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OH: 42% Fisher, 40% Portman (Quinnipiac 6/22-27)

Topics: Ohio , poll


Quinnipiac
6/22-27/10; 1,107 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

Ohio

2010 Senate
42% Fisher (D), 40% Portman (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Lee Fisher: 28 / 17
Rob Portman: 26 / 7

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Brown: 46 / 29 (chart)
Sen. Voinovich: 48 / 31 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 45 / 49 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I am not speaking too soon, but I am beginning to think that Ohio is moving in a bluer direction than Iowa, Wisconsin or PA this year. I know Cleveland is a more center/left area, but Cincinnati is probably the most conservative metro area, east of the Missisippi and north of the Mason Dixon line. It is pretty close to the south actually.

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rdw4potus:

Columbus is also leftish. I think attempted economic improvements are disproportionately appreciated by the rust belt states, and that may help the Dems in PA and OH.

And the Ohio river is the Mason Dixon line, so yes, Cincinnati is very very close to the south:-)

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Field Marshal:

It will be interesting to see where PPP has Portman on a LV screen when they release that poll later today. I'm betting it shows him tied or up.

As for the makeup of the state, yes Cleveland is very blue while Cincinnati is more red. Luckily, Dem policies have, and continue to, gut Cleveland economically and people are fleeing the city to locales in the South.

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HookedOnPolls:

Yep, those economic improvements like today's report (see below) are going to have them rush to polls to vote Dems:

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/Dispatch/default.aspx?feat=1776327

Market Update

Private sector adds fewer jobs than expected

Posted by Elizabeth Strott and Charley Blaine on Wednesday, June 30, 2010 9:08 AM
Updated at 9:55 a.m. ET

The private sector added 13,000 jobs in June, according to this morning's ADP report, far fewer than the 60,000 to 65,000 that economists had expected.


Job growth was "disappointingly weak," said Joel Prakken, the chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers, which produces the report.

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Wright Wing:

Maybe Obama should come and campaign for Fisher. That would guarantee a Portman victory!

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Field Marshal:

Hooked,

Yeah, i saw that ADP report. For a whole host of reasons that i won't get into, i put MUCH more faith into the ADP report than the household survey coming out on Friday that the Dept. of Labor (BLS) issues.

When you have a president who has a disdain for private enterprise and capitalism, its no surprise to see the private market be worried and not hiring.

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HookedOnPolls:

And this economic goodie just out:

CBO says debt will reach 62 percent of GDP by year's end

By Michael O'Brien - 06/30/10 09:24 AM ET

The national debt will reach 62 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) by the end of this year, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said Wednesday.

The budget office said the debt will reach its highest percentage of GDP since the end of World War II. The jump is driven by lower tax revenues and higher federal spending in the recent recession.

And while the national debt would stabilize at 67 percent of GDP over the next decade if current law were maintained, extending tax cuts enacted during the administration of President George W. Bush and keeping growth in appropriations in line with inflation would mean that the debt would reach almost 90 percent of GDP by 2020.

By contrast, GDP has averaged "a little above" 36 percent per year over the past 40 years.


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Field Marshal:

Hence the reason the Dems aren't going to even produce a budget this year for fear the resulting deficit forecast will sink them even further in November.

P.S. Just wait to what the Debt-to-GDP ratio is in 2012 and, God forbid Obama is re-elected, in 2016. The CBO says it will be approaching 100% of GDP towards the end of the decade.

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rdw4potus:

"And while the national debt would stabilize at 67 percent of GDP over the next decade if current law were maintained, extending tax cuts enacted during the administration of President George W. Bush and keeping growth in appropriations in line with inflation would mean that the debt would reach almost 90 percent of GDP by 2020."

So, if entitlement growth is pegged to inflation, then Bush's tax cuts will cause the debt to spiral out of control as a % of GDP but it's Obama who's irresponsible?

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Xenobion:

Last I checked Bush didn't produce his heavy spending military budgets till after elections either. Its a standard use tactic really. You should be happy that the G20 promoted slashing deficits. We'll see if they put their money where their mouths are but its the first time we've reheard balancing the budget since Clinton.

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