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NV: 50% Reid, 47% Angle (Rasmussen 9/1)

Topics: Nevada , poll

Rasmussen
9/1/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Nevada

2010 Senate
50% Reid (D), 47% Angle (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Harry Reid: 45 / 51 (chart)
Sharron Angle: 42 / 51

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 48 / 50 (chart)
Gov. Gibbons: 38 / 59 (chart)

 

Comments
Paleo:

Good news for Harry, given the pollster. He now has a better fav-unvfav rating than Angle.

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Dave:

Tied at 45 without leaners, not bad for Angle. Plenty of time left to remind voters how much they dislike Harry Reid.

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Field Marshal:

I agree. But i think the GOP has a better shot at WI and WA at this point. Johnson and Rossi outraised Feingold and Murray in the last two months which are good signs.

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Paleo:

And Obama's went from 45/55 to 48/50. This in a state as hard hit as any by the recession. The union turnout operation in Clark County is a strong one. This could very well add a couple of points to Reid's number, and boost Dina Titus as well, just as it did in '08.

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schakj:

Republicans in position to (easily) take the House:

http://schakj.blogspot.com/

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Paleo:

"i think the GOP has a better shot at WI and WA at this point"

Wow, that's a change. Feingold's almost always at a financial disadvantage because of his self-imposed restrictions. This race is like the '98 race against Neuman, which Feingold pulled out by two points at the end. He'll do the same this year.

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Field Marshal:

I hope i'm wrong and Ras has been showing the Dems slightly stronger recently which should be factored into the results. Just going to come down to turnout and money. Reid has a ton of the latter.

Given the political environment this fall, i don't think Feingold pulls it out this time around. The anti-incumbency is too strong. Additionally, WI is trending Rep according to party ID registrations.

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Field Marshal:

HOP,

They have included the leaners which is in the release.

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Average Joe:

Yeah what gives? The link to Ras has it tied 45/45.

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Cederico:

Very encouraging poll for Reid. He has improved his favorables which is essential for him to win. Reid needs to keep up the sustained "Angle is Extreme" attacks he is now using...keep focused. Obama has had a nice rebound here too.

On Wisconsin and Washington, I agree both Murray and Feingold are in serious jeopardy in this change election year. The key to their victory is a similiar rebound by Obama in approval which could lead to more DEM voter enthusiasm. I really feel that if DEM voters come out in force in WI and WA then both Feingold and Murray win by a few points.

One thing for sure the DSCC will spend heavily in both states,

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Farleftandproud:

I think Feingold is more in danger of losing than Murray. Washington has a greater progressive base than Wisconsin.

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MikeyA:

Still don't think Reid has this. It is looking like something we'll stay up for.

The "None of the above" option and the high negatives for both will depress the vote on this.

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Cederico:

True FarLeft. Murray just has to rally the Seattle Metro vote to get out and vote in force.

And you are right MikeyA...Reid doesn't have this yet. But he has the right strategy and the money to execute it. Angle has given him all he needs to win...he needs to continue to pound her negatives and on the other hand runs some ads about what he has done for Nevada as Majority Leader.

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Xenobion:

Rossi has only out fundraised Murray as every Republican donor has held back on giving him money till he had the nomination in the bag. He's still lightyears behind Murray's warchest.

Pollsters will seriously downplay democratic enthusiasm this year which is a problem considering many ballot initiatives will bring out the Democratic base of the state. I'm still contending a 7-10 point spread win for Murray.

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@Xenobion: I live in Eastern WA, in the strongest GOP areas of the state. Rossi is no longer liked here, with a lot of disgruntled Didier supporters vowing to sit out the election, and calling him "Dino the RINO!"

In fact, both Murray & Rossi chose to have kickoff rallies for the general election campaign in Kennewick, the heart of the 250,000 metro area Tri-Cities in southeastern WA. Murray drew almost 300 cheering Democrats to a fundraising event on the Thursday after the primary, while Rossi hosted a luncheon -- he was paying! -- for Republican supporters there the next day. He got an audience of 12. That's right, just 12 people showed up for a free lunch with Dino the Rino in the part of the state that he has to win by 3-1 to even be competitive.

And while two pollsters seem to show the race as close, Washington's actual voters didn't. In the Aug. 17 election, where they went head to head, Murray slaughtered Rossi by more than 13 points. And there was almost no enthusiasm gap, since the statewide turnout was 40% and King County (with no real contests) had a 37% turnout.

Just where would anyone expect Rossi to make up that 13 point deficit, when about 60% of the November electorate has now already said what they think of him?

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IdahoMulato:

Sharron Angle's chickens have come home to roost.

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Chris V.:

I could honestly care less if Harry Reid loses. Angle would be an embarrassment to the Senate, but so is Reid. I will be very sad if Feingold loses though. If Wisconsin voters throw him out because they want change the culture in Washington, they will be cutting off their noses to spite their faces. Feingold is one of the few politicians in Washington that has the courage to stand up to the deplorable way that politics are conducted in Washington.

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mdey:

I agree that Harry Reid doesn't have this one in the bag yet, but he's getting close. People in Nevada are realizing just how crazy Angle is. The Republicans shot themselves in the foot by nominating her. If they had chosen Sue Lowden they'd probably be up by 10 points right now.

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lat:

I know Stillow is recovering from surgery (and I hope he is well), but he told me over and over again about Harry Reid's 45 percent "ceiling". Well, Harry is going to have many head and body aches if he keeps breaking through his ceiling like this.

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Farleftandproud:

I would agree with Field Marshall on Rory Reid. He is not cut out for politics. I mean I saw polls from 15 months ago that had Rory trailing Sandoval by 18 points. If someone polls that badly, it is pathetic the Dems didn't find someone to challenge him. I saw the debate with him and Sandoval, and I can see that Sandoval is a strong candidate. I can't say I agree with him, but at least he seems competent. The NV Dems were stupid not to run Goodman, mayor of Las Vegas in the primary.

I still think Harry Reid will beat Angle, and voters can at least distinguish a reasonable Republican to a madwoman like Angle. It was bad planning in the Dems part for Rory Reid.

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