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PA: Obama 48, McCain 40 (Susquehanna-10/16-18)

Topics: PHome

Tribune Review / Susquehanna
10/16-18/08; 700 LV, 3.7%
Mode: Live telephone Interviews
(story, results)

Pennsylvania
Obama 48, McCain 40, Nader 2, Barr 1

 

Comments
NorthernObserver:

Weird! O's lead in VA is larger than it is in PA! Sure!

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Trosen:

Whatever. McCain won't catch Obama in PA. And at this rate VA looks unlikely too. Maybe he should start campaigning in CA. Lots of EVs there..

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political_junki:

Has there been any poll from this pollster before?

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jeepdad:

This is actually an improvement since their last poll. The pollster says it will be very hard for McCain to bounce back.

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Viperlord:

Now that's weirdness for you folks.

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PortlandRocks:

8 is a nice lead:)

RCP Average 10/11 - 10/19 -- -- 52.0 40.3 Obama +11.7
Susquehanna 10/16 - 10/19 700 LV 3.7 48 40 Obama +8
Morning Call 10/15 - 10/19 607 LV 4.0 53 41 Obama +12
SurveyUSA 10/11 - 10/13 516 LV 4.4 55 40 Obama +15

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maddiekat:

Morning call still has Obama up by 12% in PA. This poll actually shows Obama increasing his lead by 3% since their last poll in late August.

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political_junki:

"The percentage of voters with a favorable opinion of McCain remains at 44 percent, unchanged since August. His unfavorability ratings, however, rose 7 points during the past two months, to 41 percent.

"That shows he has a ceiling, and it'll be really hard to go above that," Lee said.

Obama's favorability rating rose to 52 percent, a 7-point increase, while his unfavorability rating rose 2 points."


----------------------------------------------
Obama Favs UP
McSame Favs Down
That is Ayres attacks working for you :)

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carl29:

I'm back kids!!!!!!!!!!

I voted for Obama, and I wasn't alone :-) There was a huge line of people at the Coral Gables Library in Miami, FL. It took me 3 hours to wait for my turn. It was worth it!!!
There were young and old, women and men. There was a sweet old lady right before me, around +70, and displaying her "Hillary women for Obama" button :-) There were a lot of young people from University of Miami. A fantastic day in Miami !!!!

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PortlandRocks:

Yawn. It shows what a position DEMS are in when we are "concerned" about a +8 lead in PA. Gore won PA 4.2 by and Kerry by 2.5

Even if McCain shaved a few points off by spending a TON of time there, at what cost to VA, Colorado, FL, and NV?

FAIL.:) LOL

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rashi2006:

this is a private republican polling firm that would be expected to have some sort of republican house effect. They also do very little state polling and arent as reliable as susa or rass, but 8 points is still pretty decent

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ThisLandIsMyLand:

I have a question I'm hoping someone here can answer. When people go to the polls to vote early are they voting on paper ballots? Who guards those ballots? Also, what if they use voting machines - are the votes just kept on some disk?? Everyone says "vote early vote early" but if the votes are just sitting around on computers for a couple weeks isn't it more prone to tampering and election fraud??

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laguna_b:

Just finished filling out my ballot here in California....one more vote for Obama.....remember you people who have a hang up about voting for a black guy...Obama is actually half white and 100% capable!

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Hope Reborn:

This poll RULESSS!!!!!!

1) Close enough to trick broke McLame to spend more in PA
2) Close enough to press on the ground volunteers for Obama more
3) Close enough to convince the RW that McCain's still in it
4) Close enough to convince the Media of Same
5) Close enough to make sure that Obama voters show up
6) All the while, it's from +5 to +8; the trend is King...

McCain won't win PA... he just won't, but it's the perfect sink hole that's stealing his time and money from the finish line: Virginia, which is now running away wildly

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deeznutsrepubs:

trosen - yes....it is so crazy it just might work!!!

Ca may suffer from complacency from obama voters....it may be closer than people realize, probably around 10 to 12 points. maybe if gramps and crazy woman camp out there every day until election day with "ahnuld", they may have a shot! what other options do they have?? Obama is spanking him all over the eastern seaboard....even florida is likely to go to blue!

maybe mccain can pour all his $ into CA and hope for the best. oh, wait....let me check the numbers...never mind, even flipping CA doesn't give mccain the victory. Ooops, my bad.....sorry grampa and bimbo....better luck next time.


