Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

NH: 2010 Sen (Kos 2/1-3)

Topics: poll

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
2/1-3/10; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

New Hampshire

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
36% Ayotte, 27% Lamontagne, 4% Binnie

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
46% Ayotte, 39% Hodes (chart)
46% Hodes, 36% Lamontagne
45% Hodes, 35% Binnie

2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
59% Lynch, 13% Kimball

Favorable / Unfavorable
Paul Hodes: 47 / 29
Kelly Ayotte: 54 / 24
Ovide Lamontagne: 34 / 39
William Binnie: 31 / 30
Barack Obama: 55 / 38 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

The GOP may not nominate Ayotte because she has not always been tough on some illegals who came to NH and were involved with serious crimes. Some conservatives in NH are attacking her conservative credentials. As a progressive, this would be my best hope.She has distanced herself well from the Bush genre, yet her opponent is more entrenched in the GOP establisment.

____________________

Xenobion:

As the tea party is sort of coming aprat by the seams I expect republicans to embrace RINO's again. Club for Growth is sort of failing at picking candidates except maybe Rubio, but really after looking at Scott Brown's voting records the republicans will have to start electing liberal republicans in the NE and West if they want to win those states. Ayotte is one of those.

____________________

Williame123:

Obama should hope for Ayotte, Castle, Kirk, Pataki etc. These NE Repubs cannot unify against him most of the time because it would lump them in with the southern and mountain west Repubs, which will make them unpopular back home. Their cooperation on many issues will give Obama bipartisan cover and divide the GOP. Liberals will also be more willing forgive Obama when he compromises because they will see him as fighting against the odds a la Clinton vs Gringich.

Look at what happened to NE Repubs under Bush. They had no where to hide and they lost. The ones most likely to survive, like the Maine ladies, were the least conservative. Their voting records are even more liberal than conservadems like Ben Nelson, Gene Taylor, Bobby Bright etc. Scott Brown is already defensive. He has already made it clear he will vote with Dems on some issues.

Conservadems are gonna suffer under Obama just as Repubs suffered under Reagan and Bush.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

I beg to differ. Even though Kirk, Castle and Pataki are more socially liberal than most Republicans, they would not all be able to distance themselves from the GOP base of tea baggers, Christian conservatives and those who think torture under certain conditions is okay. We were asleep last Jan 19th, but we have lots of time. Republicans in the northeast are not all that moderate anymore. Maine, may be the exception, but a lot of Republicans in upstate NY are big time sportsmen and others are religious conservatives. Pataki isn't all that popular among them. In NH Ayotte, was percieved by ultra conservatives as not that tough on illegal immigration. You wouldn't expect NH to have a big problem with that issue, but you would be surprised.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

Yeah I saw one of Gene Taylor's town hall meetings in MS. The african americans there were from other parts of the state and many of them served their country. The black folks were with a few white folks on one side of the room and the white folks on the other side. One elderly lady said, she believed Obama was going to pull the plug on grandma, and she said she didn't think he was a US Citizen. Gene Taylor came short of agreeing with her. He also was asked, by a white gentleman in the crowd, "Your friends with Chuck Schumer and you expect us to vote for you again" Taylor replied, he was friends with "Heath Schuler a blue dog from NC, not Chuck Schumer". A few out of state white people, asked questions such as why the states in the south had life expectancys and infant mortality rates as bad as developing countrys. The mostly african american crowd cheered the young white guy who was in medical school. Taylor again, tried to answer the question but never really did.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR