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NJ: Christie 42 Corzine 40 (Quinnipiac 10/27-11/1)


Quinnipiac
10/27-11/1/09; 1,533 likely voters, 2.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

New Jersey

2009 Governor
42% Christie, 40% Corzine, 12% Daggett (chart)

Daggett voters only: Who is your second choice for governor?
39% Corzine, 29% Christie

Favorable / Unfavorable
Christie: 41 / 40
Corzine: 39 / 53 (chart)
Daggett: 23 / 17

 

Comments
Polaris:

This is more confirmation that the late breakers are crystalizing around Christie.

-Polaris

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phillybooster:

I am not sure what "Who is your second choice for governor" means in this context.

Let us assume that I'm a registered Democrat in New Jersey, who is angry with Corzine and wants to vote against him to register my anger. I was originally planning to vote for Christie, but would prefer not to help a Republican win, so I am now going to vote for Daggett.

If this is my mindset, what is the "true" answer to "Who is my second choice for governor?" I'm not sure I could really answer that question. If Daggett dropped out, I would vote for Christie, but with Daggett in the race, I may reasonably let my Democratic self-identity drop the Republican to third, and say that Corzine is my second choice.

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Sorry Polaris. You're letting your favoritism get in the way of your common sense and the history of NJ politics. Polling there always favors Republicans on the eve of an election and they never reach their poll results on election day. Democrats always out-poll the pollsters by 5-7% on a statewide basis. Look it up.

Even though Q-polls are good, that means Corzine by 3-4%.

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Stillow:

Been a long time since I have seen you Dems in such a state of denial....rality is going to hurt you guys quite a bit tomorrow night.

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Polaris:

Nelcon,

A week ago Quinn showed Corzine +5. Today the same poll shows Christie+2. Furthermore most of the other polls (virtually all in fact) are showing the same movement.

That's not "favoritism". That's calling it what it is. Late support seems to be crystalizing around Christie.

-Polaris

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