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nmetro:

From the source:

Democrat Sen. Barack Obama leads Republican Sen. John McCain by 8 percentage points in Pennsylvania, according to a poll that shows the candidates' support solidifying 15 days before Election Day.

Obama leads McCain by 48 percent to 40 percent with 7 percent undecided and about 5 percent preferring other candidates or declining to give a preference, according to the Susquehanna Polling and Research poll released exclusively to the Tribune-Review. An August Susquehanna poll gave Obama a 5-point advantage.

Obama's expanded lead in the latest poll is outside the error margin of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. The telephone survey of 700 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Saturday.

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deeznutsrepubs:

carl29-

Maybe you can answer something for me.....why vote today? You have early voting for another 10 days or so right? Why stand in line for 3 hours when you can come back in 4 or 5 days and then vote without waiting?

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1magine:

WORST POLL EVER -

700 LV

1. HAD TO VOTE IN ELECTIONS 2004-2007
2. ADDITTIONAL FILTER USED TO SCREEN OUT THOSE LESS THAN 505 LIKELY TO VOTE (Historically under 30, black, new registration)
3. 7% UNDECIDED

Triple Fail. Less useful than a week old internet poll.

Next...

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Traynor84:

So we trick them into wasting all their money on strong blue states so we can take away all their red states... I'm loving this.

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laguna_b:

Gee, if McCain comes to California to try for a flip, maybe I should wait to send off my ballot in case he can convince me to change! ...NAHHHH!
LOL!

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deeznutsrepubs:

Hey repubs-


TICK-TOCK

TICK-TOCK

TICK-TOCK

TICK-TOCK

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carl29:

deeznutsrepubs,

Why did I vote today? Well, because I wanted my vote in the "box" as soon as possible, so if something happens to me, God forbids, my vote is counted :-) Seriously, I wanted to clear the way for others to have an easier time to vote. Now, that I've already voted, I can help the campaign to get more people to vote. From now until election day, I will keep my "I voted today" sticker on my shirt, so everyone who sees me will remember that there is early voting going on :-)

*My husband will also keep his sticker until election day, so his students (my husband is a college professor) are aware that they can cast their ballots now.

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PortlandRocks:

This is great! Tells you which campaign has fired up Missouri? yah? LOL

NBC news - McCain, meanwhile, spoke to a weekday crowd of 2,000 in St. Louis, Missouri, where he and supporters branded Obama a liberal and criticized feminists and the media as they rallied their conservative base in hotly contested Missouri. Obama drew 100,000 in St. Louis on Saturday.

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You should be a little more cautious. You are setting yourselves up for the biggest disappointment in history.

What does Joe know after his unprecendentd briefing by the FBI last week? Hmmmmm.

This will scare the bejesus out of people.

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laguna_b:

@deeznutsrepubs:

LOL!

Imagine the dialog Nov.1, the lead has an outlier at 4% and the talk of come from behind! "Three Days 5 points! "

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This is from abcnews nonetheless...

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deeznutsrepubs:

With all the other random crazy ****e gramps has pulled, nothing is out of the realm of possibility. Look at his VP choice for God's sake.

The guy is no longer throwing hail marys. He has waddled off the field, out of the stadium, to the nearest farmer's market, picked up a kumquat and then threw it at a fire hydrant.

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Thank you Mr. Biden. You are a gift from God.

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Stonecreek:

Intrade today:

Obama, 84.6, +.6
McCain, 15.2, -.1

Yep, race is getting tight!

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laguna_b:

That liberal socialist Karl Rove still has Obama with 313EVs.....

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Pat:

@carl29:

Nice to have you back.

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Gird your loins!

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deeznutsrepubs:

Joe -

Don't you have taxes to evade? Unlicensed plumbing jobs to get to? Lying to do about who will raise your taxes? Yeah, thought so....


I love concern trolls......so sad, and yet so much fun!

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carl29:

Pat, thank you. I'm happy to be back and to have voted :-)!!!!

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boomshak:

HEY MOONBATS, REMEMBER THIS?:

Poll suggests Kerry has lead in swing states
Last Updated: Sunday, October 17, 2004 | 9:15 PM ET

CBC News

John Kerry appealed to African-American voters on Sunday, as he pushed ahead with his campaign to unseat George W. Bush.
Kerry promised the voters, many of whom feel the Republicans are trying to keep them off the voter lists, "We're not going to let this be just a repeat of 2000. We're not going to see a million African-Americans deprived of their votes in America," he said.

