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NJ: Approval Ratings (Rasmussen 8/31)

Topics: New Jersey , poll

Rasmussen
8/31/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

New Jersey

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 50 (chart)
Gov. Christie: 57 / 43 (chart)
Sen. Lautenberg: 48 / 47 (chart)
Sen. Menendez: 45 / 49 (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

GO CHRISTIE!

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RussTC3:

Adjusting for Raspublican's lean -- using their MoE -- Obama is at 55/45 (+10), Christie at 52/48 (+4), Lautenberg at 53/42 (+11) and Menendez at 50/44 (+6).

President Obama carried New Jersey with 57% of the vote, so his support is stable. Lautenberg carried the state in 2008 with 56% and Menendez won in 2006 with 53% of the vote.

Christie is also relatively in the same position as he was in 2009, when he won 49/45 (the approval spread is the same as his 2008 election spread).

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Paleo:

Agree Russ. Plus, Christie's not helping himself by having to fire his education secretary, and calling him a liar when in fact it was Christie who lied:

http://www.nj.com/news/jjournal/jerseycity/index.ssf?/base/news-10/128340877468640.xml&coll=3

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Fred:

russ and paleo


Since when is rasmussen ever 10 points off?

You guys are going to be in great shock when election day comes.

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Field Marshal:

Fred,

I find is quite amusing.

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Mike E:

When you cancel out the Reichmussen effect, Obama is plus one billion.

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Dave:

I know Rass is largely (only?) a likely voters pollster. But still, Christie isn't up for election for a while, and I'd have liked to see what all voters, or even registered voters, think of him.

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RussTC3:

I'm only adjusting for their MoE. Raspublican's final August 2008 poll had it Obama 52, McCain 42 with a MoE of 4.5%.

Adjusting for their lean back then, Obama would have actually been at 57%.

Not surprisingly, the President carried New Jersey with...57%.

Shocking.

Perhaps I shouldn't round up their MoE to 5% and just stick with 4.5%.

In that case:

Obama - 54.5/45.5 (+9)
Christie - 52.5/47.5 (+5)
Lautenberg - 52.5/42.5 (+10)
Menendenz - 49.5/44.5 (+5)

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RussTC3:

*Menendez

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MoralHazard:

RussTC3:
"I'm only adjusting for their MoE. Raspublican's final August 2008 poll had it Obama 52, McCain 42 with a MoE of 4.5%."

Using your method of adjustment Christie was defeated by John Corzine. Since Rasmussen had Christie winning in his final poll by 3 (46% to 43%), apparently Christie lost 47.5% to 41.5%.

Funny though, I could have sworn that Christie actually won by a little over 4%.

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