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NJ: Corzine 39 Christie 36 (Rutgers 10/15-20)


Rutgers-Eagleton
10/15-20/09; 583 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(AP article, Politicker NJ article)
Update: Rutgers release

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Corzine 39%, Christie 36%, Daggett 20% (chart)

Daggett voters: 2nd Choice
34% Christie, 28% Corzine, 24% Would not vote

Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine: 40 / 52 (chart)
Chris Christie: 39 / 42
Chris Daggett: 31 / 15

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Yikes, Daggett continues to draw from Christie voters. He's going to swing the election to Corzine. At this point, Christie should just drop out of the race and throw his support to Daggett. LOL.

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Rasmus Pianowski:

You know what would be bipartisan? If both Corzine and Christie dropped out and endorsed Daggett. I'd love to see that.

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jmartin4s:

I can't wait to see how Stillow is gonna spin this. He will probably say that Rutgers is a college that only polls cooky left wing supporters and something else moronic. Democrats always outperform their poll numbers in NJ so if Corzine is leading in some polls, I am very optimistic going into election night.

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jmartin4s:

I can't wait to see how Stillow is gonna spin this. He will probably say that Rutgers is a college that only polls cooky left wing supporters and something else moronic. Democrats always outperform their poll numbers in NJ so if Corzine is leading in some polls, I am very optimistic going into election night.

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RussTC3:

So Daggett doesn't have much an effect afterall:

Corzine +3 with Daggett, Corzine +2 without Daggett.

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Aaron_in_TX:

I'm not much of a believer that 3rd party candidates "pull" from other candidates, thus swinging the election. That hypothesis was proved incorrect with regard to the 1992 election - had Ross Perot not run Clinton would likely still have won.

From talking to people that vote 3rd party, they seem like the types that wouldn't normally vote otherwise. Ie: I bet a lot of Ron Paul supporters simply didn't vote for president in 2008. My theory is that they keep the other 2 parties from hitting 50, but that the votes they get either wouldn't exist in their absence or would be more or less evenly distributed. The gap between R and D would remain the same.

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Vert Man:

*looks around for Stillow*

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