margins of victory in crucial battleground states will be small."

Added his wife: "It all comes down to Friday morning when we make the last, tough choices about where we can fight — and how hard."

McCain's major expense was advertising — he spent more than $19 million from Oct. 1-15 on ads. The RNC contributed an extra $10 million to help with those media buys. It also spent $8.5 million on ads on behalf of McCain that were placed independently of his campaign.

McCain still has $21 million left over from the primary elections that he cannot use in the general but can distribute to Republican Party committees. In October, he doled out $8.5 million from that account to party committees in the battleground states of Missouri, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin, Nevada, Ohio, North Carolina and Florida.

Obama contributed $14 million to Democratic committees in those states and more.

____________________

thoughtful:

There is also another imposter Boomshak2.0!

This getting confusing, which one is the original?

____________________

Stillow:

@kerrchdavis:


LOL, a dying breed, ya that's what they saidwhen Jimmy was elected in 1976....and after 4 years of libs in congress and libs in the WH, the country votes Reagan in huge and keeps the GOP in power for 12 years, then they throw in clinton...and in 94 you get the gop in landslides across the board......dying beed. "if" obama wins, he'll be a one term guy, since g'ment causes most problems, whenever you push to make it bigger, it will backfire....the g'ment cannot ru nthe post office, yet you want them to run healthcare......that's a joke, every program they run is bankrupt from social security to medicare....they can't work there way out of a wet paper bag....yet you socialists, i mean liberals wanna give 'em more power and just take what they need.......hey it worked well under jimmy carter, you remember, that booming economy we had i nthe late 70's and that strong foreign policy of ours....right?

____________________

OneAngryDwarf:

@Stillow

You let me know when Mickey Mouse shows up to vote. If you can't figure out the difference between voter registration fraud and actual voter fraud, you must be a Republican.

ACORN by law is required to turn in every registration that they recieve. Now they pay people to get signatures and sometimes those people just grab a phonebook and start filling out names, but that doesn't mean that those people will actually show up at the polls.

If anything is should make you happy because then the Democratic numbers will be inflated and skew the actual numbers.

BTW John McCain supported ACORN and I've got the video to prove it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6Z2t7DTVKA

Next talking point please...

____________________

Nowukkers:

No Boom, actually decidedly West European, though of peripatetic residence due to (shall we say) professional obligations.

____________________

thoughtful:

Pollster Average 51.0 42.6 Obama +8.4

RCP Average 10/16 - 10/23 -- -- 50.2 42.6 Obama +7.6
Rasmussen Reports 10/21 - 10/23 3000 LV 2.0 52 45 Obama +7
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/21 - 10/23 2406 LV 2.0 50 45 Obama +5
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/21 - 10/23 2365 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/21 - 10/23 1203 LV 2.9 51 41 Obama +10
Hotline/FD 10/21 - 10/23 766 LV 3.5 50 43 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 10/20 - 10/23 1321 LV 2.5 53 44 Obama +9
GWU/Battleground 10/19 - 10/23 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
IBD/TIPP 10/19 - 10/23 1008 LV 3.0 46 42 Obama +4
CBS News/NY Times 10/19 - 10/22 771 LV -- 52 39 Obama +13
FOX News 10/20 - 10/21 936 LV 3.0 49 40 Obama +9
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/17 - 10/20 1159 RV 2.9 52 42 Obama +10
Associated Press/GfK 10/16 - 10/20 800 LV 3.5 44 43 Obama +1
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/16 - 10/20 773 LV 3.5 50 42 Obama +8
CNN/Opinion Research 10/17 - 10/19 764 LV 3.5 51 46 Obama +5
Pew Research 10/16 - 10/19 2382 LV 2.5 53 39 Obama +14

Speaks for itself

____________________

DecaturMark:

Obviously, from public opinion polls, the American people are not happy with the way that the US Congress is performing. They are extremely unhappy with the gridlock and partisanship that has taken root in Washington. They want action. It is also obvious that the Dems will control Congress after 2008 and the American people have decided that they want a unified govt. If the Dems over reach or are ineffective, the Reps will have their chance in 2010 (for Congress) and 2012 for total control. It will be solely the Dems responsiblity for the next 2 years. We are confident that they will right this ship and put us on a course of prosperity for everyone.

____________________

Stonecreek:

Wow, what a slaughter in the markets today! NO, not the Dow because it lost only 3.5% of its value. McCain slid was down 1.3 points to 12.5 , or almost 10% of the 13.8 he started the day with on Intrade.

____________________

deeznutsrepubs:

Poor stillow/boomshak/kiptin/boskop/raleigh. How sad the repub trolls must feel right now.


First, Palin only decided to "donate" the clothes after the story broke that she spent $150K on clothes in two months. Second - who cares? The woman is a know nothing dimwit and every American with a brain should be deathly afraid that she has a chance (however remote) of being president.

If you thought George was bad, you ain't seen nothing yet.

What should worry people is that there still is a large segment of brain-washed born-agains voting just based on the fact that Palin is a religious nut just like them. These people completely ignore the fact that she knows NOTHING and has been found to be ethically corrupt. Kinda like the 25% that still support Bush, or think he is doing a great job.

It should scare the living daylights out of every thinking citizen that a large portion of the populace is that ignorant.

The last 8 years will hopefully fade like a bad dream. It was an embarrassing time for the US, and pretty much all due to the repubs and Bush.


The repubs (and some posters here) don't quite understand that their time is OVER. Guess what happens in 4 years? Yup, Obama will be re-elected in a landslide. Why? the old racists/repubs will die off - replaced by the kids who are 14-17 years old right now. Who do you think these kids will support?

