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OH: 2010 Sen (Quinnipiac 11/5-9)


Quinnipiac
11/5-9/09; 1,123 registered voters, 2.9% margin of error
406 Republicans, 4.9% margin of error
394 Democrat, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

Ohio

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
26% Rob Portman, 7% Tom Ganley (chart)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
24% Lee Fisher, 22% Jennifer Brunner (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
39% Portman, 36% Fisher (chart)
38% Fisher, 34% Ganley
35% Brunner, 32% Ganley
38% Portman, 34% Brunner (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Lee Fisher: 25 / 15
Jennifer Brunner: 20 / 18
Rob Portman: 22 / 7
Tom Ganley: 12 / 5

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 45 / 50 (chart)

 

Comments
Stillow:

Not good approval # for Obama in a state he carried and will probably need in 2012.

Portman leading both Dems.....polling the next several months is going to start showing a trend away from the Dems and to the GOP...even if the mvoe to the GOP is a reluctant one, the GOP is going to beneift fro mthe anti Dem mood that is growing.

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Wong:

The most important number that will determine the outcome of the race in Ohio to replace Voinivich will be the unemployment rate next October.

The secret to success for Republicans will be to stop their maniacal purge of the moderates.

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Stillow:

Ahhh Wong, how can you not see the truth? Recall Lieberman where the Dems tried to purge him out for being a moderate? How about move on's pledge to put up and sponsor liberal candididates to go against any blue dog dem who votes against health care reform? That includes people like Ben Nelson, Lincoln, etc, etc. Look in the mirror before you start hurling nonsense.

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Xenobion:

Noone purged Liberman. Lamont beat him fair and square. Vote on Iraq, whatever. Support McCain for president, ugh... Not back healthcare reform? Why are you still in the party?

And unlike the Club for Growth is for Republicans, Democrats do not take marching orders from Moveon.org And isn't it a little different to support a liberal dem rather than bash a moderate dem to the Republican's delight of bashing a moderate Rep and putting in any random conservative in their place?

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Stillow:

X, you are just way off on this. Conservative speical intrest is no different than liberal speical intrest. You are just choosing to ignore it. If the GOp hates moderates why was McCain the GOP nominee? He beat out more social and fiscal conservatives i nthe primary. Where as the Dems nomianted a hard left guy in Obama. So it seems to be that the Dems are the ones having an identity crisis here.

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Xenobion:

George Soros, self made billionare, special interest with Moveon.org is nothing more than an interest group, with their own agenda.

Club for Growth COINED the word RINO. It was a witch hunt to begin with. Chaired by Pat Toomey failure politican extrodinare.

McCain was the Reps best shot at winning among the 12 people who started in the primaries. The tone was different then. I feel like Repubs wanted to win rather than lose with an ultra-right conservative candidate like Huckabee or Romney. That's all changed, no leadership and PACs like Club for Growth, Rush Limbaugh, and the guy on the street corner control the Republican messages now.

Naturally, both the Dems and Reps play off each other. Whatever identity crisis the Dems have can be easily moved to win politically. Republicans continue to have very weak leadership where just barking at any change in Washington won't win them elections, cause that's how they lost 2006 to begin with.

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Stillow:

You are totally crazy on this. Its not just moveon, how about Daily Kos? Liberal blogs are to the left what talk radio is to the right. Places like Kos turned there back on Hillary during the primary and that was part of the reason she lost. Liberals felt she wasn't liberal enough. Both parties have there speical intrests which pull the party to the right or left.

Liberal special intrest has tons of influence on the dem party just as conservative intrest gorups do on the republican party....there is no difference. All that is happening here is that Dems are nervous about the republican party returning to its conservative roots....the Dems wanted Mccain to be the nominee in 2008...dem strategists know a wishy washy moderate cannot win anything except a congressional seat here and there.

Since the Dems have moved left, they want the GOP to move left with them...that is why so many of you make such a big deal about conservatives tryign to get conservative candidates. Its silly cus Dems do the exact same thing with there liberal elements.

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platanoman:

Actually, Stillow there were tons of people on Dailykos who did support Clinton.

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platanoman:

Fisher and Brunner are good candidate. I think they can win. A few months ago, they thought Dems had no chance with Rob Portman and his money. Well, let's see...

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Xenobion:

Yeah cause everyone who votes Dem "Blogs" and is volunteering their time to Moveon.org or giving money to it. I'd say Hollywood has mover influence over the party than DailyKoS or Moveon.org. Both of those things have only been around for what? like 6 years?

Anyways all those things are "noise" in the Democratic party, everyone's 1 issue; NARAL, NAACP, AFL-CIO, Oprah, whatever, they are all issue based politics. They aren't trying to get a liberal agenda passed; they want their issue to get passed.

Anyways, I always wanted Romney to be the Republican nominee because he's the easiest to beat. Next time I want Sarah Palin or Joe The Plumber. I want an Ultra Conservative candidate to remind America why we don't vote for a classic conservative like Richard Nixon or a Barry Goldwater anymore.

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