With just 16 days to go until the vote, the race couldn't be tighter.

Polls suggest a dead heat. Even Republican organizers concede the Democratic senator has benefited from his performance in the three presidential debates.

And a Washington Post poll shows Kerry with a significant lead in important states that could decide the outcome of the election. The poll found Kerry held a 53 per cent to 43 per cent lead among likely voters in 13 such states.

While Kerry was campaigning in two of those states on Sunday - Ohio and Florida - Bush took the day off, choosing instead to concentrate on a major speech on terrorism he is scheduled to deliver in New Jersey on Monday.

Continue ArticleAnalysts say it is the handful of crucial swing states, like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida that will be most important on Nov. 2. Those states will be heavily targeted by both campaigns in the closing weeks of the race.


YEP, 3 WEEKS TO GO AND KERRY AHEAD IN SWING STATES BY 10.

Sound familiar?

"No chicken counting pre-hatched!"

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JoeThePlumber:

Google: Biden Gird Your Loins

This site won't accept the URL (LOL)

You've all been duped. Biden is a plant for Hillary.

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laguna_b:

@boomshak:

Quoted from your piece:
"Polls suggest a dead heat."

I don't see 5-7% as a dead heat....good try though ;)


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ThisLandIsMyLand:

I've been trying to figure out why McCain keeps campaigning heavily in PA. Everyone is saying it's because he's dumb, but I think something much more sinister is at play. Check out this link. Pennsylvania is one of the states that has no paper trail on the voting machines. I think they're trying to get the polls a little closer so they can steal the election in PA through voting machine tampering. Seriously, what else makes sense? These machines have already been shown repeatedly to be completely unsafe to even the most novice of computer hackers.

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ThatMarvelousApe:

"Poll suggests Kerry has lead in swing states"

Yes, notice the singular. Poll. Rasmussen, SUSA, and Mason Dixon all made it clear by mid-October that Bush was the favorite to win. This thing your citing has more relevance to yourself and others who pick out single outliers and pin all your (delusional) hopes on it. Moonbat, indeed!

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JoeThePlumber:

@deeznuts

Keep attacking me. I love the attention.

Here is an excerpt from Biden Yesterday:

"I promise you, you all are gonna be sitting here a year from now going, 'Oh my God, why are they there in the polls? Why is the polling so down? Why is this thing so tough?' We're gonna have to make some incredibly tough decisions in the first two years. So I'm asking you now, I'm asking you now, be prepared to stick with us. Remember the faith you had at this point because you're going to have to reinforce us."

"There are gonna be a lot of you who want to go, 'Whoa, wait a minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision'," Biden continued. "Because if you think the decision is sound when they're made, which I believe you will when they're made, they're not likely to be as popular as they are sound. Because if they're popular, they're probably not sound."

PRICELESS!

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mysticlaker:
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straight talk:

Bush may have tookd time of Boom, but he was already ahead in CO, NM, NV, FL,VA, MO, OH, IA. One Major difference! McCain is not Ahead in any of these red states! w/t 2wks to go! He is approaching landslide problems! And I voted republican plenty of times recently! McCain is a weak moderate who is afraid to address social issues that conservatives care about. So he is no maverick!

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NorthernObserver:

CNN has just reported that high up Rep sources have told them that they have decided that they must win PA because they have now written off CO, NM and IA.

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Indiana4Obama:

I think Mccain is waiting until the last minute for Palin to have more of an impact in rural PA.

The more plausible reason: John King of CNN just reported that several folks in the Mccain campaign are saying privately that Colorado is out of reach for them. Internals may be telling Mccain that he MUST somehow pick off a blue state to have a chance, and he sees PA as the only option.

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carl29:

Let's look at the swing state polls:

FLORIDA:

AVERAGE: Bush 47.7% Kerry 46.6%

SPT/Miami Herald| 10/19-21 Bush 46 Kerry 46

Research 2000 | 10/18-10/21 Bush 47 Kerry 48

Strategic Vision (R)|10/18-20 Bush 49 Kerry 46

Quinnipiac | 10/15-10/19 Bush 48 Kerry 47

SurveyUSA | 10/15-10/17 Bush 49 Kerry 50

Mason-Dixon | 10/14-10/17 Bush 48 Kerry 45

Univ of North Fl| 10/10-10/15 Bush 44 Kerry 45

Strategic Vision(R)| 10/12-14 Bush 49 Kerry 45

Rasmussen | 10/8-10/14 Bush 49 Kerry 46

Wash Post | 10/4-10/10 Bush 48 Kerry 48

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PortlandRocks:

WOW Obama ONLY up 9 in the new ABC poll. McCain's surging!

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ThatMarvelousApe:

"CNN has just reported that high up Rep sources have told them that they have decided that they must win PA because they have now written off CO, NM and IA."

Called it! I knew they were going all-in on the PA strategy. Their funeral.

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sunnymi:


In the ABC News/WP Poll out today the Party ID advantage is D+7 among LVs.

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PortlandRocks:

I wonder when McCain will move resources into Mass? ROFL

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Pat:

@ThisLandIsMyLand:

This would be difficult. Majority of the local state officials in PA are democrats. They won't let it happen.

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carl29:

ThatMarvelousApe, Smells like Guliani and Florida :-) I wander who that ended? Obama/Biden '08

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alankeyesisawesome:

Great to see these poll numbers...it shows that Obama's lead is narrowing in the state...no one trusts him, lol...even better than VA....read it and weep libs!

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JCK:

Wow. McCain down to a "PA or bust" strategy.

Can't afford to compete.

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Indiana4Obama:

If King's sources are right then it's huge news. The bigger question is there any possible way Mccain can win PA?

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PortlandRocks:

From ABC poll - "91 percent of Democrats support him, compared with McCain's support among Republicans, 84 percent. Republicans are more often reliable party voters, but 12 percent of them now favor Obama, better than John Kerry or Al Gore's share of Republicans (6 and 8 percent, respectively), and about matching Bill Clinton's in 1996 (13 percent).

Even further impressive -

"Among other groups, McCain leads Obama by 6 points among whites, 51-45 percent; Republicans have won whites by a wider margin, averaging 13 points, in the last eight presidential elections.

Obama's support from blacks is nearly unanimous, and he holds a substantial advantage among Hispanic voters as well."

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deeznutsrepubs:

TICK-TOCK boomshat, tick-tock.

thisland -

They did it in 04, in Ohio, so what is the big surprise about that? However, this year, rendell better get on it.

joe -

Pathetic. Is that supposed to "scare" us? FAIL!! Try again rove junior.

Biden is saying that tough decisions will have to be made. Likely, it will be with regards to cutting funding for many things - since dumbya damn near bankrupted the US, many things will have to be cut drastically to get us back on track. What is great is we will have one of the smartest guys to ever be in the white house along with a guy with a great deal of foreign policy experience. The alternative of a grumpy old man getting alzheimers backed up by a retarded hockey mom is just plain scary.

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sunnymi:

@Indiana4Obama, you said "If King's sources are right then it's huge news. The bigger question is there any possible way Mccain can win PA?

Drastically cut into Obama's vote margins in Philly and its suburban counties and hold on to the rest of the state. Tough ask in my opinion but not completely out of reach if they go all in on this state. But Obama can pretty much neutralize this if he claims FL in return :-)

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ThatMarvelousApe:

Biden has set up a great closing argument:

Who do you want in the coming crisis?

An intelligent, steady hand or an erratic hotshot who can't control his temper?

The idea of McCain in a crisis is simply terrifying. Saw what you will about Bush, at least he could run a functioning campaign.

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PortlandRocks:

Joe Plumber is a JOKE and the media did a fine job of exposing the story. The man owes back taxes because apparently the Bush taxes were TOO HIGH, makes 40K per year so would SAVE money with an Obama tax plan, and probably has horrible credit and no money down to even CONSIDER buying a business that makes $250K a year. Guess it's time to pull out Wright. Nothings worked! LOL

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political_junki:

JoeThePlumber and boomshak are same people :))
Pathetic!

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PJ_FFM:

BO+8 is quite something - for a poll financed and reported by a newspaper that's endorsed Hillary Clinton just before the PA primaries in order to deal damage to Obama...

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sunnymi:


The ABC/WP Post Poll is basically going to be another daily tracker that will be updated daily at 5:00 PM

"The new findings come from the first release of the Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking poll, which will provide a continuing look at the campaign between now and Nov. 4. The Post will offer daily updates on the state of the race in the morning newspaper and each day at 5:00 p.m. on washingtonpost.com, along with analysis of the numbers."

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PortlandRocks:

Fun little tidbit from Rasmussen:

It’s a 13-point race for the presidency now in Kansas.

John McCain leads Barack Obama in the longtime Republican state 54% to 41% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Kansas voters.

A month ago, McCain was ahead 58% to 38%.

7 point LOSS for McCain! ****! ROFL

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PortlandRocks:

I just saw the Rasmussen #'s from a friend who's a premium member. OH MY GOD

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JCK:

Portland Rocks,

A narrowing gap in KS does not support the idea that McCain is making gains in red states...

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ricbrig:

Portland, which direction is leaning that OMG?

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bclintonk:

McCain's next "game changing" stunt: throw Sarah Palin and her rising negatives under the bus, and hold a hastily arranged rump convention to name as his new VP nominee . . . JOE the PLUMBER. Why not? Palin is flailin' against Obama, not landing any solid blows and pushing away responsible Republicans like Colin Powell. Joe at least landed one punch, sort of. Maybe he can help with the blue collar vote in Ohio and Pennsylvania that Palin is failin' to connect with. And heck, he's got about as much relevant experience for the job. Why, he even lived in Alaska once, and if Palin taught us anything it's that you can actually SEE Russia from there!

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ThatMarvelousApe:

Do we really need another national tracking poll? Jesus...

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mysticlaker:

come on portland..give up the goods!

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Rollin08:

: )

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muckinello:

I will work to make sure PA beats the past perfomaces and becomes a dark dark blue. +8 is not enough for me!

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PortlandRocks:

DEMS REJOICE!

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billwy:

I can't understand how I figured out 8 weeks ago that NM and IA were out of play, and the McCain campaign just got the memo. Idiots running that campaign.
The question of PA being winnable is probably a big fat "no". Unless Philadelphia is absolutely drenched in rain or freak snow storm on Election day, I don't see this happening.
But if the Bradley effect were real, we would see it here. Especially after Big Mouth Murtha called half the state racist.

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ThatMarvelousApe:

With Rick Davis' whiny, disingenuous comments today, McCain's end game is coming into view:

They will pour their last 20 or so million into an all-Wright all-the-time campaign in the Philly suburbs and will likely encourage stunts to provoke racial resentment throughout the state. The race appears to be all about Pennsylvania at this point.

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NorthernObserver:

Anyone else sitting on CNN? James Carville just said we can expect Obama to push in GA "down the stretch."

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muckinello:

FYI, the Tribune Review sponsoring this poll is a conservative paper.

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jonny87:

@ThatMarvelousApe

Wright will play well there.

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DocnTN:

Voted early this Saturday in Tennessee. Huge lines! Now the real question is, will it count? Who knows? The computer accepted my vote with absoluetly no paper trail in return.

I did request to file a complaint as the poll worker next to my station was mingling with a voter and stated that they "have to fight back against the folks voting for Obama." Gotta love the South. Must be where Bush is acquiring his 25% approval ratings.

Obama-Biden '08

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Chester:

@ Portland Rocks...

What are the numbers, man!

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ThatMarvelousApe:

"Wright will play well there."

JonnyConcern, Wright is already played there. The time for Davis' hack tactics are gone. If he were running a professional campaign, they would now be doing everything in their power to boost McCain's favorables. This idiot does not know how to run a campaign outside the years 2002 or 2004.

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deeznutsrepubs:

Well, if the ayres thing didn't play well, I don't see how the wright crap will......

Of course, obama will have about 100 mill more than mccain in the last week, so he can unload with G Gordan Liddy, Keating 5, Palin's AIP connections and whatever else his heart desires.....so mccain better be careful.

Never wise to bring a 6-shooter to a fight when your opponent has a machine gun, a bazooka, and grenade launchers.

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laguna_b:

@alankeyesisabitterhomophobicmoron

"Great to see these poll numbers...it shows that Obama's lead is narrowing in the state...no one trusts him, lol...even better than VA....read it and weep libs!"

How deluded does one have to be to make stupid statements like this?????

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sunnymi:

Florida and Indiana Clue (from PPP)

Here's one to let your heads spin until tomorrow: Obama is doing better in our Indiana poll than our Florida one.

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straight talk:

Landslide Alert! Landslide Alert! I think McCain is in BIG TROULBLE!

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alankeyesisawesome:

Libs...don't be sure you can count on CA for Obama either...Proposition 8, which protects marriage in California against the homosexual lobby, is energizing evangelical voters in RECORD NUMBERS! And those people tend to back McCain, not Obama, a supporter of gay marriage (he is lying when he says he's against gay marriage).

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ThatMarvelousApe:

At West Carolina University, police have found a mutilated baby bear cub with Obama signs stapled to its head.

The extremist right is truly a cancer on our society...

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (North Carolina)
October 19, 1000 Likely Voters
O-51
M-48

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (Missouri)
October 19, 1000 LV
O-49
M-44

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (Colorado)
October 19, 1000 LV
O-51
M-46

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laguna_b:

@alankeyesishomophobicfool

So, Alan, tell us how gay people being able to marry endangers other peoples marriage? Are you married? did your "bride" have to change her name or was it already yours?

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muckinello:

Nice numbers Sunny!

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Pat:

@alankeyesisawesome:

You are such a joke to even mention CA. I live in CA. Have you ever even visited here? This is Obama land.

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (Ohio)
October 19, 1000 LV
M-49
O-47

This is one state Rasmussen does not seem to see Obama ahead at any point in time

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jonny87:

CO

51 O
46 M

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (Ohio)
October 19, 1000 LV
M-49
O-47

This is one state where Rasmussen has never had Obama ahead

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laguna_b:

Fortunately most Californians rely on science not superstition, so evangelicals are a rare annoyance here. One reason we are the economic dynamo for the USA

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orange24:

@sunnymi:
THANKS - any word on the FL poll?

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen (Florida)
October 19, 1000 LV
M-49
O-48

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jonny87:

florida: grrr

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alankeyesisawesome:

@laguna_b

I am not married, but should I marry, I would not want Homosexuals to also be able to. It just comes down to homosexual marriages cheapening traditional marriage. Studies have shown Homosexuals engage in hundreds of anonymous sex acts in their lives, so the fact that they want to marry makes a joke of marriage. Simple as that. Plus if homosexuals are able to marry, they'll have to teach children as young as 5 that it's ok to be gay, which is a lie. It's not ok to be gay.

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tar_heel:

overall, ok, but not great news for the Democrats. Not sure why Portland raised our hopes

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Chester:

That's disapointing in Fl and it looks like the socialist talk is paying off in Ohio, but nice and stable in Missouri and Col. Overall, a good poll.

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sunnymi:


Basically as per Rasmussen's numbers released today Obama has improved in VA and NC and McCain has improved in FL, OH, CO and MO.

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McCain will not win PA, I live in PA. I live in the part of PA that matters the most, the outer area of philly. I can assure you that Obama will carry this part of the state and it will give him victory.

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Obama008:

McCain will not win PA, I live in PA. I live in the part of PA that matters the most, the outer area of philly. I can assure you that Obama will carry this part of the state and it will give him victory.

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Nowukkers:

@alankeyesishotforchoirboys:

I hope you're right and Obama is pro-gay marriage. It seems to me that the so-called Christian movement is most un-Christian when it comes to love and other people's happiness. Gay marriage does not make my marriage any less valid or solid (or yours if you should later do so) - and your opposition to it is mean-spirited and petty. Promiscuity is both hetero- and homosexual. By your definition Hefner's gay - and I don't think he is. Admit it - it's the "ick" factor for you isn't it? If that were the criterion, then for most of us our parents should be prevented from having sex. Please get counseling, and be happy in allowing other people to love. Your apparent lack of forgiveness is deeply troubling.

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alankeyesisawesome:

I work in a casino in Lake Tahoe, NV, and I live in Nevada. We have people from California come in here all the time. I go into South Lake Tahoe to go shopping and to the movies sometimes. So I think I might no a thing or two about CA. Just you watch...proposition 8 is going to cause a SURRGGEEE of Voters, since people's marriages are being threatened, and the presidential race could tighten up.

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Cho:

The FL numbers are quite bad for Obama. As long as CO and VA stay safe its no problem though.

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alankeyesisawesome:


@Nowukkers

Why do you libs always see fit to call us conservative names? Neither Kip, boomshak, or myself EVER namecall!

Besides that point, as I said, the libs want to use gay marriage to force homosexuality on kids as young as 5, so we should accept this as nothing more than a declaration of cultural war. Please tell me...why does a kid as young as 5 need to know how anal sex works?

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UpstateProgressive:

I'd love to see McCain spend more time and money in PA.

Here's my message for the McCain team:

PA and Iowa are the pivot points of this election and McCain and Palin should camp out there to the exclusion of all other battlegrounds. Don't waste another minute defending Ohio, Florida, Indiana, North Carolina or Virginia. Stay on offense in PA and IA! It would be cowardly to do otherwise.

