Charles Franklin | April 18, 2008
Here is an update on the Pennsylvania Trend Estimates for both the standard estimator and the more sensitive one.
The difference is small: 0.3 for Clinton and 0.8 for Obama. But hey, it can be a game of inches. Either way it looks like about a 5 point margin right now.
(See earlier posts for details on the standard and sensitive estimate. The sensitive is about twice as responsive to the data, but tends to chase ghosts.)
Cross posted at PoliticalArithmetik.com