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NV: 46% Angle, 43% Reid (Rasmussen 7/12)

Topics: nevada , poll , Senate

Rasmussen
7/12/10; 750 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Nevada

20101 Senate
46% Angle (R), 43% Reid (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Sharron Angle: 47 / 49
Harry Reid: 43 / 55 (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 48 / 52 (chart)
Gov. Gibbons: 33 / 64 (chart)

 

Comments
obamalover:

LOL!

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Farleftandproud:

This in Rasmussen terms means Reid is ahead, but lets face it, it is pathetic that Reid isn't ahead by 10. Obama is a little under 50 percent in Nevada which is better than most, but not approving of Obama is one thing, but voting for a far right freak like Sharron Angle is a different story.

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dpearl:

The gap is certainly closing in this race since the Rasmussen polls have gone from Sharon Angle +11 to +7 and now to +3 in their last three surveys.

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jmartin4s:

I think Reid is going to win, +11,+7, and +3. Angle is hemmoraging both Reps and Dems and she is imploding fast. Keep campaigning Angle. PPP might be polling this won next week.

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melvin:

Angle the nut is not going to win this race,no matter how Rasmussen pumps up her numbers,she is an embarrassment to the Republican party.My God she is an embarrassment to America period.

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Porchnik:

Being a Rasmussen poll, even the baggers know this means Reid's ahead, though they won't admit it.

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Sean Murphy:

"Being a Rasmussen poll, even the baggers know this means Reid's ahead, though they won't admit it"

You're nuts. If Reid isn't ahead among likely voters then he will obviously lose. Notice how Reid's unfavorables have also climbed up. If this was 2008 then Reid would probably win but it's not.

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jmartin4s:

I mean to say PPP will be poll it if this one wins. Typo.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/and-choices-are.html

Everyone vote for Nevada so it wins.

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seg:

Harry Reid rises from the dead. Considering his incredible war chest from bribes and payoffs (e.g., PHARMA and trial lawyers), he should be considered well ahead.

Then again, we shall see. Perhaps in the end Nevada will gag more over Reid than Angle.

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jmartin4s:

In a radio interview from late June Sharron Angle said that if a 13-year-old girl were raped and impregnated by her father, she would counsel her to look for ways to make "a lemon situation into lemonade" by carrying the pregnancy to term.

Thousands and thousands of woman in Nevada who were planning on voting for Angle just changed their minds. Hahahahahahahaha

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djneedle83:

The Nevada GOP just elected the GOP ghostface killer. She's pretty far right. A moderate GOP candidate wins this election by double digits in most cases.

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Farleftandproud:

"melvin:
Angle the nut is not going to win this race,no matter how Rasmussen pumps up her numbers,she is an embarrassment to the Republican party.My God she is an embarrassment to America period."

Right on Melvin. If Angle had been a judge lets say, and had views this radical, there is no way she would have even made it an hour before Bush would have been forced to withdraw her nomination, she is so radical. My Gosh, Judge Bourke, the contreversial Reagan pick looks quite moderate compared to this crazy woman.

If she is too much of a lunatic to appoint, she must not and I am sure won't be elected. It is hard to believe that Harry Reid could be disliked so much, that this poll still has the two in a dead heat.

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nick283:

now, now, we've talked about this before... Reagan nominated judge Bork. This election will likely turn out to be a referendum on reid. If Reid remains unpopular he is toast. By the way, it is funny how quickly the D's slogan has turned from "hope and change" to "we suck, but they suck even more."

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Poll Troll:

FLAP you are as dumb as I thought. Robert Bork. Wishing something, won't make it so. We march forward and over the bodies of our enemies.

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StatyPolly:

Here is the conservative silver lining on this:

GOP wasn't gonna take the Senate this year with or without Harry's seat. GOP will very likely take the Senate in 2012 with or without Harry's seat. So a Dem is gonna be the Majority leader til 2013 either way. If Harry loses this, Schumer or Durbin will be it. As potzy as Harry is, I much prefer to have to deal with him than those two *&*%%&'s.

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Field Marshal:

How about Reid today claiming that there are no illegal immigrants in the Nevada workforce?

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Aaron_in_TX:

This is a seat I wouldn't mind losing. I'd much rather lose this one than CO, IL, DE. Keeping it is kind of a pyrrhic victory because Harry Reid remains senate majority leader. He seems to be decent at organizing and vote counting but doesn't really have the leadership qualities you want out of a majority leader.

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gabe:

I will admit these numbers are bad for Angle but looking at this objectively (unlike the libs hear who are screaming that Angle is done for) we find that Reid's situation is much the same as before. First-off, Reid is polling only at 43%, this despite the fact he has now spent a whopping $5 million and change on this race. Second, his approval numbers are still atrocious at 43/55. Third and most importantly, he still trails despite the fact that Angle has yet to put up a single ad. Combine these factors and we find that Reid is still unpopular and the race is a referendum on him. Angle is not in Congress passing laws, Reid is, and he cannot hide from that once Angle starts putting up ads.

