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OH: 47% Portman, 41% Fisher (Rasmussen 8/30)

Topics: Ohio , poll

Rasmussen
8/30/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Ohio

2010 Senate
47% Portman (R), 41% Fisher (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Rob Portman: 49 / 28
Lee Fisher: 47 / 35

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 45 / 54 (chart)
Gov. Strickland: 39 / 59 (chart)

 

Comments
Bob in SJ:

Portman under 50. Close favaorables too.

I think that both candidates have incumbent qualities - Portman is the Republican running for a Republican seat, and Fisher holds statewide office.

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Cederico:

The only way Fisher wins this race is if he gets some serious money. He has to make the case tbat Portman is a return to the Bush era on issues of jobs, trade, deficits.

Portman has almost 9 million dollars to spend and this is before outside groups and the NRSC chip in. If I were the DSCC I would seriously look at the polls come late September to see if Fisher has a real chance. If so then spend to cash...if he is still down in the low 40's I would likely concentrate on other races for instance holding onto Pennsylvania, Illinois, Colorado, Wisconsin, etc. or picking up Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Kentucky.

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Mike E:

This is Portmans to lose. He just needs to keep bashing Fisher with Obamas failed stimulus and disasterous record on jobs, deficits and the war in Afghanistan.

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Von Wallenstein:

DSCC isn't going to blow money on this race after fisher's awful campaign. they'll write him off and spend the money in Pa., Nev., Colo. etc.

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MikeyA:

This race is done.

Fisher has lost statewide races before and this time Strickland being elsewhere on the ballot isn't helping him.

Dem turnout is going to be depressed and Ohio will go deeply red. Further marking it as a bell-weather state.

I'm no longer watching this race and have turned to seeing how many House seats the GOP picks up here.

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ath716:

PPP is coming out with Ohio numbers tomorrow. From their blog:

"We'll start rolling out our Ohio poll results tomorrow but there's one finding on the poll that pretty much sums it up: by a 50-42 margin voters there say they'd rather have George W. Bush in the White House right now than Barack Obama."

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Field Marshal:

Ouch....

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Paleo:

failed stimulus."

Yeah, the one that saved the country from a depression.

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE67N55X20100824

This race is still winnable for Fisher if he gets enough money to hammer home Portman's support for policies that deindustrialized Ohio.

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StatyPolly:

Yeah, I expect Bush to be polling better than BOBO nationwide soon.

Them was the good ole' days.

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Field Marshal:

Yeah, the one that saved the country from a depression.

When did it do that? Did you also know that the Bush tax cuts saved us from a depression? See how easy it is to make up 'facts' when its impossible to see the alternative?

http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2010/08/30/the_cbo_promotes_a_stimulus_fantasy_98645.html

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Paleo:

It's not making up facts. That would be when someone says the "stimulus failed."

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Mike E:

"That would be when someone says the "stimulus failed."

Really? Then why are we still at record levels of unemployment, record deficits and still flirting with 10,000 on the Dow.

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MikeyA:

LOL there's A LOT of evidence that the stimulus failed.

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Bigmike:

I agree that the stimulus failed, but for different reasons.

Sure it didn't stimulate much. But it was never meant to. Its sole purpose was for political favors. It was meant to buy votes. And judging by the various polls it failed in that regard too.

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Field Marshal:

Agreed Bigmike. Obama had the chance to use the $900 billion for something great like upgrading our infrastructure and implementing some kind of new mass transit system but instead he used it to pay off the public unions for voting for him.

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Paleo:

"Really? Then why are we still at record levels of unemployment, record deficits and still flirting with 10,000 on the Dow."

It's not "record levels of unemployed." Unemployment reached 10.8% at the end of 1982. Not to mention 1932.

The stimulus succeeded by preventing an unemployment rate even higher than 1982's. Without it, there would have been negative growth to go along with that higher unemployment. The problem with the stimulus was that it was not big enough. Thanks to Geithner and Summers, and a weak Obama, the stimulus that was passed was only about 2/3 of what was necessary to get the economy moving.

And I don't take this "stimulus failed" stuff seriously because most of the people who are saying that were saying that the stimulus failed before it was even passed!

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Paleo:

The stimulus was actually less than $800 billion, and some of the money went to such projects, although I agree that nowhere enough did.

The money to aid state budgets prevented layoffs in state and local government. Without which, the unemployment rate would be even higher.

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