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PA: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 2/8)

Topics: poll


Rasmussen
2/8/20; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
425 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen: primary, general)

Pennsylvania

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
51% Specter, 36% Sestak (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election
47% Toomey. 38% Specter (chart)
43% Toomey, 35% Sestak (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Arlen Specter: 41 / 54 (chart)
Pat Toomey: 57 / 28
Joe Sestak: 33 / 42

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 44 / 54 (chart)
Gov. Rendell: 44 / 54 (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Shocking unfavorables for Sestak. Doesn't look like it will matter though since he won't make it out of the primary. Maybe he will run as an indy for the far-left crowd. One can dream.

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Farleftandproud:

What is wrong with PA Voters? This state has gone Blue since 1992 every year. Obama's approval is worse here than NC, and Arizona even. I don't really see what is all that exciting about Toomey. I guess he is better known in the central and western Part of the state. I can't say Obama didn't create any jobs in PA, since many of the highways in Eastern PA near Harrisburg had tons of road crews and people working on the highways. This state is truly a mystery to me.

If it was just Arlen specter that was the problem, that would be understandable since party switchers in battleground states have a hard time after they switch.

PA had high unemployment and downsizing before Obama came in.

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Stillow:

PA is a dying state just like OH, MI and a few others. The old rust belt is fading and the people will blame whoever is in power despite what party they are......its depseration driving this. Those blue collar jobs will never come back to these states.....

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djneedle83:

My prediction is that Sestak wins the nomination on May 18th. His unknown rate is pretty dam high at 21% among Democratic primary voters. This is going to be similar to the Lamont/Lieberman battle in Connecticut in 2006 in regards to the election results. I say Sestak wins 52/48.

The reality is that Arlen Specter will turn 80 years old. I can't see liberal primary voters nominating the second coming of Robert Byrd. Specter is pretty savvy and definitely a tough guy (beating cancer multiple times), but it's time for him to enjoy retirement.

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Xenobion:

Nice revisionist History Stillow. PA is one of the few states to emerge out of the Rust Belt era with great successes like Pittsburg turning to a mecca in the region for medical practice. They traded in some blue collar jobs for some high end white collar ones frankly. They state is still somewhat conservative. Its a perfect battleground state. Specter sort of screwed himself over in the state even if he's some sort of pretend Democrat.

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Farleftandproud:

I never excepted Specter into my party or even as an independent caucusing with Democrats. He was not a supporter of Obama in 2008 and said Mccain was the stronger candidate. If it had been Olympia Snowe, I would have been thrilled, or had Lincoln Chafee in RI, I would love to have them in the party. Jim Jeffords in VT had been caucusing more with Democrats for several years before he became independent.

PA is such a partisan state with closed party primaries, it is still a mystery why Specter isn't retiring. He should have become an independent, made his case against the modern republicans and voted as an independent on key issues.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Sestak won his house seat in a moderate district. I think if you compare their voting records since Specter became a democrat, Sestak's would be more moderate.

Specter obviously has no convictions. You'd never have known he was a republican with the way he's been acting. I think the people in PA will see through his opportunism.

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