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NY: 2010 Sen (Siena 12/6-9)


Siena
12/6-9/09; 665 registered voters, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Siena release)

New York

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary (trends)
32% Gillibrand, 23% Thompson, 3% Tasini, 7% Ford

2010 Senate: Repubican Primary (trends)
57% Giuliani, 26% Pataki
7% Balboni, 6% Feld, 4% Blakeman

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
49% Giuliani, 42% Gillibrand (chart)
46% Gillibrand, 43% Pataki (chart)
52% Gillibrand, 22% Blakeman
56% Giuliani, 34% Thompson
49% Pataki, 36% Thompson
40% Thompson, 23% Blakeman

Favorable / Unfavorable
Rudy Giuliani: 58 / 36
Kirsten Gillibrand: 31 / 22 (chart)
George Pataki: 53 / 35
Chuck Schumer: 60 / 28 (chart)
Bill Thompson: 25 / 17
Harold Ford: 19 / 7
Michael Balboni: 6 / 8
Liz Feld: 9 / 6
Bruce Blakeman: 4 / 6

I know it's a ways off, but if Kirsten Gillibrand runs for United States Senator in 2010, would you vote to elect her or would you prefer someone else? 30% Elect Gillibrand, 34% Prefer someone else

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Consistent with the Quinnipiac poll.

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Farleftandproud:

This campaign will be a fun one if Guilliani runs. I still believe that he would be at a disadvantage once partisan politics come into place. Guilliani may be popular in NY at the moment, but he made a crappy speech at the GOP convention and he was at one point one of the front runners for president in 2008. Schumer will be on the ballot as well in 2010, and I don't think Schumer will easily allow NY voters to split their ticket. If Guilliani was running for governor, it would be more likely he would win. I pray Guilliani doesn't run, but if he does I don't have a lot of faith in his campaign skills.

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CUWriter:

Pretty interesting that Gillibrand has voted in almost identical ways to Schumer and yet has a lower favorable ratio and a slight plurality want to see someone new in office. Honestly, I have no idea what to make of that except that perhaps upstate NYers are looked down upon and that while Gillibrand has voted in ways that shed her image as a moderate liberal, she hasn't said much.

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Xenobion:

With this close of a race without Guilliani not yet running I am curious if he'd run. A loss is stakes for the possible end of his political career. You can only lose so many things before you don't really run at all.

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