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NY: 2010 Sen (Marist 1/25-27)

Topics: poll

Marist
1/25-27/10; 838 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
360 Democrats, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
Update: Schumer release

New York

2010 Senate (B): Democratic Primary (trends)
44% Gillibrand, 27% Ford, 4% Tasini

2010 Senate (B): General Election (trends)
49% Pataki, 43% Gillibrand (chart)
52% Gillibrand, 30% Blakeman
52% Pataki, 35% Ford
39% Ford, 35% Blakeman

2010 Senate (A): General Election
67% Schumer, 25% Kudlow

Job Rating
Sen. Gillibrand: 24% Excellent/Good, 51% Fair/Poor (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

If Pataki could win US Senate in a general election, it would have to mean the Democrats fail on everything between now and NOV. With Schumer on the ballot, this could be the reason Pataki may not run. People split their tickets in NY for mayor or governor, but usually not for US Senate. I can't believe they will be that stupid, but than again there is Canada.

Over the past 10 years, I have been on losing campaigns for governor in NY VT and Mass, but until Scott Brown's win, at the federal level, every campaign I helped out with since 2004 went Democratic. It was the end of an era.

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DFW freethinker:

If Pataki runs, he will be the next junior senator from New York. I think without a MAJOR turnaround in the economy, Democrats will lose the House and very possibly the Senate (less likely though). I would never have thought I would see a Republican win a Senate seat in Massachusetts. This year might as well be called the Revenge of the Republicans.

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Xenobion:

I'd love to see Kudlow run for senate. Maybe he'll bomb as much as his CNBC program. Suprised that Marist picked him as a random and now Rasmussen that seems to pick any random NYer to run against Schumer.

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Farleftandproud:

Gillibrand will win with or without Pataki. He has baggage that people up my way are not crazy about. If the election were held today, Pataki would win fair and square, but living near Gillibrand's former district which is quite republican, she is still fairly well liked. Once downstate voters know her better, it will be hard for them to split their ticket between Pataki and Schumer. The other key to this race is when Cuomo decides to hopefully jump into the governor's race. Pataki isn't a bad guy personally and can be quite bi-partisan, but NY city is still heavily Democratic. Pataki was way more popular in upstate than Guilliani was. I hope he doesn't run, just so I can devote more time to the NH Senate or VT gubernatorial race.

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Farleftandproud:

Lets not forget that Gillibrand is relatively conservative on 2nd Ammendment issues, whereas Schumer is probably the biggest gun control activist in the Senate.

I personally lean away from gun control myself, living in a small town and knowing that there are a lot of gun owners near me. Since I tend to be a civil libertarian, I think the 2nd ammendment is law of the land. I'll also break with progressives though on having military tribunals for terror suspects who are not permanent residents or citizens.

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