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NC: Obama Approval, Birth (PPP 8/4-10)


Public Policy Polling (D)
8/4-10/09; 749 likely voters, 3.6% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(PPP release)

North Carolina

Job Approval / Disapproval

Pres. Obama: 46 / 47 (chart)

Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?

39% Support, 50% Oppose

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

54% Yes, 26% No

 

Comments
Stillow:

Not very good numbers for a state he carried in the election. And he is losing support for health reform everywhere but the really blue states.

He's playing with fire in some of these key battleground states.

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Stephen_W:

Stillow, you talk about North Carolina like it was some bellweather Democratic stronghold. Hardly anyone predicted Obama to have any shot in NC, and in the end, he won by the slightest of margins there. It's no surprise that Obama is performing worse in Southern states than the national numbers, particularly given how Republicans have ratcheted up the racial divide there (Sotomayor's confirmation battle, Gates-gate, and of course those lovable birthers).

But this from Pollster.com's own Brendan Nyhan: "Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling has released a preview of a poll showing that 47% of North Carolina Republicans think President Obama is not a citizen -- an even more disturbing finding than his previous poll, which found that 41% of Virginia Republicans believed in the myth."

He goes on to show a seeming link between the Birther conspiracy and red states with large black populations. If that doesn't wreak of racial overtones, I don't know what does...

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Stillow:

Your stuck on the birther thing. Obama is polling similar poor numbers in other battleground states he won like OH, VA, NV, etc....he cannot win if he starts losing those battleground states support. NC is 15 EV's. OH is 20....he can lose a couple, but not a bunch. The last poll in CO I saw showed him not doing well there either. His support his holding in the blue north east and the west coast, but he cannot lose the midwest or southern states like VA, NC, etc and expect to win....he is slipping.

I don't care about the birthers...just as I didn't care bout the left wing fringe either.

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Stephen_W:

Unfortunately the left wing fringe is just that, a fringe. We don't give credence to crazies like Code Pink, etc. You should care about the birthers though, they're the base of the Republican party in the South. Something tells me Republicans are in their death throws, which is why the yelling and shouting a frothing venom that's being brought to places like Arlen Specter's Townhall in conservative bastion Lebanon, sort of makes sense. Republicans aren't really arguing about healthcare reform, they're fighting like it's November 2008 all over again.

I agree with you that he's polling much worse than he was in the beginning of the year in battleground states like ohio, virginia and nevada. But I think once the dust settles and right wing talk radio runs out of crazy things to keep inventing about Obama's platform, Republicans will be weaker for it.

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RS:

With 42% of Conservatives claiming Obama wasn't born in the US and another 29% saying they aren't sure, it's the Conservatives who are struck on the birther thing, Stillow. Face the facts - over 2/3 of your cohorts (at least in NC) are nuts.
Let's talk re-election prospects a year or two out from now when the economy is growing again, shall we? Eight years of Conservative rule takes a while to clean up.

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Stillow:

Blah, go tkae a poll on Dems who still think Gore won the election, you'll 2/3 of Dems who still think gore won. You still ahve about 20 percent of Dems who think Bush was behind 9/11.....so blah blah....the birther thing and the south bashing is getting old.

Obama hatired is just manifesting itself in numerous ways....just as Bush hatrid did, ie he's a war criminal, etc, etc. The party bases are usually more extreme than the party at large.

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Wong:

Considering the staunch antipathy for Obama below the Mason Dixon line and the general state of the national economy, these are very, very good numbers for the President. His numbers nationally are directly tied to the economy and all signs indicate a rebound that will be accelerated as more stimulus money comes on line.

Pointed buffoonery is the usual price one pays for political prognistication. Having said that, I would much rather be a Democrat than a Republican in Nov. next year.

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Wong:

Considering the staunch antipathy for Obama below the Mason Dixon line and the general state of the national economy, these are very, very good numbers for the President. His numbers nationally are directly tied to the economy and all signs indicate a rebound that will be accelerated as more stimulus money comes on line.

Pointed buffoonery is the usual price one pays for political prognistication. Having said that, I would much rather be a Democrat than a Republican in Nov. next year.

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