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PA: 2010 Sen, Gov (F&M 2/15-21)

Topics: poll

Franklin and Marshall
1/15-21/10; 1,143 adults, 2.9% margin of error
954 registered voters, 3.2% margin of error
481 Democrats, 4.5% margin of error
340 Republicans, 5.2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(F&M release)

Pennsylvania

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
33% Specter, 16% Sestak (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election

Registered voters:
33% Specter, 29% Toomey
25% Toomey, 22% Sestak

Likely voters:
44% Toomey, 34% Specter (chart)
38% Toomey, 20% Sestak (chart)

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
6% Onorato, 6% Wagner, 6% Hoeffel, 4% Doherty, 1% Williams (chart)

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
26% Corbett, 4% Rohrer

Favorable / Unfavorable
Ed Rendell: 41 / 44 (chart)
Arlen Specter: 32 / 45 (chart)
Bob Casey Jr: 33 / 18 (chart)
Barack Obama: 49 / 39 (chart)
Joe Sestak: 10 / 3
Pat Toomey: 16 / 7
Tom Corbett: 21 / 6

Job Rating
Pres. Obama: 41% Excellent/Good, 59% Fair/Poor (chart)
Sen. Specter: 30% Excellent/Good, 62% Fair/Poor (chart)

 

Comments
Rockym92:

A 14 point swing for Toomey from registered voter to likely voters? Can the dem base actually be that demoralized? I have trouble buying that.

The fact that a staunch conservative like Toomey could possibly get elected in PA, shows just how much the dems have squandered everything they had in just a year.

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Field Marshal:

Specter with a 30% approval. Can't see how someone with that name recognition and a 30% approval gets elected. I think the only way he polls that close is that the name recognition of Toomey is still fairly low.

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CUWriter:

F&M polls are really frustrating. They ask the infamous Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor question for approval and they don't push at all to get voters into a camp.

I mean 25%-22% between Toomey and Sestak for RVs and 38-20% for LVs? I highly doubt that, at this point, more than 40% of likely voters are undecided in this race no matter who the candidates are. That's just ridiculous.

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Xenobion:

Can they numbers of undecideds/don't know get any lower to actually be a poll worth polling?

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Farleftandproud:

I am impressed with the fact that Sestak polls considerably better against Toomey among registered voters than Specter does. I honestly hope Specter loses. I don't know why the White House wants him to be on the ticket so badly. Sestak has years of service to the Dems, Specter just decided one year ago to join because he knew he wasn't popular anymore in the GOP. With his approval numbers, it would be a travesty if the Dems nominate him.

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Farleftandproud:

I am surprised Sestak is still way behind Specter. He is young, ambititious and is much more progressive. Besides he is about 30 years younger than his opponent and could have a good long career in the senate. If this were NY or most other states, someone like Sestak would be ahead by 25 points. Not sure if I understand PA democrats.

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