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PA: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 4/15)

Topics: Pennsylvania , poll

Rasmussen
4/15/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Pennsylvania

2010 Governor
48% Corbett (R), 27% Wagner (D) (chart)
49% Corbett (R), 29% Hoeffel (D) (chart)
45% Corbett (R), 36% Onorato (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Tom Corbett: 56 / 29
Jack Wagner: 32 / 36
Dan Onorato: 41 / 32
Joe Hoeffel: 33 / 37

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 48 / 52 (chart)
Gov. Rendell: 47 / 52 (chart)

 

Comments
GARY WAGNER:

Don't call me a republican - that's rude. I'm an anti-democrat.

Yep - I looked at the number wrong. Busted.

I still maintain the original premise, though. If Obama has a 30% approval in some congressional districts, how high must he have in some of the others to come up with a 48% approval? Doesn't much matter if he has an 80% approval in Philadelphia and only picks up one seat if he is below 50% in all the others and loses all of those.

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GARY WAGNER:

oops - wrong place to put the reply

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CHRIS MERKEY:

once again no undecideds but 1% are undecided about Rendell. He's only been in office here since 2002. I guess you better make your mind up soon if you approve or not. I am starting to see ads for Onorato, Williams. Maybe the numbers will shift once they are more well known.

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tjampel:

Onorato appears to have picked up 8 points in a month against Corbett. Ras had him down by 17 last time around. This ties in with Ras' re-evaluating who will be likely voters. As Dem intensity grows they have to readjust their likely voter model upwards. That % of Dems likely to vote has gone up 9% since health Care Reform passed. The fact that Dems passed anything has woken them up I guess.

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Westwoodnc Westwoodnc:

@tjampel, the Dems blew all their wad on Obamacare. It's been a month and the Dem "enthusiasm" has peaked. Because as that is happening, independents and Republicans go in the other direction just as strongly. The Dems best candidate can only muster 36% of the vote. That's pathetic.

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