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NV: 2010 Sen (PPP 1/11-12)

Topics: poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
1/11-12/10; 763 likely voters, 3.6% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Nevada

2010 Senate (trends)
51% Lowden (R), 41% Reid (D) (chart)
50% Tarkanian (R), 42% Reid (D) (chart)
46% Lowden (R), 38% Berkley (D)
47% Tarkanian (R), 39% Berkley (D)
42% Goodman (D) 42%, Lowden (R) 40%
41% Goodman (D), 41% Tarkanian (R)
44% Lowden (R), 34% Miller (D)
45% Tarkanian (R), 34% Miller D)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 44 / 52 (chart)
Sen. Reid: 36 / 58 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Shelley Berkley: 27 / 27
Oscar Goodman: 43 / 21
Sue Lowden: 29 / 22
Ross Miller: 18 / 16
Danny Tarkanian: 33 / 24

Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
36% Support, 54% Oppose

Do you think that Harry Reid should step down from his position as Senate Majority Leader?
42% Yes, 49% No

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Wow. Harry is in hot water. If I were him, I would step down after health care is passed and 20 years from now will be considered as great as the Senate majority leader under LBJ who passed Medicare. The same program that would have been considered by Reagan and Goldwater to be a communist takeover.

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Stillow:

LOL....you libs really beleive this crap don't you? About how passing the ultra unpopular HCR will make your party leaders iconic figures of wisdom i nthe years to come.

The libs are totally delusional....something called HCR will probably pass, it will be ntohing like the libs think it is....and there's a high probability it woudl be repealed anyway......as well as many parts of it being found to be unconstitutional.

As for this race, I actually like Goodman. He is extrmeley pro business and pro growth, not your typical anti business democrat. He's a social libertarian with a live and let live way of thinking. I could see myself voting for Goodman if he were to run.....

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Xenobion:

It'll be to difficult to repeal away. It'll also end up being a bomb for those that dismantle it.

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Wong:

HCR is here to stay regardless of any right wing delusions. We heard the same crap about social security and medicare. Today they are both a part of the American political fabric as will be HCR.

Those who believe that this bill won't pass Constitutional scrutiny should not give up their day job for a career in law.

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Stillow:

I see you guys have jumped on the liberal wagon....passing a bad bill is better than no bill.

I just looked outside to see if I could see pigs flying. I honestly in all my years on this planet....I never thought I'd see the day hwere liberals support legislation that is nothing but a huge giveway to larg private corporations. Never in my wildest dreams did I beleive that day would come.

Libs now favor huge giveways to private companies.......pigs will be flying soon I am sure.

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Xenobion:

Well you really don't understand liberals then because we're not against private corporations. Only the most liberal fringe of the Dem party would care between gov/private. Pragmatic middle of the road liberals that overwhelm the party are in support of multiple avenues to universal care. The HCR was a compromise and if we were passing perfect bills in congress well we wouldn't be passing anything at all.

Anyways, its going to be heavily regulated. Its in the best interest for private companies to keep this plan going well or face problems later.

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Roman Perkis:

What this poll and many others like it show is that people are not really flocking back to Republicans like Stillow might think. And they are not really turning away from the Democrats.

It's not the (D) after their names that are going to hurt the Democrats.

It's the (Inc.) that will.

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Ptolemy:


So, someday Harry will be as celebrated as the "Senate majority leader under LBJ." Well I'm sure we all remember good old what's-his-name!

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Aaron_in_TX:

Stillow, you do realize that health care would not be addressed again for the remainder of Obama's term, and it's unlikely to be a part of any republican platform in the foreseeable future, don't you?

The republicans had 12 years in control of congress and they did nothing except make things worse like increase "portability" by making it more expensive if you lose your job and create a new medicare entitlement with no method of paying for it whatsoever. Part of the cost of this health care bill deals with paying for that.

Tort reform is not a magic bullet. 20 states already have some form of it, including Texas, yet they all have the same health care problems and it's still expensive. Selling insurance across state lines would only make a difference for people in a few regions, maybe the NJ/PA, ID/WA borders. It's also irrelevant because the big health insurance companies already sell in most states. My plan is within a few dollars more or less in WI, FL, PA, NM and other states. It's actually worse in TX, because most states don't allow deductibles as large as we do.

HSAs are great if you have money. It's going to take me years, probably the better part of a decade, to build up my HSA so it covers my deductible. If I got sick now, I'd still be screwed, and if something happened in successive years, I'd still get wiped out.

All the republican plans I have seen do not address the uninsured problem, or the bankruptcy problems associated with health care. Essentially they do nothing.

Health care is simply not the republicans' issue. They will not address it because they have little political incentive to do so. They'll cut taxes and cut programs designed for the poor. Or start wars.

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Stillow:

Fancy talk only gets you thru dinner and the movie.........

The bottom line is the bill is horrible. Its not a compromise, the GOP has totally been shut out of all the discussions...its being done in secret meetings in the middle of the night.

Its a bad bill, it comes with huge tax increases which people can't really afford right now.

Its a bad bill that the left and the right are not happy with. Despite what X thinks, it will have a good hcance of being repealed....and then discussion on "real" reform can take place...and not this partisan hack job we have going on now.

Plus things like the individual mandate will be found unconstitutional, there's not a doubt in my mind that will happen.

