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New: Charts and Table for Early Presidential Primary States

Topics: Pollster.com

Today we launch pages on Pollster.com displaying charts and tables of public polling data (and links) for the Democratic and Republican contests in five early presidential primary states. For those who can't wait to dive right in, here are the links:

Each page has the same elements (and we will be rolling out equivalent versions for the national trial-heat data very soon). Here is a quick guided tour:

At the top of each page you will find a chart showing the "top contenders" (roughly 4-5 candidates in each state). You can see a larger size pop-up version by clicking on the chart. Clicking the "2007 data only" link just below the chart will bring up a large-size version showing more recent data.

Just below the chart is a table listing each of the individual polls charted in each state. The entry for each poll listed includes a link to the original source (if available), the survey dates, sample size and the percentages for the top contenders.

Since both races feature more candidates than we could fit into a legible table on our main page, we have also created similar tables in a suitable-for-printing PDF format that includes the data for all active and potential candidates included on each poll. Just click the link ("download printable PDF") below each table.

Finally, each page also includes a set of "small multiple" charts -- a graphic that features an identically formatted set of trend charts, with one chart for each candidate. Note that the number in parenthesis in the title of each small chart displays the current estimate of support for the candidates.

The trend lines are Charles Franklin's regression-based estimators, he explains those more detail here.

Finally, a special note: These charts are a work in progress. In many ways they serve as a prototype for what we are hoping to introduce over the next six months. So we would very much like to hear your feedback on what you like, what you don't, what needs improvement and what you would like to be able to see or do with the data that you cannot. So please email us with your thoughts, comments and suggestions.

 

Comments
Anonymous:

Wheres richardson

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Ari:

Thank you! This is a great resource!!!

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Anonymous:

Thanks a lot, this is a great site!

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What about NY/CA/IL? Those are the big ones.

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nimh:

Yay! Thank you very much! Graphs in the clear Charles Franklin style for individual states were the one thing that was still missing. This is great!

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nimh:

Very useful, these ones, to pick up on minor trends.

For example, the Romney surge in NH and IA was widely reported, and that Obama has done well in SC has also been noted. But I hadnt noticed (sorry if you'd covered it here and I missed it) that Richardson has been clearly breaking out of the second tier in IA and NH.

After his generally criticised performance in the debates, it comes as a bit of a surprise to see that he's gradually moved up to 10% in both states, positioning himself as a proper alternative.

Dont know that I'm happy about that, but that's one thing I already learned from these graphs.

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GordonsGirl:

Fabulous! Gives me hope for a three-way split: Clinton, NH; Edwards, IA; Obama, SC.

The more Hillary plays the experience card, the more it could help Richardson. How that woman thinks she can get away with it is beyond me. Next to Richardson, Biden, and Dodd, it's a joke. Or is there something about being Mrs. Bill Clinton that makes one especially prepared? If being First Lady carries that much extra weight, why not persuade Laura Bush to run for the GOP nomination? She'd probably win in a landslide.

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Alex:

Thank You! I've been trying to keep track of new polls as they came up, and I've totally been missing ones and not having time to go back and compile all the data. So thank you, thank you, thank you, for putting this all up here. Will you be updating these sheets as more data comes out?

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nimh:

why not persuade Laura Bush to run for the GOP nomination

dont go giving them any ideas..

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Christopher Hagar:

Yes, why is Richardson not in the main graph? His numbers are higher than Gore in Iowa, and his individual graph show marked increases in Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Gore has not even declared himself as running.

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On Richardson-- I'll probably add him if the Iowa and NH numbers hold up. Until recently he was at under 5% and that just didn't seem reasonable to include him in the "Top Contenders" chart. He has ALWAYS been included in the small multiples table of all candidates, so it has never been a question of overlooking him-- there just wasn't any noticeable trend. Now that there is, it makes sense to include him. He does, however, remain under 5% in most states and nationally, so his line will look rather bad in most places.

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