New CBS Polls in IA & NH Tomorrow?
Mark Blumenthal | November 13, 2007
Topics: 2008 , The 2008 Race
Via Ben Smith, DrudgeReport is reporting:
CBSNEWSNYT POLL SET FOR RELEASE ON WEDNESDAY:
IOWA: HILLARY 25%; EDWARDS 23%; OBAMA 22%
NH: HILLARY 37%; OBAMA 22%; EDWARDS 9%
Remember folks, this apparent leak from within CBS comes from "80% accurate" Matt Drudge so . . . make of it what you will.
Two things to keep in mind: In New Hampshire, our current trend estimate is Clinton 39%, Obama 22, Edwards 13%.
In Iowa , remember that different polls are using very different methods and thus have shown very different conceptions of the "likely caucus goer" electorate. So the differences in methodology probably cause more poll-to-poll variation than underlying trends. Having said that, our current trend estimate is Clinton 30%, Obama 25%, Edwards 19%.
Update: Quoting "sources" Time's The Page confirms the numbers above and says they will be released tonight, not Wednesday. So stay tuned...
By Mark Blumenthal | November 13, 2007 10:12 PM | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
The Iowa GOP poll, I think, is the most interesting: Romney 27% Huckabee 21% Giuliani 15%.
Posted on November 13, 2007 11:35 PM
CBS:
Iowa:
GOP: Romney 27, Huckabee 21, Giuliani 15, Thompson 9, McCain 4, Paul 4.
Dems: Clinton 25, Edwards 23, Obama 22, Richardson 12.
NH:
GOP: Romney 34, McCain 16, Giuliani 16, Paul 8, Huckabee 6, Thompson 5.
Dems: Clinton 37, Obama 22, Edwards 9, Richardson 6. Read PDF of results here.
Posted on November 14, 2007 12:23 AM
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