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PA: 2010 Dem Primaries (Muhlenberg 5/1-4)

Topics: Pennsylvania , poll

Muhlenberg College / Morning Call
5/1-4/10; 405 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(Muhlenberg Release)

Pennsylvania

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
48% Specter, 40% Sestak (chart)

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
34% Onorato, 11% hoeffel, 9% Williams, 8% Wagner (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Darn. How can Dems in PA support a party switcher like this. I doubt Lieberman would ever get the nomination if he ran in CT against someone like Gov. Rell, or the wrestling ceo. They would never nominate Lieberman in a primary.

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melvin:

Its obvious the media donot want the Democrats to bring up immigration,because it hurts the Gop bigtime,the media keep telling Democrats immigration is going to hurt you guys in November,but the truth is immigration is going to destroy the Gop,how can the Gop win back the House or Senate when 82% of latinos is now supporting the Democrats,how can the Gop win anything with those kind of numbers.Lastweek the Gop was scared to death,u didnot see one Gop leader come out in public to discuss the immigration law in ARZ,what is wrong with the Democrats can they see this,can they see how much the Gop is scared of talking immigration,the media dont want the Democrats to even bring up immigration because the media knows the Gop wont win anything in November,in that wont make for good news.

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StatyPolly:

Quick! Someone call 911!

I think Melvin is having an asthma attack.

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Field Marshal:

"how can the Gop win back the House or Senate when 82% of latinos is now supporting the Democrats"

Because latinos make up 15% of the electorate and historically have low turnout while white people, who mostly support the AZ law, are nearly 80% of the electorate and tend to turnout to vote.

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StatyPolly:

FM,

Actually, Latinos make up 15% of population, not the electorate. Large sample polls of registered voters I've seen over the past few years show self-id's Latino/Hispanic respondents at around 7-9%.

Makes sense, since I'd guess official gmnt stats grossly underestimate the numbers of illegal immigrants at 11-12 mill. I'd guess it's more like 20.

Further, at least as of a few years ago, citizen and legal Latino residents were split right down the middle - 50/50 on the amnesty issue. And really, once they're in the country legally, and have a legal pathway of bringing their families in, why support amnesty for throngs of others?

So, assuming illegal immigrants do not vote in US elections in any meaningful numbers, Melvin's unlinked polls mean little.

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StatyPolly:

Another one bites it. A nice juicy one this time.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2010/05/05/rep-obey-to-retire/

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obamalover:

It seems this year Dem primary voters are trying to shoot themselves in the foot.

At least us Texans know better, we got Bill White.

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