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PA: Obama 52, McCain 42 (Muhlenberg-10/18-22)

Topics: PHome

Muhlenberg College
10/18-22/08; 602 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Pennsylvania
Obama 52, McCain 42

 

Comments
BOOMFAIL:

How many polls do we need from PA that show the same lead? Obama up by double digits, again. THERE IS NO MCSHAME SURGE, my friends. This thing is done. He is toast.

LANDSLIDE BABY LANDSLIDE

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Sarah McPlain:

Whoo that McCain comeback in PA is really stunning. He must be doing it in stealth mode. Obama over 50% for the past 2 weeks and McCain can't break 42. Joe the Plumber wishes he had $150K to blow on his duds!

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C.S.Strowbridge:

This poll is boring, but Zogby has Obama up by 12.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1605

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MNLatteLiberal:

BOOMFAIL,
IMHO we need PA polled as often as possible since McCampaign has thrown everything they have to flip it. I for one would love to see it monitored with a daily tracking poll until the 4th. If only to see this "no change, stay cool blue" result. Just my 2c

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SoloBJ:

@MNLatteLiberal,
I agree. I would like to see daily stats as well. Do you know if and when McCain/Palin are due back to rally in PA?

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mysticlaker:

@solo...just click on the link with the numbers above...you can also google it and find more internals.

McCrazy Surge!!!!!

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AtlantaBill:

WHERE THE HELL IS BOOMSHAK? Things get pretty boring without his insight into the coming surge.

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SoloBJ:

Thanks mysticlaker!

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deeznutsrepubs:

TICK-TOCK

TICK-TOCK

TICK-TOCK

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deeznutsrepubs:

Designer suits from Neiman Marcus - $75,062

Manolo Blahniks and "accessories" from Saks Fifth Avenue - $49,425.74

Designer fashion items from Bloomingdale's - $5,102


Making sure a mentally handicapped, bat-**** crazy governor from Alaska never gets anywhere NEAR the White House - PRICELESS!

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BOOMFAIL:

http://www.bigtenpoll.org/

Another PA poll in the above link showing Obama +11. More importantly in the Battleground poll, check OH and IN. WooHoo!

LANDSLIDE BABY LANDSLIDE!!

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JerryTheAngel:

Why do I hear so many commentators say on TV: "McCain is still in PA, because his internals must be showing it closer"?

Do campaigns hire more competent pollsters? More capable pollsters who use more accurate methods or samples?

Why are "internal polls" relevant to any discussion? Could somebody explain this to me?

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political_junki:

We have 3 pollsters today give the same nmber fro PA, this one and Quinnipcac give PA +13 and Gig10Battaleground give it +11...

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rbyanes:

I am so enjoying this daily poll from Pennsylvania. Senator McCain, Governor Palin, I guess you can take solace that your numbers arent going DOWN in PA since to know you is definitely NOT to love you.

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billwy:

Obama camp "leaked" internals showing him up only by two. Could be a ploy to get Mccain to waste time and money in the state, but if true then it validates Ed Rendell sending two emails to the campaign asking for another visit to the state.

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M2:

Books will be written on the McCain campaign's immense waste of time and money in Pennsylvania.

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DTM:

@JerryTheAngel

Campaigns sometimes commission state polls with much larger sample sizes, perhaps more accurate representation across regions within a state, and so on. It is basically a question of money, with most public entities only willing to spend so much on state polls.

But as many pollsters have noted, if an internal poll is against the weight of a significant number of public polls, one needs a good reason to favor the internal poll. And, of course, campaigns control what internal polls we see, and tend to leak only the ones that serve their purposes.

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There's an interesting article on Yahoo today about why McCain is in PA and why he thinks he can win it. I think if I'm not mistaken the article comes from Politico but it's listed on Yahoo.

Basically it says that PA is always closer than it appears and is an odd state to poll. Talked about how it showed Kerry with a much larger lead than he ended up winning with and how Rendell polled something like 25% ahead but ended up winning by I think 7 points. Article also says that Kerry won by 150,000 votes and that the McCain campaign feels they can actually flip those votes in the Philly suburbs.

I think it's all a bunch of BS and McCain ain't gonna win PA. But according to that article this is the logic behind McCain's 'strategy' in PA.

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zotz:

So what happened to that "two point lead in PA" story? I thought this was where McCain was going to turn the tables on Obama. I think the Dems just can't believe it. We have had the Rep lies fed to us for so long about America being a "center-right nation" that we believe them.

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shirefox:

According to Kos, Palin is in Beaver PA at 4 pm today.

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