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OH: 50% Kasich, 40% Strickland (PPP 8/27-29)

Topics: Ohio , poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
8/27-29/10; 475 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Ohio

2010 Governor
50% Kasich (R), 40% Strickland (D) (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Strickland: 34 / 52 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
John Kasich: 33 / 33

 

Comments
HookedOnPolls:

Strickland's done. Next Dem to be so is......

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Farleftandproud:

Again, Virginia and NJ have already won seats among Republicans and their unemployment has not decreased any more than many other states.

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Paleo:

"Strickland's done."

Until the next round of polls come out.

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jmartin4s:

The odds of Strickland winning re-election are very low right now. The truth is Kasich is a lot like Sharron Angle in terms of crazy conservatism. The only difference Kasich is keeping his views quiet on the campaign trail and is running a disciplined campaign which is all he will need to do at this point to win.

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Mike E:

Splat. Another liberal lemming goes over the cliff for Obambams extremist, lefty agenda. Its not the fall that kills you, its the sudden stop.

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Louis:

As the saying goes. To Assume makes an ss of u and me. Don't count your seats untill the elections are held and the votes counted.

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Field Marshal:

Confirms Ras. I love it. "crazy conservatism". Is that like Strickland is for "crazy liberalism" or is that an oxymoron?

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nick283:

Best part of this poll 50% would prefer Bush as president to 42% for Obama. Wow.

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Crimsonite:

FLAP, Christie wasn't elected because of his ability to create job or reduce unemployment. He ran on a platform of cutting the atrocious state deficit and was elected because of it. Plus, how fast do you expect unemployment rates to go down. In Obama's first couple of months, the unemployment rate went UP. So you either have to apply the logic to everyone or realize that governor's or presidents don't have that kind of immediate impact to create jobs and really can only create the economic environment for creating jobs.

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Field Marshal:

And so it begins....

Wyden Pushing For Oregon Waiver From Health Care Law, Individual Mandate

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/09/01/wyden-pushing-for-oregon-_n_701785.html

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@nick283: ..."50% would prefer Bush as president..." All that confirms is that the subjects polled giving those answers must have come from a hospital's amnesia ward.

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vincent106:

Thats all you could come up with nelcon? Kinda sad...

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jmartin4s:

Nelcon I'm a solid liberal and I know that your full of BS. The reason they like Bush is because in a depressed dem turnout you end up with voters who a majority of voted for McCain and also voted for and liked George W. Bush. Duhhhhhhhhh!!

I hope the Patty Murray campaign is smart enough to not let Nelcon1551 anywhere near it.

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nick283:

jmartin, you're probably largely right on that (48-45 for McCain in that poll), but still not good news for Obama and the dems. 10% of folks did say that voted for Obama, but would prefer Bush though. Kind of interesting and shows that running against Bush probably won't work as well as Democrats hope.

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StatyPolly:

Good article on Wyden, FM.

Is he getting a little anxious about his own re-election prospects? Maybe a little? If he smells the winds from North, South and East, he should.

This bobocare thingamajig, what a gift!

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jmartin4s:

Wyden outperformed Kerry by 12% in a republican leaning year. He is very popular in Oregon even in some of the more red areas of the state. Oregon state republican will put their energy into getting the governor's mansion rather than getting Wyden's seat. I feel like Boxer, Murray, and Feingold would have to lose first with much room to spare before Wyden goes down. This is a highly unlikely scenario. Not to mention Wyden has been characterized by many in liberal circles as a bit of a centrist which appeals to independents in Oregon.

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nick283:

While I don't think Wyden is much of a centrist, you are right, he is far and away the most popular statewide elected democrat in the pacific northwest. I'd bet on the Republicans getting to 280 seats in the house before i'd bet on wyden losing.

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jmartin4s:

On a national scale Wyden isn't that centrist but within the democratic party, many democrats (ex. the Kossacks) don't think he is liberal enough for them. In terms of vulnerability part of my approach of evaluating it is how much they outperformed Kerry. Patty Murray outperformed Kerry by 2, Boxer outperformed Kerry 4, and Feingold outperformed Kerry 5 and for the most part this was in a year that tilt towards the GOP. Out of all three of those I think Murray is the most vulnerable but I continue to believe that all three of them will be going back to washington DC this January.

