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NY: 2010 Sen (Marist 1/13-14)


Marist
1/13-14/10; 885 registered voters, 4.5% margin of error
370 Democrats, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)

New York

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary (trends)
43% Gillibrand, 24% Ford

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
45% Gillibrand, 42% Pataki (chart)
42% Pataki, 36% Ford

Job Rating
Sen. Gillibrand: 24% Excellent/Good, 51% Fair/Poor (chart)
Sen. Schumer: 51% Excellent/Good, 42% Fair/Poor (chart)
Pres. Obama: 56% Excellent/Good, 43% Fair/Poor (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

That is close. She is a strong candidate. Although, I would have much more respect for Pataki as a credible candidate than Scott Brown in Mass. who is an amateur. Pataki was relatively moderate, and actually did have some practical health care reform ideas for NY. Not a lot, but some.

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Stillow:

Farleftandproud

You keep calling Brown a bad candididate....and he may very well end up winning in your deep blue Mass....so perhaps your view of who is a good and bad candidiate needs some work.

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Lala Hernandez:

I have been lurking, reading these comments for a while and I have to say that though I'm on the same political side as FarLeftandProud, I find him/her absolutely ridiculous. You are so out of tune with reality and you seem to have no idea how you come off sounding. I am ashamed to be of the same party as you.

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Lala Hernandez:

I have been lurking, reading these comments for a while and I have to say that though I'm on the same political side as FarLeftandProud, I find him/her absolutely ridiculous. You are so out of tune with reality and you seem to have no idea how you come off sounding. I am ashamed to be of the same party as you.

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Farleftandproud:

The only way Brown will win is if the many people who have said tehy support or lean towards Coakley don't turn out. In Mass, if Brown won, I bet his approval and popularity would last for a short time. In a regular election in Mass. he would lose really badly.

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poughies:

All this poll shows is that Gillibrand can be challenged and is no sure thing. The internals here wacky as heck... probably because most New Yorkers still have NO clue who Ford is (he's doing worse among blacks than whites... good luck with that holding). We'll have to just wait it out to see if Dem New Yorkers warm up to Ford... Otherwise, he'll prob just pull a Lieberman.

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poughies:

All this poll shows is that Gillibrand can be challenged and is no sure thing. The internals here wacky as heck... probably because most New Yorkers still have NO clue who Ford is (he's doing worse among blacks than whites... good luck with that holding). We'll have to just wait it out to see if Dem New Yorkers warm up to Ford... Otherwise, he'll prob just pull a Lieberman.

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obamalover:

Pataki seems stuck at 42. High floor low ceiling.

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Field Marshal:

Lala, he's from Vermont. That should explain all you need to know. LOL.

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Louis:

Thing is that Brown won't win. It won't even be close. Ford's carpet bagging in NY might be taken more seriously if had a decent record in Tennessee but he didn't. Assuming Gillibrand doesn't do or say anthing stupid in the primary. She should win the general by 3-5 points over Patki.
won't belabour Mass. but it looks like the weather will be ok. If so I stand by my 10-14% prediction. Kennedy will get 2% or less.

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platanoman:

Pataki is not running.

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tjampel:

Gillibrand is doing fine. She's still not so well known statewide and hasn't yet overcome the lingering resentment, in the NYC area, over Paterson's failure to appoint Kennedy to the seat (I think Gillebrand will ultimately prove to be a better Senator than Kennedy would have), and the fact that she's from a rural upstate district. As City folks warm to her her numbers will go up a bit more.

In the General her ability to bring in some support upstate (e.g. 100% NRA rating) will help her statewide and she'll bring in recalcitrant Dems in NYC ultimately.

Pataki's getting old and has been out of politics for a while. He's the best the Repubs have got in the state with Guiliani gone. Would be interesting to see if he gets primaried by a teabagger...Doug Hoffman, perhaps?

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Farleftandproud:

Pataki isn't running. Sorry about the person who didn't like my comments but honestly I just speak what I feel. I am sick of our country spending Billions on foreign relief efforts but leaving 50 million people high and dry without health care and others paying sky high prices. Health care is a do or die issue for me and what has defined me as a progressive. If I sometimes say some strong words about Fox news or the conservadems like Joe Liebermann and Nelson and Stupak who confused the hell out of people with all their hangups, I wouldn't be so worried about not pasing health care. The Mass election has been a disappointment. Coakley has been a bad candidate. After campaigning for her for the past weekend, I even told her staff, it is the worst type of PR campaign I have ever seen from a candidate I worked for. Unfortunately this country has too many states and too many special interests and wastes far more money on elections than any other nation. It is a sad state of affairs.

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Farleftandproud:

To explain myself to MS hernandez who is not pleased to be from the same party as me, well maybe I can finally be the Rush Limbaugh from the left. The GOP has their angry racists like Hannity, Glenn Beck and the master himself Rush Limbaugh. I think that the liberal media plays like pussies. They have not won elections by using facts and statistics and rationality to win elections. From the leftward standpoint, using facts is a good thing, but my goal is to one day be the angry left counterpart to Rush Limbaugh. I wouldn't want to make the big bucks he makes. I wouldn't do it for the money; I would do it to get people to become active and involved. The so called liberal media is not doing their jobs.

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Farleftandproud:

Our country is like the Billy Joel song..."i don't know why I go to extremes". The voters are schitzophrenic and have no loyalty. 14 months ago a Democrat wins in Alaska and now a Republican could possibly win in Mass. It is unfortunate it took 6 years for people to vote the neo-cons who lied and decieved about IRaq, and constitutional bans on gay marriage and nearly overturned Roe VS Wade; people in 2006 said they are tired of the Republicans and Obama comes in and inherits the worse financial mess in years and the voters started complaining, raising tea parties and fighting against reform. They have given him a rotten deal and I think they will regret it when our economy will be turned around in the next year and all the naysayers who have egg on their face.

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