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jonny87:

big swing with indies in florida

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PJ_FFM:

@all

FYI: 2004 Rasmussen numbers, according to RCP, so we might be able to compare data by the same source more or less around the same time in the campaign.

NC
Rasmussen 9/23-9/29
500 LV
Bush +12

MO
Rasmussen | 10/7-10/20
400 LV
Bush +5

CO
Rasmussen | 10/18
500 LV
Bush +5

OH
Rasmussen | 10/12-10/18
537 LV
TIE

FL
Rasmussen | 10/20-10/26
567 LV
TIE

or

Rasmussen | 10/8-10/14
684 LV
Bush +3


I *think* some of those results back in 2004 were extracted from the national polls...

And talking about National polls:

Rasmussen (3,000 LV)
10/17 - 10/19
Bush 48%
Kerry 47%
Bush +1

____________________

Viperlord:

Alan, boom, and KipTin all throw names and insults regularly. Fail. Epic. Fail.

____________________

Nowukkers:

alankeyesdoesnotforgive:

Please. What name did I call you? I'm having fun with your byline - nothing more. But I am yet to see how liberal folks like myself are forcing a gay agenda on anyone. Your emoting is misguided. Nobody expect a pervert wants a 5 year-old to know about anal sex. Please show me where that is part of the Democratic platform and I'll recant. On the other hand, you guys, though, like to foist your evangelical agenda on this country - you want to turn it into a theocracy. I for one object to my tax money being used on what I consider to be more dangerous than gay people being allowed to marry - the evangelical disregard for any fact that does not fit in with their worldview. Oh, and by the way, I have no problem with Boomshack or Kip - or you for that matter. Go ahead, blog away, but I am just as entitled as you to spout opinions, and you are within your rights to reject them.

Love and kisses.

____________________

PJ_FFM:

@Upstate Progressive

You forgot to tell the McCain/Palin campaign about the most important of battlegrounds -> they MUST put more money directly into the District of Columbia, as winning DC would definitely start a landslide victory for the GOP.

After all, DC's three ECV are the only ones that NEVER joined the GOP column... Therefore, obviously and undoubtedly, a GOP win of the DC would be the ultimate psychological neckbreaker for the DEMs.

____________________

Nowukkers:

Sorry, "except a pervert..." not "expect a pervert..." Schmuck!!

____________________

KipTin:

Hey... Viperlord... You are delusional. I do not throw names and insults regularly. Address my comments directly or ignore me completely, but quit the false accusations.

____________________

sotonightthatimightsee:

***COUGH, COUGH***

MAY I HAVE YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE!

This is PA dude! You know, the one who's been telling you McCain might steal PA? Yeah, that's me! So now you Obamadroids are realizing the possibility that those "bitter, gun-touting rednecks" may actually put John McCain in the White House lol!

p.s

Good luck trying to win this election without PA! If PA falls for Obambi, so will OH, IN, WV and possibly MO! That means he has to win NV, VA, CO and MO in order to make up for PA!!

If Obambi is up by anything less than 7-8 points on election night..HE LOSES THE STATE..BET ON IT!

____________________

Clint Cooper:

This poll is to be taken with a grain of salt. Only 6% of their sample is 18-29 which is not realistic. It will be at least 12% on election day. Also, only 8% of their sample is African American, another unrealstic finding. PA as a whole is 11% African American and I would assume that at least 11% of the electorate will be African American in PA this election cycle.

____________________

cinnamonape:

More about this earlier Susquehanna poll in August- it was 41 McCain-46 Obama. 5 Pt. differential. 40-48 now. So McCain decreased 1% and Obama increased 2%.

While this may bring cheer that a single poll shows they are within !!8!! points in Pennsylvania, it's also going to require a massive inpouring of resources to win it. And this leaves open the back-doors that have been left unguarded.

I think that the McCain campaign are very soon going to start explicitly showing the cracks. They will start making recriminations (hints coming that way from Sarah Palin...if you listen closely enough) and blame one another for poor stategy.

Already there has been a leak blaming the selection of Palin (over Liebermann) to a cadre of Neo-Con and extremist writers from the National Review,the American Standard's Bill Kristol, Robert Bork, and John Bolton!

____________________

MDB1974:

It appears that money is being pulled from IA, CO and NM. They are going for PA. That is right, McCain's last push is to turn PA. Wow.

____________________



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