The Dems are banking there entire standing on what is by all accounts a pretty bad bill.

Tort reform, pooling together, tax incenstives, all absent..........reform my a**. This is a big giveway to big corporations....which in the end will drive up all our costs and lead to long waits....yay for us!

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Xenobion:

Republicans didn't want to participate, they'd rather play for political points. Bipart is dead and most bills will probably exclude them for not willing to participate.

As far as constitutionally goes. Its an imposed tax which is completely legal. The unconstitutional arguments coming up are baseless fishing and hoping that its not constitutional. lol.

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Field Marshal:

Saying the GOP did next to nothing is a demonstration in abject ignorance to policy for the decade. GOP did as much as they could during their 6 years in control. Medicare Advantage is hugely popular with seniors and so is Medicare part D.

In addition, they greatly increased access to HSAs and increased the limits on contributions. Also, he greatly increased the budgets for the National Science Foundation and the NIH.

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Field Marshal:

X,

If they are not allowed to add things to the bill, how can they participate?

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Xenobion:

Considering they were allowed to put in amendments that's fine but the overall premise of a government run plan was so ideologically opposite to them that they chose to not participate and run a campaign against it rather than put in some probably needed cost cutting prespective into the bill.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Medicare Advantage is hugely popular with seniors and so is Medicare part D."

Medicare parts C and D are indeed popular. So much so that the republicans in the senate finance committee wanted to cut medicaid in order to channel money into those programs. Way to cut the poor people to give more benefits to middle class elderly.

I said the republicans ESSENTIALLY did nothing, since none of their efforts addressed the uninsured nor those who go bankrupt due to health costs. Never.

Instead, they argue that these problems don't exist. The uninsured are composed of illegals and people who simply don't want insurance. The 700,000 bankruptcies that happen due to health costs aren't really due to health costs. And even if they are, it is the individuals' fault. They never should have let themselves be uninsured or they should have had the money to pay for their own damn health care. This "let the chips fall where they may" philosphy disgusts me.

I always ask people the following questions: 1) Have you or has anyone close to you ever had a chronic disease? 2) Do you know the stresses related to them? 3) Would you be able to maintain financial stability if you were not able to work as a result of one?

If you think about health care from the perspective of someone who is sick, you might think differently about reforming our system. If you lose your job, you lose your insurance. If you become sick, you will not be able to work at the same level and may easily lose your job, and therefore your insurance. Only the devil could have devised a system so evil.

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Thaddeus:

FM- Your right that Repubs did a bunch of things for healthcare. Tell me how one of them was paid for, or how many amendments the Drug benefits we're allowed from either side of the aisle? or how much "public debate" that had? Or how people we're told to lie to save their jobs about the cost 400 Billion/10yrs my ass.

When the Repubs announced their intention to kill a bill in August regardless of what was in it. I think that counts as taking yourself out of negotiations. You want to talk reform, fine, but not when your public position is to destroy. That's like the G8 trying to talk with the anarchists that show up for every meeting. Let's sit down and figure out how you could, I don't know, try and destroy this meeting a little less? Maybe somewhere else? Maybe talk with them a bit about debt forgiveness for African countries?

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Thaddeus:

Sorry, forgot to comment on the poll. Makes me hopeful that the Dem may hold the state. I had written it off to red, interesting to see someone with a D come out on top.

Also nice to see a state understands the power that comes with the Majority leader. 56% disapproval, but, no please don't step down as leader...

Oh and their "running for the hills!" another R has announced their retirement...take makes 14, must be scared the Big O Cash Machine starting to fill up coffers soon.

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MikeyA:

I have to agree with Stillow on this one.

The Dems have painted themselves into a corner on HC. No one is enthusiastic for the bill because they know it won't solve any HC problems. It only will serve to spend tax money.

By keep the Republicans out of the debate the Dems have left no one to blame but Dems and it's already creeping it's way into the races.

In September Dick Morris said if the Dems passed any of the pending HC bills they would lose 100 seats. Well Since then I've seen at least a safe 30 seat GOP pickup with another 20 toss-ups. If they actually pass the bill I expect the safe number to double easily.

All because there's enough flaws in the bill and there is no one else to blame.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"The Dems have painted themselves into a corner on HC."

True, it's a rock and hard place at this point, and has been since the summer. Starting over on HC is impossible. Their only choice is to go through with it, flaws and all. If they give in to pressure now, they will be seen as weak by their opponents and failures by their supporters. Their best hope is to pass it, shore up what support they can and hope once it's passed, the intensity dies down and other issues surface that they are better equipped to respond to.

Obama knew the debate would be contentious, although I don't think he thought the negativity was going to as bad as it was, nor have the trouble he did with his own party. But clearly he knew it would be a nasty debate, since he wanted it done long before now. Republicans would have been best served to have the worst of the debate take place during the summer of 2010, not fall/winter 2009/10.

One thing is certain: other political issues will surface between now and November. I don't think health care will be the center of the debate this coming fall. In early 2006, we had no idea the republicans would have the scandals they did. At this point in that year, few analysts were predicting a takeover of either chamber.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"In September Dick Morris said if the Dems passed any of the pending HC bills they would lose 100 seats."

Dick Morris also wrote a book about the impending presidential race between Condoleeza Rice and Hillary Clinton. I don't put much stock in his predictions.

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