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NJ: Obama 47, McCain 41 (FDickinson-9/4-7)

Topics: PHome

Fairleigh Dickinson University
9/4-7/08; 872 LV, 3.3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New Jersey
Obama 47, McCain 41
(June: Obama 49, McCain 33)

 

Comments
Tybo:

an 8 point jump for McCain.. and a 10 point swing?

that is not good news for Obama

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Inkan1969:

The dates are 9/4-7, during the peak time of McCain's convention bounce.

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Hope Reborn:

@ Tybo

As I explained in the other thread, states like NJ and CT will show McCain gaining ground, but these are states that will be out of reach on election night, regardless of Debate performance.

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Brutus1_:
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Brutus1_:

Holy sh*t!! This is HUGE!!


http://waugh.standard.co.uk/2008/09/brown-backs-oba.html

The British PM wants OBAMA! Eat that retardlicans!

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Hope Reborn:

I'm as big an Obama supporter as you'll find, but I've gotta say that the dueling stories of the BBC poll finding the world prefers Obama coupled with the British PM's psuedo-endorsement of Obama is a net-net negative.

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Tybo:

"states like NJ and CT will show McCain gaining ground, but these are states that will be out of reach on election night"

MOE

it's making obama spend money in NJ... and the NYTimes article today points out that Obama has run thru his money like a drunk on a bender

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Uri:

I fail to see the importance of these endorsements.

Koch is a democrat, the surprise was that he backed Bush over Gore, not that he now backs Obama.

Gordon Brown is of the labour party, the UK analogue of the Democratic party.

As for the entire world, the list of countries was leaning towards Africa and the Middle East who are obviously in Obama's side. Not sure why they interviewed people in the US.
I have my own opinions about who should run those countries, but I'm not sure why it matters. This is just a sequel to the Obama Berlin speech crap.

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KipTin:

Yes, Obama's fund raising is not going as hoped. And therefore, Obama will have to spend more time fund raising than planned, while McCain gets to campaign virtually full time.

Sure New Jersey will go Democrat, unless Obama ignores the state. He cannot afford to do so. He also now has to focus on Oregon and Washington.

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Brutus1_:

Uri- the pathetic nature of the pumas never fails to amaze.


Who do you want, a leader that is respected and loved around the world, or one that is hated and loathed?

Which one do you think will be able to pass treaties and negotiate effectively?

Which one can get other nations' citizens to care about the US and international issues again?

That is why I find this whole BS of "berlin speech stuff" to be so idiotic. You think being a celebrity is a BAD THING? WHAT?!?!


Silly Puma, ever hear the phrase, "You'll catch more bees with honey than with vinegar."


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Tybo:

"Who do you want, a leader that is respected and loved around the world,"

Britney?
I want a leader who puts America first, not his need to be loved and adored around the world.

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Justin:

This result suggests to me that the Convention/Palin bounce is overrated. There is NO WAY McCain will out-perform George W. Bush in New Jersey.

I'm with Hope Reborn on both the Gordon Brown endorsement and the world poll. I can just hear Sean Hannity's reaction:

"Celebrity [read 'uppity'] Obama has ingratiated himself to his fellow Citizens of the World because his 'values' are less 'American' than John McCain's or Sarah Palin's. That liberal elites and foreigners love Obama so much simply proves that he isn't really 'one of us'..."

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Hope Reborn:

McCain never spent a penny on Indiana, Montana or Alaska.

Likewise, Obama will not and does not need to spend a dime on New Jersey or CT.

These are facts.

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Brutus1_:

Stop drinking radiator coolant, tyno.

What need, dimwit? Obama never asked for world-wide adulation. They see promise in him that they haven't seen in an American in some time. Maybe you should get your head out of bill o'reilley's arse and see what is right in front of you.


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Andrew_in_California:

Add Washington State and Oregon to that mix. Nothing to fear they are blue.

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maddiekat:

I am more then happy to say it! If Obama and Biden get beat by the circus running around the country side known as McCain and Palin, then the country is either stupid or they are racist...PERIOD!!

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Justin:

According to post at 538, SUSA is about to release an NC poll showing McCain leading Obama 58-38.

http://abclocal.go.com/wtvd/story?section=news/politics&id=6380065

I never thought Obama had much of a chance in NC, but there's no way McCain will win it by twenty.

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Brutus1_:

yeah, apparently (according to 538) the bounce mccain received nationally was concentrated in a few states - mainly red ones.

