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New Time Poll Confirms Post/ABC


Time has a new national survey out today (article, SRBI release & results) that includes 2008 primary match-ups for both the Democrats and Republicans. It shows Rudy Giuliani's widening his lead over John McCain and the rest of the Republican field, while Hilary Clinton's lead over Barack Obama and other Democrats shrinks. These overall results are remarkably similar to those reported in the poll released yesterday by The Washington Post and ABC News.

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Also, the Time survey appears to confirm the result from yesterday's Post/ABC release showing a much tighter Democratic race among African Americans. Although the SRBI release provides not specific results (nor comparable numbers from their previous poll), it states that "blacks split about evenly between Clinton and Obama."

Keep in mind that surveys conducted by the Washington Post/ABC News and CBS News in December or January showed Clinton leading Obama by roughly two-to-one among African-Americans. Now we have three polls conducted over the last 10 days (including a Zogby survey noted by Pollster readers yesterday) that show a much closer contest among African-American Democrats.

Like the Post/ABC survey, Time also picked up a large increase in awareness of Barack Obama among all adults in just the last month:

Barack Obama is becoming more visible to voters as seen in the +14 increase in those who say they know "a great deal" or "some" about him since late January (51% in late Jan. vs. 65% in late Feb.)

Similarly, the Post/ABC survey showed a nine point increase over the last month in the percentage of adults who could rate Obama (rising from 74% to 83%), with virtually all of that increase coming in his favorable rating (up from 45% to 53%).

 

Comments
minorripperm:

Here's a video I'm pretty sure Rudy wish he hadn't made....Presidential? Judge for yourself--
http://minor-ripper.blogspot.com/2007/02/video-rudy-giuliani-does-not-want-you.html

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