Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

NJ: 2009 Gov (Quinnipiac-5/12-18)


Quinnipiac University
5/12-18/09; 2,532 registered voters, 2% margin of error
543 likely Republican voters (4.2%), 524 likely Democratic voters (4.3%)
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New Jersey

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 67 / 27 (chart)
Gov. Corzine 38 / 53 (chart)
Sen. Lautenberg: 46 / 37 (chart)
Sen. Menendez: 41 / 32 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Gov. Corzine: 37 / 51 (chart)
Christie: 33 / 11
Lonegan: 19 / 11

2009 Governor:

Republican Primary
Christie 56, Lonegan 33, Merkt 2 (chart)

Democratic Primary
Gov. Corzine 65, Bacon 5, Boss 5, Bergmanson 4 (trends)

General Election
Christie 45, Gov. Corzine 38 (chart)
Lonegan 42, Gov. Corzine 40 (chart)

(source)

 

Comments
BobinOakland:

Corzine's gonna pull this one out. Christie can't break 50%, and he recently said he'd reject stimulus money that NJ desperately needs. Jersey Dems doesn't really like Corzine, but once they get to know Christie, they'll come home.

____________________

Stillow:

Corzine cannot break 40!!! Christie is going to win this....and maybe you missed it, but there is a growing # of governors refusing "stimulus" money because of the strings attached. And polls on wheather or not the stimulus is even working show majorities think it is not working.

Bye Bye Corzine!

____________________

BobinOakland:

Stillow,

I'll defer to you in NV that Reid is weak, but I know NJ, and they won't elect a Republican Statewide anymore. The Dem registration advantage is too wide, and the Dems will come home. Only half of the state knows who Christie is, and when they find out he's a reactionary Republican, they'll turn on him.

My mother-in-law is one of those voters. She doesn't care for Corzine, but it'll be a cold day in heck before she and others like her vote for a Republican.

I'd be worried if Christie broke 50%, but he hasn't yet. If he does, then I'll change my prediction accordingly.

____________________

Stillow:

You'r being to partisan. I used to be that way too, I was a republican until I left the party officially in 2005 and became an Indy. You have to get past the D and R next to ones name, hte differences between the two parties these days are minimal, they are both fiscally liberal and hte GOP is moving left on social issues slowly. The divide is emerging as conservative/traditional vs liberal/progressive.
If you blindly ignore all GOP candidates and only always support the Democrat, things will alway sworsen. Look what hppened in CA yesterday, all tax increase measures were defeated...and CA is a heavily blue state. Arnold is an R, but he is a fiscal liberal! So you have no difference between the parties anymore in terms of spending. Corzine is doing a bad job, Arnold is doing a bad job, one R and one D both in blue states. So yo usee the party label means nothing these days.
Reagan for example got the votes of millions of democrats because he connected with there "conservative" beliefs on fiscal and social issues.
Eventually these blue states who are in real serious financial mess, CA, NY, MI, NJ, etc....are goign to ahve to change and vote in someone different. These states have been blindly voting for D's for years an years now and the states are total disasters fiscally. I mean those states are in horrible shape financially and they continue to blindly votte in D's.
I live in NV and we have had a huge influx of people moving here from CA ove rthe past 10 years. The RJ polled these movers and asked them why are you moving out of CA and into NV? The #1 reason by 50+ points was taxes are to high in CA they said. So when they get here they register as D and they vote for D's who then begin raising taxes. If you look around the country at the spots who have done well over the past 20 years, most of it is all in red states who have non punititve tax structures and favorbale business climate. NV is slowly turning blue because of everyone moving in here blindly voting for D's. So these people end up voting in the same exact thing they are fleeing in over taxed states like CA.
So blind partisanism will do you no good. If you want to see what total fiscal liberal control over a state looks like, look at CA, if you really want that for the nation, then I guess continue to vote for fiscal liberals!

____________________

BobinOakland:

Stillow,

Just about every state in in dire fiscal straits, red or blue.

The props went down because both left and right hated them. And there was only one tax increase measure, 1A. All the others were fund diversions from other programs. CA has structural issues that hamper budget negotiations.

And, yes, I'm a Democratic partisan. But I'll bet you a nickel that Corzine is still Gov. come 2010.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR