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PA: 49 Sestak 40 Specter (Suffolk 5/10-12)

Topics: poll

Suffolk University
5/10-12/10; 400 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
400 likely Republican primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Suffolk: release, Dem Primary, Rep Primary)

Pennsylvania

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
49% Sestak, 40% Specter (chart)

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
46% Onorato, 13% Williams, 9% Wagner, 8% Hoeffel (chart)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
60% Toomey, 9% Luksik

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
58% Corbett, 20% Rohrer

 

Comments
Paleo:

Good news.

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scottkj:

I am a Republican and I want Toomey elected.
but I have to agree with those dems, whacky as they are, that Specter is a poser and would be horrible general election candidate.

Go Toomey!!!!! Take back the Senate 2010!!

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Envirolibertarian.wordpress.com:

sestak has this in the bag. if sestak does win hopefully he cares more about this country then keeping his job.

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jmartin4s:

I'm going to bring up a suffolk poll that proved to be a huge blunder
MASS Pres Primary 08
46% Obama
44% Clinton

Actual Result
56% Clinton
41% Obama

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Harry Enten:

Yea, but they also did really well in PA 08... 52-42... actual margin 54-44... and in Mass this year in the special election... Personally, I think the poll is not right.

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Xenobion:

Sestak takes down Specter he gains underdog status and takes out Toomey. This race really changed around in the past couple months.

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Ned:

Sestak is surging. Democrats in pennsylvannia dont want washington establisment figures telling them who to vote for. Especially if there is a viable alternative candidate. In addition this primary is closed to only registered democrats. Many of them have been voting against specter their whole lives, obama hasn't given them a viable reason to change that.

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BlueAmerica:

Specter is toast on Tuesday. Sestak for the past month has trashed him, and gained support everywhere he went.

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Cyril Washbrook:

jmartin4s, that's a silly way to assess the quality of a polling outfit. You could pull out literally any pollster's history and pick out one of the surveys that was off the mark. What you're doing is basically just a veiled version of the old chestnut, "I don't trust this poll" - for no other reason than that you don't want to believe it.

This poll may well be inaccurate, and it may well have some problems that make it biased (in the statistical sense of the word, not the political sense). But how about citing those instead of resorting to silly habits which involve pulling out a single poll from over two years ago?

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