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NY: 48% Gillibrand, 34% Blakeman (Rasmussen 7/29)

Topics: new york , poll , senate

Rasmussen
7/29/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

New York

2010 Senate
50% Gillibrand (D), 33% DioGuardi (R)
48% Gillibrand (D), 34% Blakeman (R) (chart)
51% Gillibrand (D), 31% Malpass (R)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kirsten Gillibrand: 51 / 36 (chart)
Bruce Blakeman: 32 / 24
David Malpass: 30 / 25
Joe DioGuardi: 36 / 21

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 57 / 42 (chart)
Gov. Paterson: 43 / 55 (chart)

 

Comments
StatyPolly:

so there is still a chance

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melvin:

StatyPolly:You are kidding yourself,please don't make me laugh

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Aaron_in_TX:

Looks like Paterson's numbers have improved quite a bit.

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Farleftandproud:

Odds about as good for a Republican to beat Gillibrand as there is of beating Chuck Grassley in Iowa.

Upstate NY, is like a state within itself, because the GOP tends to nominate downstate moderates with money. George Pataki's and Rudy Guilliani are the only Republicans who can usually win statewide elections.

Upstate NY elects pretty conservative reps, and sometimes the Conservative party wins local elections in small towns.

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Paul Elstein:

In June, Rassmussen had him down by 12 points. All of the other polls have 20 point or higher difference. And I have not seen any polls on whether he is leading for the Republican nomination, anyway.

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Hawk:

I guess there's always a chance given that we're still three months away from the elections. It's about as likely as the Dems taking Iowa or perhaps Louisiana though. Gillibrand would have to run a disastrous campaign combined with an even poorer environment for the Dems, and even that might not do it.

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