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TeaPartyRules:

Just in case anyone is keeping score on endorsements.

Palin 12
BoBo 1

The Palin army is growing. Get ready.

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jmartin4s:

@TeaPartyRules

please say this means Palin is running for president, I would love to see all the entertainment Mama Grizzley would bring to my tv.

Gaffes Away!

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TeaPartyRules:

Jmartin
I believe we're getting enough crazy entertainment from the current circus monkey.

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Farleftandproud:

I think the Tea party will self destruct, because they are now turning off independents. Rasmussen has a poll with Miller now with only a 6 point lead of likely voters. This is Alaska, where Republican registration over Democrat, is like the reverse of Mass.

Nobody has polled the NH republicans lately, and the Tea Party candidate, may surprise us there as well.

I think the GOP will not do as well nominating tea party candidates in CO, ALaska, NV, and possibly NH. Fiorina isn't quite a tea bagger but more conservative than the guy she defeated in the primary. I think these candidates could very well cost the GOP from gaining the majority, whereas if NV had picked Lowden, Co picked Norton, CA picked Campbell, Grayson in KY, and FL for governor nominated Mccullum this election would probably not be as close.

Probably Miller will win in Alaska, because the odds are against the Democrats, but loose lips sink ships, and I think these candidates will be the ones could decide the majority for the Democrats.

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Field Marshal:

I think the Tea party will self destruct, because they are now turning off independents.

So since the Democrats and Obama are now turning off independents, do you think they will also self-destruct? If not, why?

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Aaron_in_TX:

Palin is visiting IA very soon. If you ask me she is definitely running.

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jmartin4s:

Mama Grizley for president, hmmm I look forward to having the first republican nominee who doesn't read the newspaper. Stay rogue Sarah

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Farleftandproud:

"Field Marshal:
I think the Tea party will self destruct, because they are now turning off independents.

So since the Democrats and Obama are now turning off independents, do you think they will also self-destruct? If not, why?"

Because, we are definetely not a country where liberalism is dominant. That goes without saying. At times I would like more Blue Dogs in the Democratic party, and can certainly live with Republicans like Crist, Chafee, Snowe and Collins. The Tea party's favorability among the General public is like 34 percent. I have seen several polls, stating that America is not as far right as you conservatives would like to admit.

I would say, that most INdependents like Center/left politicians like Wyden and Kerry, or in other states re-elect center/right leaders like Lugar or Mitch Daniels in the midwest, Bob Corker or Lindsey Graham in the south but honestly can't find that many off the top of my head from the West.

The Tea party may have Sarah Palin's good looks and big mouth, and some very excited young people who are fired up, but the policies they have are not just limited government, but virtually no Government at all. I mean some of the tea baggers, want big government to criminalize family planning, and some of them have lavish plans for spending money on fighting illegals. I wonder where they will get this money.

I would like to leave Obama out of the discussion, because not all Democrats reflect Obama's ideas, just like senate candidates Kirk and Castle, don't really reflect Sarah Palin's agenda. It will ultamately be centrists who will decide the midterms, and based on who the Democratic candidates are vs the tea party ones, it is obvious that Harry Reid, Bennet in CO, and Conway in KY are centrists, and their opponents are on the far right.


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Farleftandproud:

If Palin was the GOP nominee, I think Western Europe and the UN would put sanctions against us if she was elected. I would hope and pray that Great Britain would liberate us.

That is another way of saying, that Palin would never get elected.

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Jeez, do all the right wing Republicans here take themselves so seriously that they don't even recognize when someone makes a joke? Like my silly sarcastic quip about the amnesia ward?

Get a life, people.

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dpearl:

Getting back to the poll at hand - I'd like to note that there will be two debates in the Gubernatorial race and three debates in the Senate race here in Ohio. There may be some opportunity for these races to move a bit at that point.

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vincent106:

Pollster,

Why do you let that moron Farleftandproud post here? Do you see the idiocy of his last post? I mean really. He essentially disgraces the site and degrades its trustworthiness.

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