Mark Blumenthal | November 13, 2007
Topics: 2008 , The 2008 Race
Via Ben Smith, DrudgeReport is reporting:
CBSNEWSNYT POLL SET FOR RELEASE ON WEDNESDAY:
IOWA: HILLARY 25%; EDWARDS 23%; OBAMA 22%
NH: HILLARY 37%; OBAMA 22%; EDWARDS 9%
Remember folks, this apparent leak from within CBS comes from "80% accurate" Matt Drudge so . . . make of it what you will.
Two things to keep in mind: In New Hampshire, our current trend estimate is Clinton 39%, Obama 22, Edwards 13%.
In Iowa , remember that different polls are using very different methods and thus have shown very different conceptions of the "likely caucus goer" electorate. So the differences in methodology probably cause more poll-to-poll variation than underlying trends. Having said that, our current trend estimate is Clinton 30%, Obama 25%, Edwards 19%.
Update: Quoting "sources" Time's The Page confirms the numbers above and says they will be released tonight, not Wednesday. So stay tuned...