Pollster.com

McShame = SPANKED!

This is impressive, not necessarily the margin, but Obama getting 55.

We are seeing this more and more in a number of states; a clear majority without relying on Undecided's. This is key so that Obama doesn't have to rely on the Undecided's for victory.

Looking at the entire electorate, it looks like Obama already has a 50% or more is states totaling 288 electoral votes, vs 162 electoral votes from states McCain has a majority it. (87 no majority)

Even without relying on the undecided's, Obama is already above the 270 mark.

Stunning!

This is impressive, not necessarily the margin, but Obama getting a clear majority.

We are seeing this more and more in a number of states; a clear majority without relying on Undecided's. This is key so that Obama doesn't have to rely on the Undecided's for victory.

Looking at the entire electorate, it looks like Obama already is polling at 50% or more in states totaling 288 electoral votes, vs 162 electoral votes from states McCain has a majority in. (87 no majority)

Even without relying on the undecided's, Obama is already above the 270 mark.

Stunning!

Gallup Daily: 9-Point Obama Lead Ties Campaign High
McP"al"inocchio is a JOKE

It's good to see these states polls after the mud has started to sling to keep in Obama favor. There is still a long way to go, but it's a good sign.

Why is the McCain campaign spending time/money either here or Iowa? I understand that it's necessary to play offense but throwing money down these now-safe Obama states just looks silly.

McCain needs to defend VA, NC, OH, CO and FL if he has any chance of winning and those are relatively expensive media markets. He can't do that while spending in the Philly media market and making side trips to Iowa to get angry at editorial boards.

This seems a bit high. Although, PA was always going to be a tough pick up for McCain.

SurveyUSA has been all over the board since the primaries ended.

NH = 3 latest polls double digit
PA = 3 latest polls double digit
MI = ditto

lock down the flanks:
WI = time to lock it up
MI = time to lock it up (1 poll which had Mc at +1%)

Besiege the neighboring red states IA, MO, IN, OH, VA bring WV in play for small investment.

McCain spending $$ in PA is like Obama spending $$ in Kansas or Kentucky. Not wise.

In 2004, a Pennsylvania SurveyUSA poll released Oct 3 showed

Kerry 49
Bush 47

Times have changed. This is no longer a swing state.

Time for McCain to pull out of PA...? Maybe this time round he'll ask his running mate.

McCain's only hope is to pour all his resources into OH, FL, VA, CO, and NV. He just has to hope the other swing states will hold. He doesn't have the resources to cover IN, NC, and MO. If he is behind in those states he is finished anyway.

AA only 9% of the vote. They should be at least 13% per 04 exit polls and census.
WOW PA is done.

McCain needs to win white vote by 12% if he wants PA close

McCain needs to pull out of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin Minnesota and new hampshire and forget about the second district in maine.

McCain should also forget about new mexico and Iowa.

McCain should shoot for 274 electoral votes.

Keep all the bush states besides Iowa and New Mexico.

McCain needs to hit send all his resources into virginia, ohio, nevada, florida, colorado.

I would plaster those five states. McCain has no margin of error if he loses Nevada it is a 269 tie and he loses in the house.

McCain should focus on those five states. I would bank on the fact that if you win those five states he would win north carolina and indiana.

Pennsylvania is a worst state for McCain than Michigan even.

The philadelphia suburbs are trending towards the dems in the last few elections. Combine the suburbs with the urban vote in philly and it is game, set, match.

I don't understand why they ever thought they had a chance there.

Bush in the last election lost PA by 145,000 votes.

A republican would have to win the popular vote by over 5 percent to have a chance to win Pennsylvania.

The 2000 census is killing McCain.

If we had an up to date census for the electoral college McCain would have a much more realistic chance.

2010 census would have more electoral votes for states like texas and arizona and less for Obama states.

He'd have many more options. This old 2000 census is killing him.

Obama isn't getting hurt by his weakness in parts of the country because of the old census.

The house republican immigration bill from 2006 is also really hurting McCain.

Look at the internal numbers for hispanics in states like colorado and they are ugly.

Jim Sensennbrenner's bill has shifted the hispanic vote remarkably.

With the McCain camp blowing near $20 million to date in both PA and MI, polls like this have to feel like a solid punch in the gut.

And to boot, he is starting to get low on funds due to the gov't limit. To me it seems like a drastic change of message will be futile, considering you need a boat load of $ to get such a new message across.

Almost time for taps..

Obama UP 53-40 in new PA Rasmussen poll.

Adjusted for 2004 exit poll demographics:
by gender alone: Obama +14
by race alone: Obama +15
by party ID: Obama +12
by ideology: Obama +11