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OH: 44% Portman, 40% Fisher (Rasmussen 8/2)

Topics: Ohio , poll

Rasmussen
8/2/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Ohio

2010 Senate
44% Portman (R), 40% Fisher (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Rob Portman: 46 / 27
Lee Fisher: 40 / 41

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 46 / 53 (chart)
Gov. Strickland: 43 / 54 (chart)

 

Comments
iVote:

This moves the race from lean GOP to Tossup, according to Rasmussen.

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billwy:

Rasmussen is obviously allowed to have their opinion as to what constitues a toss up and what doesn't. However, the favorables situation would seem to indicate that Portman, already leading, has way more potential upside.

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iVote:

Well, considering that Portman is currently getting 85% from Republicans while Fisher is only getting 69% from Democrats, Fisher seems to be the one with more room to grow.

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Farleftandproud:

Someone besides Rasmussen needs to poll this one. I haven't seen anyone but Rasmussen poll this race in a couple of months. The favorables on Portman vs Fisher, don't ad up. I notice this with many races, that the difference in favorables is a lot greater than the difference in actual poll results.

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melvin:

Fisher is going to win,because the GOP don't have a agenda,people are scared to death that the GOP is going to try in repeat the Bush policies.America knows the GOP took a great economy in 2000 in turned it unto one of the worst economy's since the great depression.the GOP have to win Ohio in 2012 if they have any chance of beating Obama.

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billwy:

Thanks for the scare tactics Melvin. iVote-I understand what you mean. However, you have to wonder if that chunck of democrats is going to come around en masse when both the democratic governor and president are under substantial water. (Even if they are now drowning yet.)

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boomer40:

Interesting that Portman's image advantage isn't translating into votes, at least not yet. Ohio voters are not buying either candidate at the moment.

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jmartin4s:

Fisher is a terrible candidate who couldn't win a contest for dog catcher. Marshal, Conway, Hodes, and Carnahan have a better chance at winning. Brunner would have been a much better candidate but the idiots in the establishment wouldn't let her fundraise. Strickland might be able to pull it out because he is a better campaigner and his opponent is like Sharron Angle, but Fisher will not win.

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melvin:

Why is no one in the major media is asking the GOP what they're going to do to help people who is out of work, who don't have health care if they recapture the House and Senate? Its amazing the media is not asking these very important questions.

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TeaPartyRules:

Portman is going to win because the Dems have a terrible agenda. People are scared to death that the Dems are going to repeat the Obama policies. America knows the Dems took a great economy in 2006 in turned it into one of the worst economys since the great depression. The Dems have to win Ohio in 2012 if they have any chance of beating Palin.

*edited- removed as many grammar and spelling errors as posible.

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TeaPartyRules:

Why isn't anyone in the media asking Dems what they're going to do to help people who are out of work and don't have heathcare, since they control the house and senate? It's amazing that the media is not asking these very important questions.

*edited- removed as many grammar and spelling errors as possible.

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melvin:

RCP have the Democrats losing over 60 seats in the House in November,now that is going to take some doing by the GOP for that to happen.The last time the Democrats had under 200 seats in the Congress was over 100 years ago.

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TeaPartyRules:

Sometimes I even crack myself up.

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melvin:

Teapartyrules: We all know your a crack head racist.I see no one is showing up at the teaparty gatherings lately.

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TeaPartyRules:

Melvin, we all know you are a hood rat racist. I see noone is polling well for the DNC lately.

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tjampel:

TeaPartyRules:

"Why isn't anyone in the media asking Dems what they're going to do to help people who are out of work and don't have heathcare, since they control the house and senate? It's amazing that the media is not asking these very important questions"

What are you going to do for them right now?

We already know what Dems did and what they also tried and failed to do both in the realm of health care and jobs. They tried to pass an ambitious health care bill and ended up with an industry-driven one (we're forced to get insurance and all our money goes to insurance companies, not the gov); they tried to pass a big jobs bill and had to cut most of it out because they could not get 60 votes.

They control the House. There are lots of bills that have passed the house awaiting debate in the Senate. They have no chance because Dems do not control the Senate, due to the current cloture rules. You know that of course.

So...rather than comment on your question I'll turn it back to you, because I'd really like to know how you would handle the health care part of this at least.

Start with what you will do right now for those who are chronically ill (cancer, heart disease, kidney disease) and can't get any health care. Let them die? Or do you have a specific plan now for those 35+ or 40+ (pick a number) million lower and middle and, in many cases, well-to-do Americans (many were making 100k or so until they got sick) who now have no health care.

If you say "let them use the ER" then you kill many of them, since ER doesn't treat chronic illnesses that require long term drug or other treatment, transplants, etc.

If you say that they don't deserve long term treatment then you're saying that anyone who is making 60k or so with a family of four and is self-employed or works for a small employer that can't afford their exorbitant premiums of 60k+ deserves to die if they get leukemia or kidney disease. Once insurers have to start shelling out 100k/yr for these people it's a death sentence for those not employed by large firms, as the premiums jump to unaffordable levels.

If the same worker works for a small business like mine same thing; I can't afford a 60k/yr premium for them so I'll have to drop their coverage and they die.

You got a solution? I'm all ears. Tell me all about tax credits, and junk insurance plans with caps (which end up cutting off payments to these same people after a few years...say...100k/yr for 10 years then cut off when they hit 1M lifetime cap.

These people and those with pre-existing conditions are basically un-insurable; since you are in favor of such caps and exclusions there's no way for these people to stay alive other than to sell off their 400k in assets (their home, generally) and eventually become paupers and go on Medicaid. That's what happens. That really sucks, that any middle class working person has to do that.

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boomer40:

"Fisher is a terrible candidate who couldn't win a contest for dog catcher."

He's the lieutenant governor and spent a decade-plus as state senator and attorney general winning elections, so clearly that's not the case.

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jmartin4s:

@Boomer

Lee Fisher DID NOT WIN lt. governor. He was second banana on a ticket with Ted Strickland running in a year where any democrat with a pulse could win an election in Ohio. In fact, the only time Lee Fisher won an election was in 1990 for and that was by 0.04%. He then lost re-election and then lost the governors race in 1998 despite heavily outspending his opponent. the democratic party really screwed this one up. Lee Fisher will not win, you can put that in the bank. Brunner would have had a shot but they chose not to use someone who actually could win a statewide election. The democrats need to be strategic and put their money into Missouri, North Carolina, and Kentucky.

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boomer40:

If you want to underestimate him, go ahead. I guarantee you that Rob Portman and the RGA are not so sanguine about this race.

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jmartin4s:

Believe me I am quite liberal and I love the idea of having another jewish senator but this is not a winning candidate. As long a Rob Portman doesnt get complacent he will probably win. Lee Fisher has a ceiling of 46% on election night.

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Common Sense?:

I agree with jmartin4s. I think both candidates are good for the US senate. They are both hard workers it comes down to political pref. You will see Portman on top in November unless scandal appears in Portman's camp. Ohio is going to go (r) in 2010. I will be anxious to see where Ohio is in 2012

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StatyPolly:

"I love the idea of having another jewish senator"

Is Lee Fisher Jewish? I am curious to hear why you'd love another Jewish senator. Are you Jewish?

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