NJ: Approval Ratings (Rasmussen 8/31)
Emily Swanson | September 8, 2010
Topics: New Jersey , poll
Rasmussen
8/31/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
New Jersey
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 50 (chart)
Gov. Christie: 57 / 43 (chart)
Sen. Lautenberg: 48 / 47 (chart)
Sen. Menendez: 45 / 49 (chart)
By Emily Swanson | September 8, 2010 10:49 AM | Permalink | Comments (10) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
GO CHRISTIE!
Posted on September 8, 2010 11:14 AM
Adjusting for Raspublican's lean -- using their MoE -- Obama is at 55/45 (+10), Christie at 52/48 (+4), Lautenberg at 53/42 (+11) and Menendez at 50/44 (+6).
President Obama carried New Jersey with 57% of the vote, so his support is stable. Lautenberg carried the state in 2008 with 56% and Menendez won in 2006 with 53% of the vote.
Christie is also relatively in the same position as he was in 2009, when he won 49/45 (the approval spread is the same as his 2008 election spread).
Posted on September 8, 2010 11:36 AM
Agree Russ. Plus, Christie's not helping himself by having to fire his education secretary, and calling him a liar when in fact it was Christie who lied:
http://www.nj.com/news/jjournal/jerseycity/index.ssf?/base/news-10/128340877468640.xml&coll=3
Posted on September 8, 2010 11:45 AM
russ and paleo
Since when is rasmussen ever 10 points off?
You guys are going to be in great shock when election day comes.
Posted on September 8, 2010 12:19 PM
Fred,
I find is quite amusing.
Posted on September 8, 2010 12:52 PM
When you cancel out the Reichmussen effect, Obama is plus one billion.
Posted on September 8, 2010 1:10 PM
I know Rass is largely (only?) a likely voters pollster. But still, Christie isn't up for election for a while, and I'd have liked to see what all voters, or even registered voters, think of him.
Posted on September 8, 2010 1:19 PM
I'm only adjusting for their MoE. Raspublican's final August 2008 poll had it Obama 52, McCain 42 with a MoE of 4.5%.
Adjusting for their lean back then, Obama would have actually been at 57%.
Not surprisingly, the President carried New Jersey with...57%.
Shocking.
Perhaps I shouldn't round up their MoE to 5% and just stick with 4.5%.
In that case:
Obama - 54.5/45.5 (+9)
Christie - 52.5/47.5 (+5)
Lautenberg - 52.5/42.5 (+10)
Menendenz - 49.5/44.5 (+5)
Posted on September 8, 2010 1:25 PM
*Menendez
Posted on September 8, 2010 1:28 PM
RussTC3:
"I'm only adjusting for their MoE. Raspublican's final August 2008 poll had it Obama 52, McCain 42 with a MoE of 4.5%."
Using your method of adjustment Christie was defeated by John Corzine. Since Rasmussen had Christie winning in his final poll by 3 (46% to 43%), apparently Christie lost 47.5% to 41.5%.
Funny though, I could have sworn that Christie actually won by a little over 4%.
Posted on September 9, 2010 12:50 PM
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