Last part is my opinion btw.

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Gopherguy:

Reid's numbers probably won't be going up. The only way for Reid to win is by superior organization and further erosion of Angle's numbers. Angle is still probably ahead, but it's not inconceivable that Reid wins. Probably 55-45 or 60-40 for Reid, which is a bet he'd be willing to take at this point.

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jmartin4s:

Angle's ads will save her???? Her ads during the primary were atrocious, just look at her youtube channel. Those ads look like something from the 80s and are terrible. Angle better hope she is at least tied with Reid if PPP does poll it next week. Otherwise, I really don't think she has a chance. That making lemons out of lemonade comment lost her tons of votes.

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real_american:

Angle hasn't slid much even with the massive smear campaign Reid and the DNC has been running. Reid also has never gone above 43% in any poll in the past year.

Reid and Angle aren't the only 2 running for the senate and the other 3 will probably pick up as much as 6% of the vote (they took 4% of the vote in 2004).

So actually, either Angle or Reid will probably win this if they get about 48% of the vote.

Unconfirmed rumors say that Reid supporters are secretly funding Jon Ashjian (Tea Party candidate) to try to draw away Angle voters. That is probably the only hope Reid has.

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Field Marshal:

That making lemons out of lemonade comment lost her tons of votes.

You really think she lost votes because she misspoke? How many votes did Obama lose when he said he had visited 57 states and had a few to go? Give me a break.

The commercials will be much better now that RNC money and human capital will pour in.

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jmartin4s:

I'm sorry you feel that way FM but I think many woman would take personal offense at her using that response as an excuse not to have an abortion after being raped by the father. Seriously everything that comes out of Sharron Angle's mouth is offensive.

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Field Marshal:

I thought you were talking more of the lemons out of lemonade instead of lemonade out of lemons semantics. As far as the context, the abortion issue, I don't think she is "crazy" for her views but i personally think that is the ONLY reason abortion should be allowed. Given the high proportion of Hispanics in NV who are almost exclusively pro-life, they probably agree with her more than disagree.

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jmartin4s:

After being raped by the father in the case of incest.
http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/194500.php
Even most republican says abortions should be allowed in the case of incest.

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StatyPolly:

>>>Angle said, "[M]y personal feeling is that we need to err on the side of life," adding, "There is a plan and a purpose, a value to every life no matter what its location, age, gender, or disability." Stock then asked, "What do you say, then, ... when a young girl is raped by her father, let's say, and she is pregnant. How do you explain this to her in terms of wanting her to go through the process of having the baby?"

Angle replied, "I think that two wrongs don't make a right." She said she has counseled minors with "very at-risk, difficult pregnancies" and suggested that they "look for some alternatives." Angle added, "And they found that they had made what was really a lemon situation into lemonade."

WHAT A NUT JOB!

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Field Marshal:

Aaron,

Texas was named number one business friendly state today.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/37642856

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Field Marshal:

Thanks Statypolly for posting that. CLEARLY she is a wacko for those extreme views! LOL!

Unbelievable that protecting an unborn child's life makes he "extreme". Amazing and very indicative of the warped ethical and moral mindset of the left.

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Farleftandproud:

It is like the GOP is finally being explicit this year about racial views and criminalizing abortion and other issues like that. They have taken the sugar coating off, and they are showing their true idenity.

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jmartin4s:

@FM
"Unbelievable that protecting an unborn child's life makes he "extreme". Amazing and very indicative of the warped ethical and moral mindset of the left."

This would be a child that came about from a girl being raped by a her father.

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crs12:

It's not so much that she's a wacko for me, it's that, like Sarah Palin in 2008, she doesn't understand the job she's running for.

Sharron Angle should have been disqualified when she said it wasn't her job as US Senator to create jobs. It is, in fact the job of every US Senator to create jobs for their state and the entire nation.

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Sean Murphy:

Angle should just shut up about social issues and hammer away on Reid and how the unemployment rate in the state has risen from 4% to 14% with him as Majority leader. If I were advising her i'd tell her to focus like a laser beam on jobs,jobs,jobs,debt,jobs,jobs,jobs,debt,

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Field Marshal:

Sharron Angle should have been disqualified when she said it wasn't her job as US Senator to create jobs. It is, in fact the job of every US Senator to create jobs for their state and the entire nation.

Actually, she's absolutely right. Her job as US Senator is not to create jobs but to create a favorable work environment for the private sector to create job. Big difference. The government doesn't create jobs or wealth. Her recognition of that probably makes her more qualified to be Senator than 90% of the other senators.

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Farleftandproud:

No, I hope Angle will continue hammering away on social issues, and she can call Obama a weakling on foreign policy, while she wants to take away social security.

She should invite Pat Robertson and James DObson to campaign for her, and call Obama the anti-christ, and talk about the flouride in the drinking water being a conspiracy to brainwash the country with liberalism.

