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"Outliers:" Push-Poll Free Edition


Frank Newport challenges Barack Obama's comments about "poll driven positions" and thinks a Time Magazine polling box "gets it backwards" regarding recent slippage. [Note: our chart based on trial heats without Gore included as a candidate now shows a small recent decline in Clinton's support nationally].

Kathy Frankovic reviews the data on the greater attentiveness and knowledge of likely primary voters in Iowa and New Hampshire (and if you are a political junkie, the full CBS News report on the recent CBS/New York Times surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire surveys is a must read).

Ross Douthat spots the most important numbers about the Republican caucuses in Iowa in that same CBS/NYT poll (via Sullivan).

Gary Langer crunches the numbers for "latest [sub]group du jour," single women and concludes that married women are "much more likely to be true swing voters."

Jennifer Agiesta looks at the gender gap in presidential preference among African American Democrats.

Bill Schneider looks at the record of polls taken a year before the election.

Garance Franke-Ruta links to some incredibly thematic maps displaying results of the 2004 Iowa Caucuses (via The Stump).

An NYU journalism class surveys NYU students and finds Obama ahead (via Ben Smith).

 

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