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NH: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 1/12)


Rasmussen
1/12/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

New Hampshire

2010 Senate (trends)
45% Hodes (D), 38% Lamontagne (R)
49% Ayotte (R), 40% Hodes (D) (chart)
43% Hodes (D), 37% Binnie (R)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 52 / 47 (chart)
Gov. Lynch: 58 / 38 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kelly Ayotte: 60 / 21
Paul Hodes: 49 / 43
Ovide Lamontagne: 38 / 35
Bill Binnie: 34 / 29

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

This will be a fun race to be involved with. I think Ayotte, unlike Brown is a sincere candidate is has good qualifications. A lot will depend on strictly the issues; both candidates are well liked making this a more positive campaign. A lot will depend on how right Ayotte is in critical issues.

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Farleftandproud:

NH unlike Mass has a tradition of election more women to higher office. Mass may be considered a left-leaning state, but there has still never been an elected governor or senator to the state.

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Stillow:

Ayotte will win this race and do so quite easily.

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LordMike:

If she makes it out of the primary... and that's a big if! She's getting teabagged big time!

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Farleftandproud:

I sincerely doubt it. NH has moved in a leftward direction. Once the campaign can figure out where she stands on issues, Hodes will have a chance. It will be close.

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Farleftandproud:

It is NH where the GOP votes for the most winnable candidate, not the most conservative one. Florida in contrast could very well roll the dice, nominate Rubio over a sure fire winner like Crist, and make it a much more competitive race.

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Stillow:

You Dems are in a classic case of denial. Look at whats going on right now. Support for HCR is now in the 30's. Dems are sturggling and having to spend a lot of money just to try and keep a seat held by Dems for decades in the most democratic state we have.

The best thing that any and all republicans have going for them in 2010 is that they are not democrats. The anger towards republicans in 2006 and 2008 has totally flipped andis now aimed at Dems.

A year ago, libs were out there syaing its a new permanant democrat majoirty tha thas emerged. Liberalism is the new fashion. The country has turned it sback on conservatives. Dems will be in power forever. Now look where we are. Dems get killed in to governors races....polling makes it look like they are barely hanging onto a seat in Mass....there signature issue has public approval in the 30's.

You libs got way to cocky and arrogant for your own good. Humble pie is being served and your going to have to eat it....its not going to be a good election cycle this year for Dems, or in 2012.

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Field Marshal:

Amen.

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Farleftandproud:

Stillow:
You Dems are in a classic case of denial. Look at whats going on right now. Support for HCR is now in the 30's. Dems are sturggling and having to spend a lot of money just to try and keep a seat held by Dems for decades in the most democratic state we have.

Look, as a progressive I am not looking for a popuarity contest. I am not surprised that a lot of misinformation about implementing affordable health care isn't going to be popular. Lets face it that for the Americans who have good full time jobs with benefits, probably aren't that concerned with how affordable health care or the proposed public option would affect them personally. I agree that Democrats approval has gone down because of the health care issue, but I would like to stress that in 1965 when LBJ passed Medicare, his approval went down as well. Now, medicare has widespread popularity; so much so, that many older conservatives like Sen. Grassley want elderly people to think Obama will ration medicare. If government health care was so bad, why would conservatives like Grassley be concerned with trying to protect it? I knew it was going to be a struggle to get this passed, but I am confident that once it is passed a lot more Americans will be happy that there will be more competition, affordable insurance Coops and for those who lose their jobs a greater elligability for Medicaid. Liberal or conservative, we could be out on a limb and need assistance from one of these programs.

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Louis:

stillow,
I could respond bysaying Republicans where so disorganized they couldn't even hold a congrssional sit in a republican are ao fupstate New York. But that would be as unfair as using races for governor to measure party popularity in Ntional races. Kasas elected a Democratic Governor but is not about to elect a Democratice Senator on the other side California has a Republican Governor (for the moment) but is not about to elect a Republican Senator. races for Governor on decided on local issues. For Senator on national issues so you can't really use one to measure the other.

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obamalover:

She'll get teabagged. Ayotte is a non-issue.

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Farleftandproud:

It will be tough. She is soft spoken and very attractive. I often wish she was a Democrat because she would be up by 20 percent. The GOP has been recently picking candidates who tend to be sexy to the opposite sex. Unfortunately in America this sometimes works.

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obamalover:

@Farleftandproud

"The GOP has been recently picking candidates who tend to be sexy to the opposite sex."

That is a ridiculous notion...

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NDYzMGFiNjQ0MWRjNmI0ZTlkYjgwZTExMjA3MWNiZTk=

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Stillow:

Again, you lefties are missing the obvious. The best thing all republicans of all breeds have going for them this year is that they are not democrats.

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obamalover:

@Stillow

LOL.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way ______ in Congress are handling health care?
Dems: 29 / 57
Reps: 24 / 61

/blogs/us_national_survey_cbs_1610.html

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Stillow:

OL - good you stick with your polls...I will stick with reality which is showing us Dems in big trouble in so many races.......you guys will be lucky to hold teddy's seat.....when a senate race in Mass is even competitive, you know you have big big problems. Be sure you wave what you think your polls mean after getting killed in several key races.

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obamalover:

@Stillow

It remains to be seen whether Brown is truly a competitor. There really wasn't a campaign run against him until this week. We'll see what the results are.

And polling data is reality. Do you think pollsters make these numbers up? LOL.

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Farleftandproud:

Oh getting back to the GOP nominating physcially attractive candidates has been a trend; lots of women thinking Scott Brown is good looking and Palin caught a second look from the guys. Of course the GOP has had a lot of aging older heavy guys like Halle Barber of Missisipi, and Rush Limbaugh and they want to change their image to getting younger voters. In Missouri, the younger Carnahan woman is younger and energetic vs a more reserved and less charismatic Blunt.

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