Last but not least she can invite Sarah Palin and bring little Trig up on stage and say that Obama would have a secret poison pill for disabled children and elderly.

The more extreme the GOP is, the more ammo it will give progressives to fight back.

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Farleftandproud:

Damn my spelling is bad. It is Judge Bork, thats right.

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Sean Murphy:

"while she wants to take away social security"

You're truly a dunce if you believe everything you hear. What she actually said is she wanted to phase out the practice of government dipping into Social Security and instead put it into a lockbox. Also your progressives are very small in number and much smaller than conservatives.

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SC Guy:

There's another dynamic in this race. Sure Reid seems to be gaining a bit of steam but what about the fact that Sandoval is expected to crush his Democratic opponent? A Sandoval landslide could help pull Angle through in a close contest. This is an anti-incumbent election and Harry Reid epitomises everything that's wrong with Washington. I Angle still needs to find her footing but Reid is still extremely vulnerable.

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tjampel:

@Sean Murphy:

"while she wants to take away social security"

"You're truly a dunce if you believe everything you hear. What she actually said is she wanted to phase out the practice of government dipping into Social Security and instead put it into a lockbox. Also your progressives are very small in number and much smaller than conservatives."

Actually she didn't say this at all, until later. Initially (I listened to her entire clip on this; it's from January or Feb) she said twice, in the same clip, that she wanted to privatize SS, and she went much further than that; she talked about how she did not want the Gov involved with the individual savings accounts that would replace SS. She said No Gov Control of these. So this is a pure privatization plan with no role for the Gov.

Now you may like that plan and applaud her proposing it, or think it's politically unwise to say it; she said it and it wasn't a question of nuance, ambiguity, etc. Now....she's changed her tune.

So...NO, this was not about a lockbox at all.

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Xenobion:

Sorry Sharon Angle is as much a target as taking out Harry Reid. Democrats are putting big dollars on collapsing the fad trend of Tea Partiers. Watch out for redistricting Michelle Bachman.

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Xenobion:

Oh and those Obama approval/disapproval numbers really seem up for this state. I guess Yucca Mountain is heating up.

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Gopherguy:

The vast majority of Americans believe abortion should be legal for rape or incest. I would then assume that rape and incest would have the same outcome.

As for outside mainstream, Angle might be. While many people do believe that abortion is never ok, the vast majority would disagree. It all depends on what you consider mainstream. I would argue that anyone who believes a daughter should not be allowed to have an abortion due to incestual rape is absolutely outside the American mainstream.

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DB:

Reid may be unpopular, but at least he isn't nuts like Angle.

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GoTo123:

This race is getting much closer. I'm still not going to make a prediction just yet, but the Democrats are gaining momentum here. If these trends continue Reid will win re-election come November.

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Farleftandproud:

Reid will win by 6. The only reason I think this will be close, is that the guy running for governor on the GOP side is a stronger candidate.

Dad wins by 6, son loses by 10.

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Farleftandproud:

I don't know why they nominated Rory Reid, because he polled badly against Sandoval over a the past year. Usually when you have a weak candidate polling that badly you try to find someone else.

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nick283:

Look, Nevada is a libertarian kind of state in a lot of ways. People there are not friendly to the whole nanny-state idea that obama and co are offering. Reid may still win, but don't assume Nevada to be as friendly as it was for Democrats in 2010 or 2012 as it was in 2008.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Texas was named number one business friendly state today."

Yay! Good for us. We Texans love to be the best and biggest. Rounding out the top 5 were Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, and Massachusetts (wtf?), so political leanings of the states are not the major factor. Looks like Virginia and Texas have been neck and neck since CNBC started doing those rankings.

From how they score the categories, Texas seems to have somewhat of a natural competitive advantage. The overall economy rating has to do with the number of companies headquartered there - helped by oil (NY was 2nd in that category). Transportation has to do with volume & ease of freight traffic - we have Port of Houston as well as several big land ports on the border, helped by NAFTA. Technology & innovation - has to do with patents and "new ideas" - the liberal states CA, MA, and NY lead that category. TX comes in at #4 probably mostly due to the high-tech industries mostly based in liberal Austin.

We ranked well below average in education and quality of life, and surprisingly, cost of doing business.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Ah, cost of doing business has to do with taxes. I guess TX's franchise tax, sales tax, and quite high property taxes factor in here. Our high property taxes are something the republicans never like to talk about. Also the relatively high sales tax.

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Stillow:

What is all the fuss in this thread? This is just antoher poll where Reid cannot get to 44 percent. The angle 3 is meaningless, its about Reid's ceiling of 44 percent.

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Field Marshal:

Reid may be unpopular, but at least he isn't nuts like Angle.

How again is Angle nuts? I'm really starting to believe the notion that there really is just one liberal thinker and that all the ObamaBots really do just repeat what that one person says. The evidence is mounting precipitously.

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