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Brutus1_:

maddiekat -

I agree. The dim-witted lot were just looking for a reason NOT to vote for Obama (you know, because they didn't like his ears or something), and the pick of Palin convinced them, since she is SO QUALIFIED to lead a superpower, because she is a "hockey mom" with 5 kids.

Good Lord.

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damitajo1:

McCain will definitely win NC - and the rest of the south. NJ - that's VERY close, for a solidly blue state, but lots of working class whites/catholics is bad news for Obama. Not picking Clinton (NJ was one of her strongest states) was a huge error. Not nominating her, was another in a string of Democratic suicidal missions.

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boskop:

Nice day :>}

sorry about joisee and WI.

biden goes down next week. news out by mid week.

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boskop:

and for all those who havent picked up the error on the polling data for WI, the fact is that eric took an entire month to lighten the blue on this state per the polling data. however, the sept data is michigan's.

he should change it.

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thoughtful:

Hi Boskop

Not such a happy bunny today. Still a lot of undecided.

McCain's new found followers may be a little fickle!

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Mike_in_CA:

Tybo -- good job with the talking points!! :)

Almost verbatim from McCain's memo of weekly talking points:

"Britney?
I want a leader who puts America first, not his need to be loved and adored around the world."

Four Gold McCain stars for you today! Good boy!

In a serious tone -- why would we want someone to be respected in the world? Gosh, we are America, and we're all cowboys and I'll be darned if some pussy European is going to tell me how I'm supposed to participate in international affairs. I've got big nukes and lots of weapons and money, and everyone speaks English, so f*ck them all. We're America. The world better watch out for us. Like drunken sailors we are. Piss us off and we'll invade you or something (but, on a side note, Russia, YOU aren't allowed to invade any other countries because, well, just because, we said so, and WE'RE AMERICA!) AMERICA FIRST! YAY! COUNTRY FIRST! WOOHOOOOOOO.

Let's go hunt me some moose huh? Yeehaw.

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Mike_in_CA:

boskop,

you're little witty spelling of "jersey" to represent your stereotypical jersey accent is so freakin witty. You are like so totally the coolest kid I've ever seen type anonymously from behind a keyboard!

Oh, and your election analysis is spot on. I can't wait for Obama to kick Joe Biden to the curb next week. It's obvious that there's NO OTHER explanation for Obama's numbers to drift within the margin of error in Wisconsin, or for McCain to actually get to a reasonable polling number in September in New Jersey. It's obviously all Biden's fault!

Can we be friends so I can learn to be cool like you? Pretty please?

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Tybo:

Mike, you seem to believe that your talking points deserve a real answer..
but you throw a hissy fit when you get what you served

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PoliticallyGrounded:

I'm skeptical of the large swing in the state from the last polling. I would suspect the margin of gain from McCain is less than the current poll indicates. Polls are really tough to read with so many events occuring

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PoliticallyGrounded:

I'm skeptical of the large swing in the state from the last polling. I would suspect the margin of gain from McCain is less than the current poll indicates. Polls are really tough to read with so many events occuring

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richardkreed:

NC McCain by 20
Florida McCain by 5
New Jersey close
Michigan a tie.
Wisconsin in play.
Montana, McCain pulls nicely ahead.
Ohio leaning strongly red.

My goodness, this is beginning to be fun!
Gee Ha!

However (and only because I am such a nice, fair-and-balanced Human Bean, I will offer true liberals some advice: Moonbat Madness and blind insane rage totally turns people off.

I myself was quite ready to vote other than GOP this year. But the left wing of the Democratic party is the most off-putting bunch I have ever experienced. So it's Barr for me, and the GOP where there is no Libertarian.

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Sergei Groinka:

Palin attracting votes in NJ?? I don't think there are many White Evangelicals out there.

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Tom:

NJ has always been a state that polls close, but Republicans lose by 20%. The state has only two media markets, and both campaigns are up in one of them (neither canidate is up in NYC). Consider that Obama is gaining rapidly in FL (Palin is actually hurting down here because of the Jewish vote), Obama is actually holding onto a slight lead in CO (good feelings after the convention).

Looking at the map, McCain has to run the table on the yellow states. I also suspect the convention bounce will be pretty much gone by this point next week, in which case the debates become must-wins, especially for Palin.

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faithhopelove:

A 6-point lead in blue NJ during McCain's Palin/convention bounce is a solid lead for Obama.

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realitycheck:

Brutus1 said:

Who do you want, a leader that is respected and loved around the world, or one that is hated and loathed?

In that case, let's get rid of Obama and McCain. Michael Jackson for president!

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