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NV: 2010 Senate (Mason Dixon 8/17-18)


Mason Dixon/Las Vegas Review Journal
8/17-18/09; 400 likely voters, 5% margin of error; 300 likely Republican primary voters
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

(story, results)

Nevada
Favorable / Unfavorable
Pres. Obama: 44% / 43%
Sen. Ensign (R): 30% / 37%
Sen. Reid (D): 37% / 50%

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
(Without Heller) Danny Tarkanian 33%, Sue Lowden 14%, Sharron Angle 5%, Chuck Kozak 1%, Undecided 47%
(With Heller) Danny Tarkanian 29%, Dean Heller 23%, Sue Lowden 12%, Sharon Angle 3%, Undecided 33%

2010 Senate: General Election
Heller 50%, Reid 40%, undecided 10%
Tarkanian 49%, Reid 38%, undecided 13%
Lowden 45%, Reid 40%, undecided 15%

Do you support or oppose President Obama's proposal to reform health care?
Support 40%, oppose 50%, not sure 10%

 

Comments
Stephen_W:

Count me as one Democrat who wouldn't mind seeing Harry Reid bounced from office, if only so Republicans can stop using the retarded phrase "Obama, Reid, Pelosi Cabal." Heck, get rid of Pelosi too, and Fox News will have to come up with a new catch phrase. I do wonder how big turnout will be in Vegas and Reno, since heavy turnout there in 2008 turned a 5pt Obama lead into a 13pt victory.

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Stillow:

Don't worry, we will be booting Reid out of office here. The polls don't even do it justice to the anger we have for him i nthis state.....We will be booting Ensign too in 2012. We're sending Gibbons home also.

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Xenobion:

Ried would be wise to just let a new Democrat to run but obviously that won't happen.

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Mick Walters:

"Fox News will have to come up with a new catch phrase"

Yes, and it will take them about 30 seconds to do so. You do not make decisions about your party leadership based upon the demagoguery of the opposition, especially when the demagogues in question are unelected talking heads. Not only does it legitimize the name-calling, it makes you look weak.

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Stillow:

Obama's approval numbers here in NV are also well below his election numbers. Obama is not doing so well in the purple states the past month or so.

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IntheRite:

Good, I'd hate to see Reid go..... NOT! What the Democratic caucus was thinking when they made Reid Majority Leader is beyond me at least we'll have a Majority Leader worthy of the position come January 2011... Dick Durbin

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John:

'A total of 400 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections. '

So the poll is of 400 (a somewhat small number for a poll) likely voters in state elections. Given that new voters in 2008 went to Obama by a 3 to 1 margin it not to suprising his favourability numbers are down. (Assuming that most new voters in 2008 would not say they voted regularly in state elections)

Still at least according to this poll, Obama's numbers seem to be slightly down from 2008 but perhaps not quite as much as it would seem at first glance.

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Bigmike:

If Reid and Pelosi have become bad words, I just don't feel sorry for the Dems. Their members elected them to be their leaders.

Why do the Dems in the Senate keep electing leaders from Red or swing states? It just puts targets on their backs. When Reid gets beat, that makes two in a row.

Pres BO can't get his agenda thru congress with a big majority in the house and 60 Dems in the Senate. Where will that leave him after the mid term elections?

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ThatMarvelousApe:

Pelosi has really stepped it up in the past couple of months. The Dems still bashing Nancy are just doing it out of habit. Anyone paying attention knows she's been instrumental in bringing HCR as close as it's already gotten.

Reid, however, just don't have any sway with his colleagues, and as someone else mentioned, DC Democrats have been previously operating under the foolish assumption that it's smart to pull your majority leader from a swing state. A majority leader, however, has to be able to afford to be polarizing from time to time.

This, I think, is why Schumer appears to have become the de facto majority leader in the HCR debate while Reid has basically dropped off the face of the Earth. Even if Reid survives, I wholly expect Schumer to replace him formally in 2011.

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Stephen_W:

This whole thing is just depressing. We've basically got an opposition party that through its own sheer incompetence and criminal behavior nearly brought the country into a second Great Depression in just eight years, and instead of letting us just clean up their mess, they've built an opposition platform that's based on lies and hyperbole, and somehow this works as a successful political solution. No wonder people in other countries look at us and scratch their heads. I can't argue with the polls though, they show that the poison being fed to the ignorant segments of our country is actually working.

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Stillow:

@Stephen_W:

Well with stuff like that you just spewed its no wonder your party is having trouble. Dems seem to only be successful when they have an enemy they can gang tackle like Bush. Once he was gone, you moved to Limbaugh, tea party people, banks, Limbaugh again, insurance companies, town hall protestors, etc.

The Dems misunderstood the election of 2008. It was not a sweeping movement to push thru liberal left wing policies, it was for change....and all we got was a flash back to Jimmy Carter era policies.

Its kinda interesting though that you control the media, have huge majoirities in both Congressional chambers and contro lthe WH, yet its still the republicans fault. You cannot blame the GOP for the Dems lacking leadership ability. You have all the power, its time to stop whining and actually try governing!

You spew out this nonsense of lies and poison coming fro mthe right....that is the same apporach you took about the town hall protestors and it backfired on you. When are you going to stop calling the opposition names and admit to yourself tens of millions of americans have real concerns....and its not all lies. It seems perfectly understandable to me that a country based and founded on freedom might just have a little concern about handing one's health care concerns over to the g'ment....a g'ment which has shown countless times its simply not able to manage anything effectively (few execeptions).

You Dems need to stop pointing fingers and whining at the fact not everyone is lining up to have their lives totally controlled by g'ment. Wow, maybe people actually think the g'ment spends to much money and not that it doesn't tax enough.

I'm not sure what more your side wants than it already has, you control everything and yet you still act like spoiled childrend pointing fingers and crying foul.

You Dems spewed so much hate for the past 8 years, you guys bashed Bush so hard for 8 years you forgot how to do anythign else. Your party forgot how to govern and instead got used to just bashing people. It doesn't quite work that way once you actually get elected....the people want you to govern, not bitch and moan.

And perhaps the Dems need to bring their views back fro mthe left wing fringe and realize the country isn't as liberal as they thought it was.

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Bigmike:

Stephen_W

Welcome to the politics of the new century. BOTH sides will try to repeat lies until they are believed.

Sure, in a lot of ways our side is lying their tails off about health care. With just enough truth to keep it interesting. But we owed you guys. Dubya had to live with years of lies and hyperbole. The Dems kept repeating so often, from 9/11 to last fall, that it was the "worst economy in 50 years" when it really wasn't, at least until late last year. They did it so often I think that they helped cause the recession.

Guess I am just in a foul mood. I sometimes have those moments where I think you can tell a politician is lying if their lips are moving. And I mean politicians from both parties.

You notice BO didn't tell us last fall that 95% of us would not pay more in taxes because instead of raising taxes he was just going to borrow $9 trillion? Is leaving out little facts like that the same as lying?

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