Also, an Obama win will restore the pure notion of America that people around the world want to believe in again. Why do you think EVERY poll in EVERY foreign country has Obama winning by huge margins? Some are as high as 90-10!

Now, when these new immigrants come to America, who do you think they will vote for?? We already know that Obama wins the Latino vote by large margins - that population will only increase over time.


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Nowukkers:

DecaturMark:
"We are confident that they will right this ship and put us on a course of prosperity for everyone."
They'd better - the past 8 years have made the swing voters very impatient.

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Stillow:

@thoughtful

Its really tough to get an accurate measure of all the #'s this cycle. A lot of states have huge jumps in democratic registrations, but what percent of those are fony ones from acorn for exxample, which woudl throw off the polling #'s due to party weighing. Then I read a stat where over half the people who are called on a poll hang up and do not take the poll....leaving those who actually wanna do it do it...and obama supporters are usually more activist so they might be more likely to take the poll than a mccain supporter. Plus there will be a bradley affect, i dont know how big, but there will be come who say they are voting for obama just so htey wont be called a racist, but will actually vote mccain. I actually think this race is about dead even....and i still think mccain may very well take PA...especially with Murtha's stupid comments lately. i went back and looked at obama's exit polling during the primaries, he always polled higher in exit polling than his actaul vote count...that tells me there is some out there who say one thing and do naohter for fear of being called a racist....that will be a unknown variable going into election night.

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Stillow

My understanding is that not many if any are from the phony registrations. The phony registrations you talk about were never accepted by the registrars offices and therefore not counted at registered Democrats. I think when you hear a state report such and such number of registered Democrats and such and such number of registered Republicans you're hearing numbers of actual verified registered voters.

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boomshack:

Nowukkers:

No Boom, actually decidedly West European, though of peripatetic residence due to (shall we say) professional obligations.

Ah, a zimogor of sorts, I see. But as to your roots, do they not hail from further East or am I confusing you with another poster?

Regardless, my two points are valid: you are more erudite and hence decided. qed.

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TJIRISH34:

Does anyone know why that woman made up that attack story other than being nuts? I mean why did she attack herself? What about Drudge? He has been pushing this story. Is an apology forthcoming from the right leaning media sites? This story has no bearing on McCain. But it says to me McCain campaign needs volunteers and morale is pretty low for this woman to let her personal problems spill into the campaign rhetoric. Ie... Accussing a black Obama supporter attacking her. Just sad all way around.

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JedRothwell:

Stillow wrote:

"A lot of states have huge jumps in democratic registrations, but what percent of those are fony ones from acorn for exxample, which woudl throw off the polling #'s due to party weighing."

What percent? Zero. You can be sure that not a single one of the phony registrations made it into the system. Modern computerized voter registration procedures with cross-checking easily eliminate fake registrations of this nature, and in any case the people at ACORN flagged the bogus forms and told the registrars that they were fake. They did not simply throw the forms away because that is against the law.

You need to learn something about voter registration procedures and laws before commenting on this.

____________________

Stillow:

@TJIRISH34

Uhhh cus she is a nut case, there's crackpots everywhere...and no one party has a monopoly on them.........drudge's current main story says "she made it up"......

____________________

boomshack:

TJIRISH34:

Does anyone know why that woman made up that attack story other than being nuts? I mean why did she attack herself? What about Drudge? He has been pushing this story. Is an apology forthcoming from the right leaning media sites? This story has no bearing on McCain. But it says to me McCain campaign needs volunteers and morale is pretty low for this woman to let her personal problems spill into the campaign rhetoric. Ie... Accussing a black Obama supporter attacking her. Just sad all way around.

If Pat Robertson was HALF the man Al Sharpton is, we would not have this problem right now! But Pat sold out to the UberLiberals. *sigh*

____________________

Nowukkers:

Boom: I fear you have me mistaken for another.

____________________

TJIRISH34:

ACORN was the organization who turned in the phony names. This ACORN thing is soo overblown. With the laws now on books about showing a valid ID to vote and held up by Supreme Court. If Daffy Duck is put down as a registered voter. How is someone going to actually legally vote andhave vote counted using any fictional name?? EXPLAIN that to me here on this post. ACORN hiring low income people to get registered votes and paying them on how many they sign up is the issue here. It obviously opens a can of worms. But to actually have this voter fraud affect any real counted votes is laughable. Just another GOP argument that has no basis in reality. Mass Voter fraud affecting entire electio process say's McCain. OMG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LOL

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thoughtful:

@Stillow

You can only hope.

I think fraudulent registration is not really a major thing. Your people in Nevada, are well on top of it.

The truth is McCain in 2008 is a lousy candidate and he is 2 old for half the electorate.

Darling Sarah broke the do no harm rule, You might have liked the way she went after Obama but independents requiring reason rather than rhetoric were turned off and then that went to McCain's judgement and back to his age.

The economy is fundamentally strong.

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MancJon:

I actually feel sorry for that McCain worker who faked the attack. She has a history of mental problems, and probably just needs help, rather than to be locked up. She probably didn't fully realise what she was doing. There - typical bleeding-heart liberal response for you ;)

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thisniss:

RAS had a hard time reaching Obama supporters because they were all out Early Voting. ;-)

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thisniss:

And the Obama supporters who weren't out Early Voting yesterday were all at Biden rallies. Or volunteering. Or volunteering at a Biden Early Vote rally. Or... seriously, folks, there is no wayMcCain is gonna win this state. Not. This. Time.

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billwy:

Hey,
I know Zogby's internet poll for states is not highly regarded...but can anyone explain why? I'm somewhat new at this and am trying to figure out what the exact problem with this method is.

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