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NJ: Christie 42 Corzine 38 (PPP 10/23-26)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/23-26/09; 630 likely voters, 3.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Christie 42%, Corzine 38%, Daggett 13% (chart)

Is your second choice for Governor Chris Christie or Jon Corzine? (Asked only of Daggett voters)
Corzine 44%, Christie 32%

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Christie (R): 45 / 44
Jon Corzine (D): 33 / 60 (chart)
Chris Daggett (i): 31 / 36

Job approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 47 / 45 (chart)

 

Comments
Louis:

The numbers are a bit weird but not good news for Corzine. the only ray of sunshine is that if Dagett voters move back to the two main contenders Corzine would benefit, Has any candidate ever been elected with a 60% disapproval rate.

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RaleighNC:

More good news for Christie. He may actually limp across the finish line. I predict a 2 point win for Christie.

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Stillow:

Louis

Dagget voters are more likely to vote Christie and not Corzine. Dagget voters are still bluffing. They will vote Christie on election day....Dagget will get under 10 on election day....I am still saying Christie by 4.

Ras has christie up too today....and his election polling is usually pretty good...and with a week to go, the pollsters are going to start reporting actual rea numbers....they cannot fudge anymore if they want to have credibility in future polling.

Christie is going to win this....

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RussTC3:

Check this out (based on Pollster.com charts).

Live-only polls with smoothing on More Sensitive (Internet and IVR are unchecked)
Corzine 40.8
Christie 35.7

IVR (Automated)-only polls with smoothing on More Sensitive (Internet and Live are unchecked)
Corzine 40.0
Christie 41.7

So Corzine +5.1 according to the Live polls, but Christie +1.7 when looking at just the IVR polls.

One set of pollsters is going to get it way, way wrong next week.

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Field Marshal:

I believe people were criticizing Rass' NJ poll for having Obama at 53. PPP has him at 47! This one must be bunk as well!

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RussTC3:

Well they're both IVR-Automated.

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platanoman:

Now, Stillow thinks Christie will win because Ras says so. Well, Ras didn't get everything correct in 2008. They had Coleman up by 4. Well, it certainly didn't end that way. Let's wait and see until you change your mind again

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Field Marshal:

Coleman probably won by 4 but with ACORN and Dem shikanery, he lost by 0.0001%.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Coleman probably won by 4 but with ACORN and Dem shikanery, he lost by 0.0001%"

Minnesota has one of the most thorough and trustworthy election review processes. All polls showed that the race was going to be close.

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